Essex Property Trust, Inc. · ESS · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Essex reports resilient rent growth while keeping full-year guidance unchanged

The quarter supports a constructive but qualified view of Essex: rent growth, improving delinquency, constrained supply, and selective acquisitions were positive, while unchanged guidance and macro, tariff, regulatory, and submarket risks limit conviction.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $17.38B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $3.92
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $458.2M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.5% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +1.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.0% Up to 20 sessions
ESSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Essex completed $345 million of Northern California acquisitions funded by Southern California dispositions, reported 2.8% rent growth and improved Los Angeles delinquency, but left full-year guidance unchanged.

Guidance delta

Full-year guidance was maintained; management cited macroeconomic and trade-policy uncertainty.

Key takeaways

  • Core FFO exceeded the guidance midpoint, while rent growth reached 2.8%.
  • Essex acquired $345 million of Northern California properties, funded by Southern California dispositions.
  • Delinquency improved, including to 1.3% of scheduled rent in Los Angeles.
  • Management cited constrained supply and technology employment as supports for West Coast demand.
  • Macro and tariff uncertainty limited the case for raising full-year guidance.

Management priorities

  • Recycle capital from Southern to Northern California.
  • Pursue acquisitions in submarkets with stronger rent-growth fundamentals.
  • Advance the South San Francisco development.
  • Maintain disciplined balance-sheet management and leverage-neutral funding.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ESS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.29 Q1 '24 actual $4.25, beat Q2 '24 estimate $3.84 Q2 '24 actual $3.94, beat Q3 '24 estimate $3.88 Q3 '24 actual $3.91, beat Q2 '25 estimate $3.99 Q2 '25 actual $4.03, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.96 Q3 '25 actual $3.97, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.46 Q4 '25 actual $3.98, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.42 Q1 '26 actual $1.65, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.46 Q2 '26 actual $0.97, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.47 Q4 '26 estimate $1.44 Q1 '27 estimate $1.52
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish1737.8%
Neutral2453.3%
Bearish48.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$269.98Current
$250Low
$303.33Average
$375High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Mizuho Neutral OutperformDowngradeSep 8, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 17, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 14, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 3, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJul 31, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJul 22, 2026
Raymond James Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJun 26, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainJun 25, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainMay 27, 2026
UBS Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 14, 2026
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainApr 29, 2026
Baird Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 2, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform OutperformDowngradeJan 9, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeDec 16, 2025
JMP Securities Market Perform Market PerformMaintainFeb 6, 2025
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeJan 21, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 24, 2024
Wedbush Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 5, 2024
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 8, 2023
Wolfe Research Underperform Peer PerformDowngradeMay 15, 2023
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeDec 14, 2022
Janney Montgomery Scott Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 14, 2022
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainNov 14, 2022
Credit Suisse Underperform UnderperformMaintainJun 23, 2022
BTIG Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 19, 2021
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Hold HoldMaintainMay 27, 2020
BTIG Research Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 25, 2019
Sandler O'Neill Buy HoldUpgradeNov 18, 2019
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainJul 26, 2019
Janney Capital Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 20, 2018
Capital One Financial Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 22, 2018
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainJun 8, 2018
Capital One Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeMay 16, 2016
Zelman Sell HoldDowngradeJan 27, 2016
Cowen & Co. Perform Market PerformMaintainJan 12, 2016
BB&T Capital Buy BuyMaintainNov 10, 2015
Canaccord Genuity Hold HoldMaintainNov 3, 2015
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 8, 2015
McNicoll Lewis Vlak Hold HoldMaintainDec 20, 2013
Compass Point Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 5, 2013
ISI Group Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 7, 2013
Imperial Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 4, 2013
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $269.98. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$326$271.57 +20.7%Oct 12, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$299$269.07 +10.7%Sep 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$293$272.5 +8.5%Sep 17, 2026
UBSAmi Probandt$286$275.73 +5.9%Sep 15, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$295$278.61 +9.3%Sep 8, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$325$286.1 +20.4%Aug 18, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldRichard Anderson$316$288.1 +17.0%Aug 3, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$330$281.86 +22.2%Jul 31, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$303$284.39 +12.2%Jul 30, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$292.75$296.8 +8.4%Jul 30, 2026
