Ford Motor Company · F · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Ford Q3: Pro strength and cost cuts offset EV and warranty risks

Ford's earnings support a mixed outlook: Ford Pro, hybrids, software and cost reductions provide resilience, but lower guidance, continuing EV losses and warranty pressure limit the strength of the near-term earnings case.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $48.57B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.49 Consensus $0.46
EPS surprise +5.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $46.20B Consensus $45.13B
Revenue surprise +2.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -8.4% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -8.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +6.6% Up to 20 sessions
FSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis shows full-year adjusted EBIT guidance lowered to about $10 billion, while Ford emphasized profitable international operations, EV cost reductions, Ford Pro recurring revenue and ongoing warranty improvement efforts.

Guidance delta

Management lowered full-year adjusted EBIT guidance to about $10 billion while maintaining a $2 billion additional cost-savings target.

Key takeaways

  • Ford reported higher Q3 revenue, adjusted EBIT and free cash flow, while emphasizing Ford Pro and hybrid momentum.
  • Management highlighted EV cost reductions, LFP battery production and software growth as longer-term margin levers.
  • Warranty costs, inflation, EV pricing pressure and the lower full-year EBIT outlook remain the main constraints.

Management priorities

  • Expand Ford Pro services and recurring subscription revenue.
  • Reduce EV costs and scale IRA-eligible LFP battery production.
  • Execute the additional $2 billion cost-reduction program and improve warranty performance.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
F EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.43 Q1 '24 actual $0.49, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.68 Q2 '24 actual $0.47, miss Q3 '24 estimate $0.46 Q3 '24 actual $0.49, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.33 Q2 '25 actual $0.37, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.35 Q3 '25 actual $0.45, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.18 Q4 '25 actual $0.13, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.18 Q1 '26 actual $0.66, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.33 Q2 '26 actual $0.42, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.41 Q4 '26 estimate $0.31 Q1 '27 estimate $0.44
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold47 ratings
Bullish1838.3%
Neutral2348.9%
Bearish612.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$12.18Current
$10Low
$15.57Average
$29High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 6, 2026
BNP Paribas Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 30, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainJul 29, 2026
Show 42 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $12.18. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$16$11.99 +31.4%Oct 12, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$15$12.24 +23.2%Oct 9, 2026
Industrial Alliance SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$14$12.14 +14.9%Oct 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyAndrew Percoco$15$14.96 +23.2%Jul 29, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$17.5$14.35 +43.7%Jul 26, 2026
See 71 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Ford Motor Company is a global automotive giant, engaged in the design, production, and servicing of a broad spectrum of vehicles. Its product line encompasses Ford trucks, commercial cars and vans, and sport utility vehicles, in addition to luxury models from its Lincoln brand. The company structures its diverse operations into distinct segments: Ford Blue, Ford Model e, Ford Pro, Ford Next, and Ford Credit. Ford distributes its vehicles, service components, and accessories through a worldwide network of distributors and dealerships.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T02:50:41.230057+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T02:50:41.226386+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.