Elbit Systems Ltd. · ESLT · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Elbit Systems: Backlog and demand support capacity expansion

The evidence supports a constructive operating outlook: strong demand, a record backlog and new contracts provide growth visibility. The key counterweight is execution—capacity investment, backlog conversion, fixed-price contract economics and progress toward the 10% margin target.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $34.46B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.86
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $1.61B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.2% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +5.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.5% Up to 20 sessions
ESLTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Revenue growth accelerated to 14% year over year, backlog rose to a record $22.1 billion, and management highlighted a first near-term Iron Beam contract plus a $335 million European PULS and Hermes-900 contract. Capacity expansion and ERP work remain central to the plan.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reiterated the $7 billion 2025 revenue target and 10% non-GAAP operating-margin target for 2026.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported 14% year-over-year revenue growth to $1.718 billion and double-digit EPS growth.
  • Record backlog reached $22.1 billion, improving revenue visibility but requiring execution and conversion.
  • High-power lasers, Iron Fist, UAVs and munitions were highlighted as growth areas.
  • Production capacity and ERP investment are increasing as management pursues its margin targets.

Management priorities

  • Inaugurate a new UAV production facility.
  • Expand the Ramat Beka production line and communications lines.
  • Complete ERP implementation across the company.
  • Pursue strategic acquisitions while divesting non-core assets.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
ESLT EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.38 Q4 '23 actual $1.56, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.35 Q1 '24 actual $1.81, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.77 Q2 '24 actual $2.08, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.57 Q2 '25 actual $3.23, beat Q3 '25 estimate $2.75 Q3 '25 actual $3.35, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.23 Q4 '25 actual $3.56, beat Q1 '26 estimate $3.44 Q1 '26 actual $3.87, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.69 Q2 '26 actual $4.14, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.65 Q4 '26 estimate $4.07
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold6 ratings
Bullish116.7%
Neutral583.3%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$735.34Previous close
$790Low
$840Average
$880High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainOct 5, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 19, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 26, 2025
Standpoint Research Hold AccumulateDowngradeOct 5, 2017
Citigroup Neutral BuyDowngradeJan 2, 2014
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 15, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $735.34. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$850$741.61 +15.6%Oct 16, 2026
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$790$722.83 +7.4%Oct 5, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$845$736.3 +14.9%Jul 15, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$880$770.64 +19.7%Jun 24, 2026
JefferiesSheila Kahyaoglu$950$823.84 +29.2%May 27, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$531$500.37 -27.8%Dec 11, 2025
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Headquartered in Haifa, Israel, and established in 1966, Elbit Systems Ltd. is a leading provider of advanced solutions for the defense, homeland security, and commercial aerospace sectors. The company's extensive portfolio spans airborne, land, and naval applications. In the aerial domain, offerings include systems for military aircraft and helicopters, commercial aviation components, and unmanned aerial systems. For ground operations, Elbit supplies vehicle systems, a range of munitions, sophisticated command, control, communications, computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (C4ISR) capabilities, and cyber technologies, alongside armored vehicle protection…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:39:04.055137+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T04:50:42.425596+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T04:50:42.422881+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.