Equinor ASA · EQNR · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Equinor’s production growth and Bacalhau startup offset earnings pressure

The supplied Q3 analysis points to stronger production and cash generation as supports, but impairments and offshore-wind execution risks temper the operating progress.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $116.55B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.37 Consensus $0.57
EPS surprise -35.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $26.02B Consensus $21.36B
Revenue surprise +21.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.3% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +0.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.7% Up to 20 sessions
EQNRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, production growth rose from 2% to 7% year over year and Bacalhau moved from planned ramp-up to production. The current analysis reports $754 million of impairments; the prior-quarter analysis reported a $955 million impairment tied to U.S. offshore wind.

Guidance delta

The transcript analysis characterizes guidance as maintained; it does not provide a specific revised figure to quantify.

Key takeaways

  • Production increased 7% year over year, meeting the stated 4% annual growth target.
  • The analysis reports $14.7 billion of year-to-date operating cash flow, a $0.37-per-share dividend and an approved $1.266 billion buyback.
  • Bacalhau began production, with ramp-up expected to continue through 2026.
  • The scorecard lists EPS of $0.37 versus a $0.57 estimate, while revenue was $26.017 billion versus a $21.362 billion estimate; impairments contributed to a net loss.

Management priorities

  • Continue Bacalhau’s ramp-up and develop production from existing fields.
  • Advance Empire Wind, Dogger Bank and Baltic offshore-wind projects while applying capital discipline.
  • Continue NCS exploration and subsea development, with a production strategy targeting 2035.
  • Improve safety protocols following the Mongstad incident.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EQNR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.85 Q2 '24 actual $0.84, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.74 Q3 '24 actual $0.79, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.66 Q2 '25 actual $0.64, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.57 Q3 '25 actual $0.37, miss Q4 '25 estimate $0.60 Q4 '25 actual $0.81, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.01 Q1 '26 actual $1.48, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.39 Q2 '26 actual $1.33, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.38 Q3 '26 actual $1.20, miss Q4 '26 estimate $1.89 Q1 '27 estimate $1.41 Q2 '27 estimate $1.17 Q3 '27 estimate $1.12
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish730.4%
Neutral1356.5%
Bearish313.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$48.75Current
$36.5Low
$68Average
$85High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 28, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight NeutralDowngradeAug 12, 2025
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeMay 22, 2025
RBC Capital Underperform Sector PerformDowngradeApr 22, 2025
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 17, 2025
Redburn Atlantic Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 20, 2024
UBS Neutral SellUpgradeAug 8, 2024
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 7, 2023
Bernstein Outperform Market PerformUpgradeJan 3, 2023
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMay 13, 2022
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeFeb 17, 2022
Exane BNP Paribas Underperform NeutralDowngradeJan 7, 2022
Deutsche Bank Hold BuyDowngradeSep 16, 2021
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainAug 25, 2021
Kepler Cheuvreux Hold BuyDowngradeApr 30, 2021
Societe Generale Buy HoldUpgradeMar 12, 2021
DNB Markets Hold BuyDowngradeSep 27, 2019
Goldman Sachs Neutral SellUpgradeAug 2, 2019
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeFeb 14, 2019
PiperJaffray Neutral OverweightDowngradeFeb 11, 2019
Piper Sandler Neutral OverweightDowngradeFeb 11, 2019
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 11, 2018
Berenberg Hold HoldMaintainSep 11, 2018
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $48.75. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$85$43.17 +74.4%Sep 25, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$36.5$38.55 -25.1%Apr 9, 2026
RBC CapitalSector Perform$82.5$31.6 +69.2%Dec 19, 2023

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production Norway; Exploration & Production International; Exploration & Production USA; Marketing, Midstream & Processing; and Renewables segments. The company engages in the discovery and appraisal of new resources, as well as commercial development and operation of the oil and gas portfolios; oil and gas field development, well deliveries, and sourcing; research, technology development, specialist advisory services, digitalization, IT, improvement, innovation, and ventures and future business; and developing, exploring, investing in, and operating areas…

Historical context

All EQNR earnings

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T01:40:51.483023+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T01:40:51.475073+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.