Elbit Systems Ltd. · ESLT · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025
Elbit Systems: Backlog, Europe and lasers support confident outlook
The supplied analysis supports a constructive, but conditional, view: strong backlog, major contracts, European demand and new defense technologies can support growth, while domestic-demand durability, Aerospace recovery and margin sustainability are the key tests.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Relative to the prior quarter, the growth case was reinforced by a record $2.3 billion contract, a $1.63 billion European order, new facilities in Sweden and Germany, and continued emphasis on directed-energy systems. The focus also broadened to potential U.S. acquisitions and border protection.
Guidance delta
Guidance sentiment was maintained. No quantitative guidance change was supplied.
Key takeaways
- Management highlighted double-digit revenue and backlog growth, with demand in Europe and Israel as key drivers.
- A record $2.3 billion contract and a $1.63 billion European order strengthened the growth narrative.
- Operational efficiency, ERP, robotics and AI investments were cited alongside margin expansion.
- Directed-energy systems, including IRON BEAM, remain a strategic growth focus.
- The main debate is whether domestic demand, Aerospace recovery and margins can sustain the trajectory.
Management priorities
- Commercialize PAWS 2 and the Frontier surveillance platform.
- Develop and field IRON BEAM and airborne laser systems.
- Expand the European operating footprint in Sweden and Germany.
- Pursue strategic U.S. acquisitions in drone swarms and border protection.
- Continue ERP, robotics and AI investment to improve operating efficiency.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 19, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jun 24, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Standpoint Research | Hold | Accumulate | Downgrade | Oct 5, 2017 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 2, 2014 |
| Barclays | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Aug 15, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $696.23. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $845 | $736.3 | +21.4% | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $880 | $770.64 | +26.4% | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Sheila Kahyaoglu | $950 | $823.84 | +36.4% | May 27, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $531 | $500.37 | -23.7% | Dec 11, 2025 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationHeadquartered in Haifa, Israel, and established in 1966, Elbit Systems Ltd. is a leading provider of advanced solutions for the defense, homeland security, and commercial aerospace sectors. The company's extensive portfolio spans airborne, land, and naval applications. In the aerial domain, offerings include systems for military aircraft and helicopters, commercial aviation components, and unmanned aerial systems. For ground operations, Elbit supplies vehicle systems, a range of munitions, sophisticated command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) capabilities, and cyber technologies, alongside armored vehicle protection…
Historical context
All ESLT earningsIndustrials peers this season
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| SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +19.2% | +5.9% | Sunbelt raises FY27 outlook as specialty rental demand accelerates |
| FRO Frontline Plc | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.0% | +1.0% | Frontline posts a record quarter as tanker rates remain elevated |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- ACNFY2026 Q4 · October 1, 2026+3.5% EPS+15.8% move
- MKCFY2026 Q3 · October 1, 2026+13.9% EPS-4.9% move
- NKEFY2027 Q1 · October 1, 2026+10.0% EPS-0.7% move
- CAGFY2027 Q1 · September 30, 2026+44.4% EPS-4.9% move
- FDSFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+3.9% EPS+3.8% move
- JBLFY2026 Q4 · September 30, 2026+8.1% EPS-10.0% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T21:36:06.771666+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T21:36:06.768494+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.