EPAM Systems, Inc. · EPAM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

EPAM’s AI growth accelerates as North America weighs on guidance

EPAM’s Q2 supports the case that AI-led demand can drive growth: AI-native revenue accelerated and margins expanded. However, lower guidance, North America weakness and negative free cash flow make the next-year trajectory dependent on commercial execution and conversion of AI demand into durable revenue.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $5.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.38 Consensus $3.16
EPS surprise +7.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.41B Consensus $1.41B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -15.3% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -15.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +28.8% Up to 20 sessions
EPAMSPY benchmark

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What changed

AI-native revenue rose above $160 million and reached 11% of revenue, while margins expanded. The company joined the OpenAI Partner Network and broadened its AI strategy, but lowered FY 2026 growth guidance because of North America weakness and reported negative Q2 free cash flow tied to higher DSO.

Guidance delta

FY 2026 revenue growth guidance was lowered to 3.2–4.2%; free-cash-flow conversion is expected to be about 70%.

Key takeaways

  • AI-native revenue exceeded $160 million, or 11% of total revenue, after six consecutive quarters of double-digit sequential growth.
  • Q2 revenue was $1.415 billion, up 4.5% year over year, while margins expanded.
  • North America lagged, prompting a multi-quarter commercial transformation and expanded sales organization.
  • Management is targeting $600 million of AI-native revenue in 2026, but cash flow turned negative in Q2 as DSO increased.

Management priorities

  • Execute the multi-quarter North America commercial transformation
  • Expand AI-native offerings across security, managed services and industry-specific solutions
  • Certify more than 10,000 specialists on OpenAI models and 10,000 on Google Gemini
  • Build a full-stack agentic engineering workforce through academies and hiring

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EPAM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2262.9%
Neutral1234.3%
Bearish12.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$113.13Previous close
$85Low
$230.03Average
$750High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $113.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimJonathan Lee$140$97.43 +23.8%Aug 10, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$130$97.43 +14.9%Aug 10, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$110$96.56 -2.8%Aug 7, 2026
NeedhamMayank Tandon$120$96.88 +6.1%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$97$96.59 -14.3%Aug 7, 2026
See 57 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EPAM Systems, Inc. is a leading global provider of comprehensive digital platform engineering and software development solutions. The company's extensive service portfolio includes: Engineering Services: From initial requirements analysis and strategic platform selection to tailored customization, seamless cross-platform migration, and robust implementation and integration of new systems. Infrastructure Management: Covering the full lifecycle of software development, rigorous testing, and ongoing maintenance across private, public, and mobile infrastructures. This includes overseeing operations for applications, databases, networks, servers, storage, and broader systems management, alongside proactive monitoring, incident notification, and rapid resolution. Maintenance and Support: Ensuring the sustained performance and reliability of client systems. Operational Enhancement: Delivering solutions that streamline processes through integrated engineering practices and intelligent automation.…

Historical context

All EPAM earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T20:13:19.083415+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T11:10:51.621378+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T11:10:51.618655+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.