Exelixis, Inc. · EXEL · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Exelixis pairs CABOMETYX growth with a broader ZANZA trial program

The supplied call analysis supports a growth case built on CABOMETYX's established commercial position and ZANZA's expanding clinical program. That case remains conditional on regulatory outcomes, trial execution and the effect of pricing and discount dynamics.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $17.44B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.94 Consensus $0.77
EPS surprise +22.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $598.7M Consensus $596.5M
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -0.1% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.1% Up to 20 sessions
EXELSPY benchmark

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What changed

Since the prior-quarter analysis, the ZANZA plus atezolizumab NDA has been accepted, with a December PDUFA target noted in the call analysis. The current analysis also describes seven active or planned pivotal ZANZA trials, including a new MRD-guided study, while maintaining guidance sentiment rather than the prior quarter's raised sentiment.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained in the FY2025 Q4 call analysis, compared with raised sentiment in the prior-quarter analysis; no specific guidance figures or range changes are supplied here.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis reports CABOMETYX U.S. revenue growth of 17% for FY2025 and continued leadership in renal cell carcinoma and neuroendocrine tumors.
  • The ZANZA plus atezolizumab NDA was accepted, and the call analysis notes a December PDUFA target.
  • Seven pivotal ZANZA trials are active or planned, with the program spanning colorectal cancer, renal cell carcinoma and neuroendocrine tumors.
  • The company's growth outlook is balanced by regulatory, competitive, trial-execution and gross-to-net pricing uncertainties.

Management priorities

  • Advance the ZANZA clinical program, including the MRD-guided STELLAR-316 trial and planned pivotal readouts.
  • Expand the GI sales organization to support neuroendocrine-tumor growth and prepare for a potential ZANZA launch.
  • Continue developing early-stage small-molecule and antibody-drug-conjugate candidates.
  • Continue share repurchases within the remaining authorization, as described in the call analysis.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXEL EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.21 Q4 '23 actual $0.27, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.28 Q1 '25 actual $0.17, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.30 Q2 '25 actual $0.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.35 Q3 '25 actual $0.40, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.65 Q2 '26 actual $0.75, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.69 Q3 '26 actual $0.78, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.77 Q4 '26 actual $0.94, beat Q1 '27 estimate $0.77 Q1 '27 actual $0.87, beat Q2 '27 estimate $0.85 Q2 '27 actual $0.91, beat Q3 '27 estimate $0.88 Q4 '27 estimate $0.96 Q1 '28 estimate $0.90 Q2 '28 estimate $0.95
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold33 ratings
Bullish1648.5%
Neutral1751.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$70.13Current
$18Low
$41.99Average
$60High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 30, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainOct 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $70.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalDavid Lebowitz$60$66.2 -14.4%Oct 30, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$51$59.77 -27.3%Oct 9, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$45$58.1 -35.8%Oct 8, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$54$53.12 -23.0%Aug 18, 2026
Leerink PartnersAndrew Berens$52$52.59 -25.9%Aug 6, 2026
See 63 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Exelixis, Inc. operates as a biotechnology firm dedicated to combating cancer, primarily focusing on the identification, advancement, and marketing of novel oncological treatments within the United States. Its portfolio of commercially available therapeutics includes CABOMETYX tablets, prescribed for individuals with advanced renal cell carcinoma who have previously undergone anti-angiogenic treatment, and COMETRIQ capsules, utilized for managing progressive and metastatic medullary thyroid cancer. Both CABOMETYX and COMETRIQ originate from cabozantinib, a compound that inhibits several tyrosine kinases such as MET, AXL, RET, and VEGF receptors. Additionally, Exelixis offers COTELLIC, an MEK inhibitor employed in combination therapies for advanced melanoma, and MINNEBRO, an orally administered, non-steroidal selective mineralocorticoid receptor blocker, approved for hypertension treatment in Japan.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T23:30:45.619233+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T23:30:45.616352+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.