Exelixis, Inc. · EXEL · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Exelixis lowers guidance as NET ramp slows; pipeline advances

Exelixis retains a credible longer-term growth path through cabozantinib franchise expansion and zanzalintinib development, but the quarter introduced near-term execution pressure as a slower NET ramp led to modestly lower full-year revenue and R&D guidance.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $17.44B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.91 Consensus $0.85
EPS surprise +6.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $628.7M Consensus $636.4M
Revenue surprise -1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -7.9% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -7.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +13.3% Up to 20 sessions
EXELSPY benchmark

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What changed

Management reported Q2 2026 total revenue of $629 million and said the cabozantinib franchise grew 10% year over year. Full-year revenue and R&D expense guidance were lowered modestly because of a slower-than-expected NET ramp. The company also highlighted regulatory review for zanzalintinib and continued progress across pivotal and expansion studies.

Guidance delta

Lowered modestly: full-year revenue and R&D expense guidance were reduced because of a slower NET ramp.

Key takeaways

  • Cabozantinib generated $573 million of U.S. net product revenue and continued to gain share in RCC and NET.
  • Management cited a slower NET ramp as the reason for modest reductions to full-year revenue and R&D expense guidance.
  • Zanzalintinib remains the next major franchise opportunity, with seven pivotal trials across multiple tumor types and a CRC filing under review.
  • The company reported $1.4 billion in cash and completed a $312 million share repurchase in Q2.
  • Management emphasized expense discipline while continuing pipeline investment.

Management priorities

  • Support continued cabozantinib growth in RCC and NET.
  • Prepare for a potential zanzalintinib launch in third-line plus colorectal cancer, pending regulatory review.
  • Advance pivotal and expansion studies, including STELLAR-002, STELLAR-202, STELLAR-303, STELLAR-304, and STELLAR-311.
  • Continue development of early-stage pipeline molecules XL309, XB010, XB628, and XB371.
  • Maintain disciplined capital allocation and share repurchases.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXEL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $480M Q4 '23 actual $480M, miss Q1 '25 estimate $461M Q1 '25 actual $425M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $465M Q2 '25 actual $637M, beat Q3 '25 estimate $557M Q3 '25 actual $478M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $595M Q2 '26 actual $568M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $590M Q3 '26 actual $598M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $597M Q4 '26 actual $599M, beat Q1 '27 estimate $608M Q1 '27 actual $611M, beat Q2 '27 estimate $636M Q2 '27 actual $629M, miss Q3 '27 estimate $647M Q4 '27 estimate $662M Q1 '28 estimate $666M Q2 '28 estimate $693M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold33 ratings
Bullish1648.5%
Neutral1751.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$69.39Current
$18Low
$41.99Average
$60High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 31, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 30, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $69.39. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalDavid Lebowitz$60$66.2 -13.5%Oct 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$51$59.77 -26.5%Oct 9, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$45$58.1 -35.1%Oct 8, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$54$53.12 -22.2%Aug 18, 2026
Leerink PartnersAndrew Berens$52$52.59 -25.1%Aug 6, 2026
See 63 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Exelixis, Inc. operates as a biotechnology firm dedicated to combating cancer, primarily focusing on the identification, advancement, and marketing of novel oncological treatments within the United States. Its portfolio of commercially available therapeutics includes CABOMETYX tablets, prescribed for individuals with advanced renal cell carcinoma who have previously undergone anti-angiogenic treatment, and COMETRIQ capsules, utilized for managing progressive and metastatic medullary thyroid cancer. Both CABOMETYX and COMETRIQ originate from cabozantinib, a compound that inhibits several tyrosine kinases such as MET, AXL, RET, and VEGF receptors. Additionally, Exelixis offers COTELLIC, an MEK inhibitor employed in combination therapies for advanced melanoma, and MINNEBRO, an orally administered, non-steroidal selective mineralocorticoid receptor blocker, approved for hypertension treatment in Japan.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-07T21:22:55.419995+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-10T01:23:13.706414+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-31T03:00:42.920471+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-31T03:00:42.917357+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-31. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.