Equinor ASA · EQNR · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Equinor pairs production growth with offshore-wind and balance-sheet risks

The supplied call analysis offers mixed but constructive evidence for a growth-and-resilience case: production growth, expanding U.S. gas activity and cash generation are supportive, while offshore-wind impairments, higher gearing and cost uncertainty constrain the case. Sustained delivery and disciplined capital spending remain key tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $108.54B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.64 Consensus $0.66
EPS surprise -3.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $25.29B Consensus $23.26B
Revenue surprise +8.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.4% Event window
SPY move +0.9% Same window
Abnormal move +0.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.1% Up to 20 sessions
EQNRSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management maintained full-year capital expenditure guidance and its production-growth trajectory. The quarter’s analysis also highlighted offshore-wind impairment exposure, Peregrino divestment plans and longer-term gas supply contracts.

Guidance delta

Guidance was described as maintained. Capital expenditure guidance remains unchanged in the supplied analysis; no new change to the outlook was identified.

Key takeaways

  • Production growth and the Johan Castberg ramp-up underpin the operating-growth narrative.
  • U.S. onshore gas expansion and long-term European supply contracts are identified demand supports.
  • Cash generation was described as supporting shareholder distributions.
  • U.S. offshore-wind impairment and higher gearing temper the otherwise constructive operating picture.

Management priorities

  • Deliver production growth and develop the U.S. onshore gas portfolio.
  • Advance offshore-wind projects while addressing regulatory and project-economic challenges.
  • Maintain capital discipline and execute the stated capital expenditure plan.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EQNR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $29B, None Q1 '24 estimate $24B Q1 '24 actual $25B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $24B Q2 '24 actual $25B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $24B Q3 '24 actual $25B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $23B Q2 '25 actual $25B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $21B Q3 '25 actual $26B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $22B Q4 '25 actual $25B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $29B Q1 '26 actual $28B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $34B Q2 '26 actual $35B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $33B Q3 '26 actual $33B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $40B Q1 '27 estimate $35B Q2 '27 estimate $31B Q3 '27 estimate $31B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold23 ratings
Bullish730.4%
Neutral1356.5%
Bearish313.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$44.95Current
$36.5Low
$68Average
$85High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 28, 2026
JP Morgan Underweight NeutralDowngradeAug 12, 2025
Barclays Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeMay 22, 2025
RBC Capital Underperform Sector PerformDowngradeApr 22, 2025
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 17, 2025
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $44.94. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$85$43.17 +89.1%Sep 25, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$36.5$38.55 -18.8%Apr 9, 2026
RBC CapitalSector Perform$82.5$31.6 +83.6%Dec 19, 2023

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equinor ASA operates as an energy company in Norway and internationally. It operates through Exploration & Production Norway; Exploration & Production International; Exploration & Production USA; Marketing, Midstream & Processing; and Renewables segments. The company engages in the discovery and appraisal of new resources, as well as commercial development and operation of the oil and gas portfolios; oil and gas field development, well deliveries, and sourcing; research, technology development, specialist advisory services, digitalization, IT, improvement, innovation, and ventures and future business; and developing, exploring, investing in, and operating areas…

Historical context

All EQNR earnings

Energy peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-03T13:00:47.626061+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-03T13:00:47.623175+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.