Wells FargoJames Feldman$297$294.01 +10.0%Jul 22, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$352$293.83 +30.4%Jul 21, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$330$293.83 +22.2%Jul 20, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$296$297.48 +9.6%Jul 14, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$307$293.76 +13.7%Jul 9, 2026
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$320$285.57 +18.5%Jun 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$302$283.42 +11.9%Jun 25, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$290$276.91 +7.4%Jun 18, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$308$284.78 +14.1%Jun 10, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$296$285.42 +9.6%Jun 8, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$295$272.64 +9.3%Jun 1, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$286$278.81 +5.9%May 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$293$266.83 +8.5%May 15, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$282$269.75 +4.5%May 14, 2026
UBSMichael Goldsmith$278$269.94 +3.0%May 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$277$263.55 +2.6%May 11, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$291$263.35 +7.8%May 4, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$310$263.35 +14.8%May 4, 2026
RBC CapitalBrad Heffern$288$262.58 +6.7%Apr 30, 2026
BarclaysRichard Hightower$272$255.37 +0.7%Apr 27, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$278$250.96 +3.0%Feb 5, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$292$249.14 +8.2%Jan 13, 2026
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$280$256.95 +3.7%Jan 9, 2026
UBSMichael Goldsmith$274$251.06 +1.5%Jan 8, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$290$256.89 +7.4%Jan 5, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$273$254.66 +1.1%Dec 16, 2025
JefferiesLinda Tsai$282$259.34 +4.5%Dec 15, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$290$260.25 +7.4%Nov 25, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$284$261.2 +5.2%Nov 24, 2025
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$271$247.64 +0.4%Nov 3, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$279$255.86 +3.3%Oct 13, 2025
Wells FargoJames Feldman$280$255.86 +3.7%Oct 13, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$300$267.66 +11.1%Oct 1, 2025
BarclaysRichard Hightower$297$266.22 +10.0%Sep 30, 2025
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$283$251.68 +4.8%Aug 12, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$309$257.36 +14.5%Aug 5, 2025
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$320$284.46 +18.5%Jun 13, 2025
RBC CapitalBrad Heffern$309$284.47 +14.5%May 1, 2025
BMO CapitalJohn Kim$310$270.06 +14.8%Jan 13, 2025
RBC CapitalBrad Heffern$302$270.06 +11.9%Jan 9, 2025
Bank of America SecuritiesJoshua Dennerlein$321$309.65 +18.9%Sep 24, 2024
Goldman SachsJulien Blouin$318$302.69 +17.8%Sep 4, 2024
Truist FinancialMike Lewis$294$294.62 +8.9%Aug 26, 2024
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$355$296.09 +31.5%Aug 26, 2024
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$315$273.38 +16.7%Jun 28, 2024
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$285$277.2 +5.6%Jun 14, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesRobert Stevenson$266$252.91 -1.5%May 30, 2024
Robert W. BairdAmanda Sweitzer$264$259.4 -2.2%May 28, 2024
Morgan StanleyAdam Kramer$250$260.56 -7.4%May 14, 2024
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$255$243.5 -5.5%Apr 9, 2024
Truist FinancialMike Lewis$259$241.41 -4.1%Mar 28, 2024
Raymond JamesBuck Horne$265$237.6 -1.8%Mar 18, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesRobert Stevenson$250$232.66 -7.4%Feb 28, 2024
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$250$239.05 -7.4%Jul 18, 2023
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$240$212.27 -11.1%Apr 18, 2023
Wells FargoJames Feldman$208$204.18 -23.0%Mar 31, 2023
J.P. MorganAnalyst unavailable$267$218.26 -1.1%Dec 16, 2022
UBSAnalyst unavailable$226$220.94 -16.3%Dec 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$242$219.35 -10.4%Dec 2, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$247$214.57 -8.5%Nov 30, 2022
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$211$210.46 -21.8%Nov 29, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$252$210.47 -6.7%Nov 14, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$324$286.83 +20.0%Aug 22, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$273$261.75 +1.1%Jun 27, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$299$259.44 +10.7%Jun 24, 2022
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$352$277.36 +30.4%Jun 9, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$323$279.9 +19.6%May 25, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$375$339.77 +38.9%Apr 28, 2022
KeyBancJordan Sadler$371$345.64 +37.4%Jan 13, 2022
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$338$338.03 +25.2%Dec 16, 2021
CitigroupNicholas Joseph$370$348.22 +37.0%Dec 13, 2021
Stifel NicolausSimon Yarmak$390$340.79 +44.5%Dec 7, 2021
J.P. MorganAnthony Paolone$363$338.24 +34.5%Dec 6, 2021
Wells FargoTammi Fique$345$340.97 +27.8%Nov 22, 2021
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$381$330.83 +41.1%Oct 25, 2021
Goldman SachsChandni Luthra$325$324.77 +20.4%Sep 23, 2021
Piper SandlerAlexander Goldfarb$390$330.07 +44.5%Sep 1, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Essex Property Trust, Inc., a prominent S&P 500 constituent, operates as a vertically integrated real estate investment trust (REIT). The company focuses on the purchase, construction, renovation, and ongoing management of residential apartment complexes across select West Coast regions. Currently, Essex maintains ownership interests in 246 apartment communities, offering a total of roughly 60,000 homes, with an additional six properties actively advancing through various stages of development.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-15T00:03:42.498162+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T12:50:43.373398+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T12:50:43.370634+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.