Expedia Group, Inc. · EXPE · FY2024 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2024

Expedia: Bookings Beat Expectations, but Outlook Softened

The quarter supports a mixed view: resilient demand, Vrbo recovery and cost discipline strengthen the growth case, but the lowered outlook and pricing pressure temper confidence in a smooth next-year trajectory.

Reported After market closeNASDAQConsumer Cyclical $33.09B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.51 Consensus $3.06
EPS surprise +14.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $3.56B Consensus $3.53B
Revenue surprise +0.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +10.2% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +9.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.2% Up to 20 sessions
EXPESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Room-night and gross-booking growth exceeded expectations, and Vrbo returned to growth. At the same time, management softened the near-term outlook as travel conditions and pricing trends became less favorable.

Guidance delta

Q3 growth outlook was lowered to 3–5%, while full-year bookings guidance was about 4%.

Key takeaways

  • Room nights grew 10% year over year and gross bookings grew 6%.
  • Vrbo returned to growth with higher marketing investment and improved supply.
  • EBITDA margin expanded 70 basis points year to date, while free cash flow reached $4.0 billion.
  • One Key expansion, advertising tools and international launches remain key growth initiatives.
  • Management cited softer travel conditions and pricing pressure when lowering the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Invest in Vrbo marketing and product improvements
  • Expand One Key through the U.S. credit card and U.K. rollout
  • Broaden airline and partner integrations, including Ryanair
  • Add video advertising and self-serve tools
  • Expand international points of sale and loyalty offerings

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXPE EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.67 Q4 '23 actual $1.72, beat Q1 '24 estimate $-0.14 Q1 '24 actual $0.21, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.06 Q2 '24 actual $3.51, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6.04 Q3 '24 actual $6.13, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.97 Q2 '25 actual $4.24, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6.97 Q3 '25 actual $7.57, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.35 Q4 '25 actual $3.78, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.41 Q1 '26 actual $1.96, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.22 Q2 '26 actual $5.76, beat Q3 '26 estimate $8.83 Q4 '26 estimate $4.37 Q1 '27 estimate $2.31
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold75 ratings
Bullish3546.7%
Neutral3850.7%
Bearish22.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$283.97Current
$116Low
$243.06Average
$430High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 7, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 6, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainSep 30, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 20, 2026
Show 70 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $283.97. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Melius ResearchAnalyst unavailable$355$291.72 +25.0%Oct 20, 2026
Wells FargoKen Gawrelski$275$260.07 -3.2%Oct 7, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$288$266.33 +1.4%Sep 30, 2026
Morgan StanleyMatthew Cost$235$293.08 -17.2%Sep 16, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$400$339.12 +40.9%Aug 25, 2026
See 132 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Expedia Group, Inc. operates as a leading online travel company, serving customers both within the United States and across international markets. The enterprise structures its extensive operations into three primary divisions: Retail, Business-to-Business (B2B), and Trivago. Its comprehensive brand portfolio caters to diverse travel needs. Key retail brands include Brand Expedia, a full-service online travel platform offering localized websites; Hotels.com, specializing in the marketing and distribution of lodging accommodations; and Vrbo, an online marketplace dedicated to alternative accommodation options. Other prominent travel booking websites under its umbrella are Orbitz, Travelocity, and CheapTickets. For the EMEA region, ebookers functions as an online travel agent, presenting travelers with a broad spectrum of choices, while Hotwire provides various travel booking services.…

Historical context

All EXPE earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-10-17T05:10:49.140638+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T21:20:43.040313+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T21:20:43.037364+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.