Exelon Corporation · EXC · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Exelon beats estimates as transmission and large-load pipelines advance

Exelon's earnings profile remains supported by resilient regulated operations and large transmission and load opportunities, but the next phase depends on converting those pipelines into approved, financed projects without worsening affordability pressures.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $42.75B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.39 Consensus $0.37
EPS surprise +6.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $5.43B Consensus $5.38B
Revenue surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.5% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +1.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.6% Up to 20 sessions
EXCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management continued to describe a confident, increasing-capex trajectory while emphasizing a $10-$15 billion transmission opportunity, large-load studies, utility-owned generation pilots, and additional financing progress. The central investor question remains execution across regulatory approvals, customer affordability, and project funding.

Guidance delta

Maintained; full-year earnings guidance remains $2.64-$2.74 per share.

Key takeaways

  • Operating earnings beat expectations while full-year guidance remained unchanged.
  • Management highlighted a $10-$15 billion transmission investment opportunity and a large-load pipeline exceeding 30 GW.
  • Growth plans are balanced by storm costs, capacity-market volatility, regulatory timing, and financing execution.

Management priorities

  • Advance transmission projects, including Tri-County and MISO Tranche 2.1.
  • Progress large-load cluster studies in Illinois and the Mid-Atlantic.
  • Pursue utility-owned generation pilots and continue financing the capital plan.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXC EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.58 Q4 '23 actual $0.60, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.70 Q1 '24 actual $0.68, miss Q2 '24 estimate $0.40 Q2 '24 actual $0.47, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.67 Q3 '24 actual $0.71, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.37 Q2 '25 actual $0.39, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.78 Q3 '25 actual $0.86, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.55 Q4 '25 actual $0.59, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.88 Q1 '26 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.43, match Q3 '26 estimate $0.80 Q4 '26 estimate $0.66 Q1 '27 estimate $0.92
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold36 ratings
Bullish1336.1%
Neutral2158.3%
Bearish25.6%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$41.76Current
$39Low
$48.17Average
$63High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 9, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainMay 15, 2026
Keybanc Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 13, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $41.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$49$41.98 +17.3%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$50$42.1 +19.7%Sep 18, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$48$45.51 +14.9%Aug 13, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$49$45.6 +17.3%May 29, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$41$44.98 -1.8%May 13, 2026
See 41 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Exelon Corporation, a utility holding company established in 1999 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, operates across the United States and Canada. The company primarily focuses on the generation, delivery, and marketing of energy. It maintains a diverse portfolio of power production facilities, utilizing nuclear, fossil fuel, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar technologies. Exelon engages in the sale of electricity to both wholesale and retail clients, while also providing natural gas, renewable energy solutions, and various other energy-related products and services.…

Historical context

All EXC earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-09T21:00:44.079467+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-09T21:00:44.076488+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-09. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.