Equity Residential · EQR · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Equity Residential: Strong occupancy, unchanged capital plan, new AI leasing push

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Equity Residential's operating trajectory: strong occupancy, record-low turnover, undersupplied core markets and leasing automation provide support, while unchanged capital guidance and identified regulatory and macro risks temper the case.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $23.87B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.93
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $769.4M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.0% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +1.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.4% Up to 20 sessions
EQRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management added a clearer operating priority around conversational AI across the leasing journey, reported record-low Q1 resident turnover of 7.9%, and continued to hold its 2025 acquisition and disposition guidance unchanged. The risk discussion emphasized potential rent-control measures in Washington State and Maryland alongside existing California concerns.

Guidance delta

Maintained: 2025 acquisition and disposition guidance was unchanged from the prior quarter.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 performance exceeded expectations, with 96.5% occupancy and record-low resident turnover of 7.9%.
  • Management retained its 2025 plan for $1.5 billion of acquisitions and $1 billion of dispositions.
  • Conversational AI across the leasing journey is targeted for rollout by next year.
  • Supply-demand support in desirable multifamily markets remains a core growth driver, while regulation and macro uncertainty remain risks.

Management priorities

  • Complete the conversational-AI rollout across the leasing journey by next year.
  • Pursue selective acquisitions and modest new development projects with targeted yields of 6% or more.
  • Recycle disposition proceeds across acquisitions, development and potential share buybacks.
  • Maintain the dividend and use the balance sheet to navigate economic headwinds.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EQR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.43 Q4 '23 actual $0.82, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.33 Q1 '24 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.96 Q2 '24 actual $0.97, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.98 Q3 '24 actual $0.98, match Q2 '25 estimate $0.99 Q2 '25 actual $0.99, match Q3 '25 estimate $1.02 Q3 '25 actual $1.02, match Q4 '25 estimate $1.04 Q4 '25 actual $1.03, match Q1 '26 estimate $0.28 Q1 '26 actual $0.24, miss Q2 '26 estimate $0.44 Q2 '26 actual $0.30, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.38 Q4 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '27 estimate $0.34 Q2 '27 estimate $0.38
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold45 ratings
Bullish1226.7%
Neutral3271.1%
Bearish12.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$63.66Previous close
$63Low
$76.89Average
$104High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Aug 19, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainJul 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 21, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJul 14, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainJul 9, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJun 16, 2026
Show 40 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $63.66. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$75$68.8 +17.8%Jul 21, 2026
Deutsche BankPeter Abramowitz$72$68.8 +13.1%Jul 20, 2026
ScotiabankNicholas Yulico$70$68.35 +10.0%Jul 9, 2026
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$72$66.18 +13.1%Jun 16, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$70$67.86 +10.0%Jun 10, 2026
See 58 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equity Residential is committed to cultivating vibrant living environments where residents can flourish. This S&P 500 firm specializes in the acquisition, development, and ongoing management of rental properties, strategically located within or near thriving metropolitan areas that attract desirable, long-term tenants. The company's substantial portfolio includes ownership or investment in 305 properties, comprising a total of 78,568 apartment units, situated in key markets such as Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Seattle, San Francisco, Southern California, and Denver.

Historical context

All EQR earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-15T00:03:42.498162+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-05T10:10:47.391263+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-05T10:10:47.388413+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-05. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.