Exelon Corporation · EXC · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Exelon raises 2025 guidance as transmission investment accelerates

The call supports a constructive long-term growth case built on data-center demand, rate recovery and transmission investment, but the thesis depends on regulatory execution, load realization and disciplined funding.

Reported Before market openNASDAQUtilities $43.69B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.60
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $5.43B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.3% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.4% Up to 20 sessions
EXCSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management raised 2025 operating earnings guidance, introduced a $38 billion 2025-2028 capital plan with 80% directed to transmission, and highlighted a stronger credit profile after an S&P upgrade to BBB+. The emphasis shifted toward financing and executing a larger transmission program for high-density load growth.

Guidance delta

Raised 2025 operating earnings guidance to $2.64-$2.74 per share.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported 2024 GAAP EPS of $2.45 and adjusted EPS of $2.50.
  • The 2025-2028 capital plan totals $38 billion, with 80% earmarked for transmission.
  • Data-center load growth, rate-case outcomes and regulatory decisions remain central to the outlook.

Management priorities

  • Execute the $38 billion capital plan, including major transmission projects.
  • Add transmission and distribution capacity for data-center load growth.
  • Advance rate plans while engaging policymakers on affordability and reliability.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EXC REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $4B Q4 '23 actual $5B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $6B Q1 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $5B Q2 '24 actual $5B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $6B Q3 '24 actual $6B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $5B Q2 '25 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $6B Q3 '25 actual $7B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $7B Q1 '26 actual $7B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $6B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7B Q4 '26 estimate $6B Q1 '27 estimate $7B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold35 ratings
Bullish1337.1%
Neutral2160.0%
Bearish12.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$42.41Current
$39Low
$48.03Average
$63High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainOct 16, 2026
Keybanc Sector Weight UnderweightUpgradeOct 13, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainSep 22, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainMay 15, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $42.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$44$43.5 +3.7%Oct 19, 2026
Argus ResearchMarie Ferguson$49$41.98 +15.5%Sep 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$50$42.1 +17.9%Sep 18, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$48$45.51 +13.2%Aug 13, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Sunderland$49$45.6 +15.5%May 29, 2026
See 42 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Exelon Corporation, a utility holding company established in 1999 and headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, operates across the United States and Canada. The company primarily focuses on the generation, delivery, and marketing of energy. It maintains a diverse portfolio of power production facilities, utilizing nuclear, fossil fuel, wind, hydroelectric, biomass, and solar technologies. Exelon engages in the sale of electricity to both wholesale and retail clients, while also providing natural gas, renewable energy solutions, and various other energy-related products and services.…

Historical context

All EXC earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-29T00:04:08.037886+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T04:00:42.000268+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T04:00:41.997458+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.