Energy Transfer LP · ET · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026
Energy Transfer lifts EBITDA outlook as expansion and Vaquero deal add growth plans
Energy Transfer’s raised EBITDA outlook, record pipeline utilization and long-term contracted projects support a growth case. That case depends on disciplined execution of a substantial capital program and successful delivery of the Vaquero acquisition and planned projects.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Management raised full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance by $850 million at the midpoint, according to the supplied call analysis. The update also included a planned 2027 capital-spending level of about $7 billion and a pending Vaquero Midstream acquisition expected to close in Q4 2026. The supplied scorecard has no reported EPS or revenue actuals, so this synthesis does not characterize the quarter as a beat or miss.
Guidance delta
Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance was raised by $850 million at the midpoint. Organic growth capital is forecast at $5.4–$5.6 billion for 2026; management indicated approximately $7 billion of 2027 capital spending.
Key takeaways
- The call analysis attributes strength to record intrastate transportation volumes and higher NGL and crude margins.
- Management described a pipeline and processing expansion slate, including Hugh Brinson Phase II, South Mississippi and the planned Desert Southwest filing.
- The pending Vaquero acquisition is described as adding 300 miles of pipeline and three Delaware Basin processing plants; closing remains subject to regulatory approval.
Management priorities
- Advance contracted pipeline and processing projects while managing the capital program.
- Close and integrate Vaquero, subject to required regulatory approvals.
- Build capacity to serve natural-gas demand from power generation, data centers and export markets.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 5, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Truist Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 12, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 5, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | Sector Outperform | Maintain | May 12, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 6, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Mar 13, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 15, 2025 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 20, 2025 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Dec 19, 2024 |
| CFRA | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 5, 2023 |
| Raymond James | Strong Buy | Strong Buy | Maintain | Feb 16, 2023 |
| Tudor Pickering | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Sep 21, 2021 |
| Wolfe Research | Outperform | Peer Perform | Upgrade | Jul 16, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | May 13, 2021 |
| Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | In Line | Upgrade | Apr 22, 2021 |
| Piper Sandler | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Feb 22, 2021 |
| SMBC Nikko | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Dec 3, 2020 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jun 9, 2020 |
| Baird | Neutral | Outperform | Downgrade | Mar 9, 2020 |
| Citi | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Nov 19, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 18, 2019 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 18, 2019 |
| Piper Jaffray | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jul 17, 2019 |
| Stephens & Co. | Overweight | Equal Weight | Upgrade | Aug 2, 2018 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 11, 2017 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 13, 2017 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | May 10, 2017 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 19, 2015 |
| Wunderlich | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Mar 25, 2013 |
| Barrington Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 5, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $19.46. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferies | Julien Dumoulin-Smith | $25 | $20.24 | +28.5% | Nov 4, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Gabriel Moreen | $26 | $20.72 | +33.6% | Oct 13, 2026 |
| Capital One Financial | Analyst unavailable | $26 | $20.84 | +33.6% | Sep 22, 2026 |
| Melius Research | James West | $25 | $20.9 | +28.5% | Sep 22, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $19.72 | +18.2% | May 26, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $16.39 | -2.4% | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Jefferies | Julien Dumoulin-Smith | $17 | $16.99 | -12.6% | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Scotiabank | Brandon Bingham | $23 | $17.7 | +18.2% | Sep 2, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $18.92 | +13.1% | Feb 25, 2025 |
| RBC Capital | Elvira Scotto | $23 | $19.46 | +18.2% | Dec 9, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Jean Ann Salisbury | $20 | $16.4 | +2.8% | Oct 17, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Gabriel Moreen | $20 | $15.48 | +2.8% | Jun 18, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | John Mackay | $15 | $15.87 | -22.9% | May 14, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Selman Akyol | $19 | $16.25 | -2.4% | May 9, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Gabriel Moreen | $19 | $15.23 | -2.4% | Apr 18, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | Gabriel Moreen | $18 | $13.12 | -7.5% | Jul 18, 2023 |
| Barclays | Theresa Chen | $13 | $11.31 | -33.2% | Jul 31, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Robert Kad | $15 | $11.88 | -22.9% | May 6, 2022 |
| UBS | Shneur Gershuni | $20 | $11.88 | +2.8% | May 5, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Selman Akyol | $15 | $10.05 | -22.9% | Feb 18, 2022 |
| Tudor Pickering | Colton Bean | $14 | $8.56 | -28.1% | Sep 21, 2021 |
| Citigroup | Timm Schneider | $15 | $9 | -22.9% | Sep 14, 2021 |
| UBS | Shneur Gershuni | $18 | $10.51 | -7.5% | Jun 10, 2021 |
| Credit Suisse | Spiro M. Dounis | $13 | $9.5 | -33.2% | May 13, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationEnergy Transfer LP functions as a comprehensive provider of energy infrastructure and associated services. The company operates extensive natural gas networks, including approximately 11,600 miles of intrastate transportation pipelines and an additional 19,830 miles dedicated to interstate transport. Its natural gas storage capabilities encompass three facilities in Texas and another two spanning Texas and Oklahoma. Energy Transfer supplies natural gas to a diverse range of customers, such as electric utilities, independent power producers, local distribution companies, other marketing firms, and various industrial end-users. Beyond transportation, the firm manages substantial infrastructure for gathering, processing, treating, and conditioning natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGLs) across a broad geographic area that includes Texas, New Mexico, West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Kansas, and Louisiana.…
Energy peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SU Suncor Energy Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +20.9% | -4.5% | Suncor posts record Q3 cash flow as production and refinery utilization remain strong |
| OVV Ovintiv Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | -2.0% | -5.1% | Ovintiv Holds 2026 Output Guidance as Logan Deal Expands Montney Inventory |
| CVE Cenovus Energy Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | — | -8.0% | Cenovus sets production record as costs fall; capital spend at guidance high end |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- UNMAFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+1.9% EPS+0.5% move
- UNMFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+1.9% EPS-17.8% move
- IFFFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+2.1% EPS-4.9% move
- JKHYFY2027 Q1 · November 3, 2026+10.1% EPS+10.8% move
- HL-PBFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+54.0% EPS— move
- SUFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026+20.9% EPS-4.5% move
Missed on EPS
- OCFY2026 Q3 · November 4, 2026-20.5% EPS+8.5% move
- OHIFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-42.5% EPS+3.5% move
- MOSFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-1656.0% EPS+17.4% move
- OVVFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-2.0% EPS-5.1% move
- BSACFY2026 Q3 · October 30, 2026-20.0% EPS-3.0% move
- TXFY2026 Q3 · November 3, 2026-24.9% EPS-0.0% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-11-05T02:03:16.093959+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-11-05T01:23:14.052435+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-05T02:10:43.667246+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-05T02:10:43.664597+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.