EPAM Systems, Inc. · EPAM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

EPAM’s AI growth accelerates as North America weighs on guidance

EPAM’s Q2 supports the case that AI-led demand can drive growth: AI-native revenue accelerated and margins expanded. However, lower guidance, North America weakness and negative free cash flow make the next-year trajectory dependent on commercial execution and conversion of AI demand into durable revenue.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $5.91B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.38 Consensus $3.16
EPS surprise +7.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.41B Consensus $1.41B
Revenue surprise +0.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -15.3% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -15.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +28.8% Up to 20 sessions
EPAMSPY benchmark

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What changed

AI-native revenue rose above $160 million and reached 11% of revenue, while margins expanded. The company joined the OpenAI Partner Network and broadened its AI strategy, but lowered FY 2026 growth guidance because of North America weakness and reported negative Q2 free cash flow tied to higher DSO.

Guidance delta

FY 2026 revenue growth guidance was lowered to 3.2–4.2%; free-cash-flow conversion is expected to be about 70%.

Key takeaways

  • AI-native revenue exceeded $160 million, or 11% of total revenue, after six consecutive quarters of double-digit sequential growth.
  • Q2 revenue was $1.415 billion, up 4.5% year over year, while margins expanded.
  • North America lagged, prompting a multi-quarter commercial transformation and expanded sales organization.
  • Management is targeting $600 million of AI-native revenue in 2026, but cash flow turned negative in Q2 as DSO increased.

Management priorities

  • Execute the multi-quarter North America commercial transformation
  • Expand AI-native offerings across security, managed services and industry-specific solutions
  • Certify more than 10,000 specialists on OpenAI models and 10,000 on Google Gemini
  • Build a full-stack agentic engineering workforce through academies and hiring

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EPAM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.32 Q1 '24 actual $2.46, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.26 Q2 '24 actual $2.45, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.70 Q3 '24 actual $3.12, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.61 Q2 '25 actual $2.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.03 Q3 '25 actual $3.08, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.16 Q4 '25 actual $3.26, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.75 Q1 '26 actual $2.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.16 Q2 '26 actual $3.38, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.40 Q4 '26 estimate $3.61 Q1 '27 estimate $3.10
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2262.9%
Neutral1234.3%
Bearish12.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$113.13Previous close
$85Low
$230.03Average
$750High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 22, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainAug 7, 2026
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 6, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 4, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 10, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMay 29, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 8, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 16, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 12, 2025
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 9, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainMay 2, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeMay 17, 2024
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 10, 2024
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainApr 3, 2024
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJun 6, 2023
B of A Securities Underperform BuyDowngradeJun 5, 2023
Cowen & Co. Market Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 17, 2023
VTB Capital Buy HoldUpgradeNov 23, 2021
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 7, 2020
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 4, 2018
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 19, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainFeb 20, 2018
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 29, 2017
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 7, 2017
Monness, Crespi, Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 20, 2016
Monness Crespi Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 20, 2016
Pacific Crest Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 12, 2016
Berenberg Buy BuyMaintainApr 15, 2016
Sterne Agee CRT Buy BuyMaintainDec 17, 2015
Renaissance Capital Buy HoldUpgradeNov 19, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $113.13. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimJonathan Lee$140$97.43 +23.8%Aug 10, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$130$97.43 +14.9%Aug 10, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$110$96.56 -2.8%Aug 7, 2026
NeedhamMayank Tandon$120$96.88 +6.1%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$97$96.59 -14.3%Aug 7, 2026
Stifel NicolausDavid Grossman$135$93.7 +19.3%Aug 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$100$106.12 -11.6%Aug 4, 2026
Deutsche BankNate Svensson$85$87.29 -24.9%Jul 10, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$125$87.29 +10.5%Jul 10, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$99$95.38 -12.5%Jun 15, 2026
JefferiesSurinder Thind$110$101.43 -2.8%May 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$112$99.81 -1.0%May 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$112$100.03 -1.0%May 8, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$110$104.24 -2.8%May 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$148$110.6 +30.8%May 5, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$200$112.33 +76.8%May 4, 2026
SusquehannaJames Friedman$167$112.33 +47.6%May 4, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$146$141.14 +29.1%Feb 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$160$139.16 +41.4%Feb 20, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$235$139.16 +107.7%Feb 19, 2026
Wells FargoJason Kupferberg$247$211.99 +118.3%Jan 14, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$220$206.61 +94.5%Jan 6, 2026
Wells FargoJason Kupferberg$185$155.08 +63.5%Oct 21, 2025
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$175$164.94 +54.7%Sep 9, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$159.12 +76.8%Apr 25, 2025
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$256$253.96 +126.3%Jan 31, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$282$193.21 +149.3%Nov 13, 2024
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$225$198.63 +98.9%Sep 24, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$245$203.54 +116.6%Sep 5, 2024
Deutsche BankBryan Keane$204$200.85 +80.3%Aug 21, 2024
JefferiesSurinder Thind$237$209.35 +109.5%Jul 16, 2024
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$230$180.05 +103.3%Jun 13, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesSean Kennedy$258$190.72 +128.1%May 14, 2024
NeedhamMayank Tandon$210$182.04 +85.6%May 10, 2024
JefferiesSurinder Thind$202$181.37 +78.6%May 10, 2024
ScotiabankSector Perform$245$181.93 +116.6%May 10, 2024
WedbushMoshe Katri$230$181.93 +103.3%May 9, 2024
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$265$237.13 +134.2%Apr 26, 2024
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$225$237.13 +98.9%Apr 26, 2024
GuggenheimJonathan Lee$350$292.7 +209.4%Mar 18, 2024
HSBCPhani Kanumuri$350$297.44 +209.4%Jan 8, 2024
SusquehannaJames E Friedman$300$211.33 +165.2%Jun 9, 2023
NeedhamMayank Tandon$275$206.77 +143.1%Jun 5, 2023
SusquehannaJames Friedman Friedman$475$364.12 +319.9%Sep 24, 2022
Stifel NicolausDavid Grossman$500$403.72 +342.0%Aug 4, 2022
WedbushMoshe Katri$400$303.49 +253.6%Jun 11, 2022
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$403$331.14 +256.2%Jun 8, 2022
SusquehannaJames Friedman$370$319.25 +227.1%May 16, 2022
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$410$347 +262.4%May 9, 2022
Stifel NicolausDavid Grossman$411$343.52 +263.3%May 6, 2022
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$465$347 +311.0%May 6, 2022
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$348$264.99 +207.6%May 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$390$307.99 +244.7%Apr 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$450$308.69 +297.8%Apr 10, 2022
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$359$287.04 +217.3%Apr 3, 2022
NeedhamMayank Tandon$285$200.14 +151.9%Mar 11, 2022
Cowen & Co.Bryan Bergin$355$198.52 +213.8%Mar 4, 2022
Stifel NicolausDavid Grossman$385$245.17 +240.3%Mar 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$550$443.23 +386.2%Feb 18, 2022
SusquehannaJames Friedman$490$443.23 +333.1%Feb 18, 2022
VTB CapitalVladimir Bespalov$750$602.94 +563.0%Nov 23, 2021
Wells FargoTimothy Willi$510$458.38 +350.8%May 6, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EPAM Systems, Inc. is a leading global provider of comprehensive digital platform engineering and software development solutions. The company's extensive service portfolio includes: Engineering Services: From initial requirements analysis and strategic platform selection to tailored customization, seamless cross-platform migration, and robust implementation and integration of new systems. Infrastructure Management: Covering the full lifecycle of software development, rigorous testing, and ongoing maintenance across private, public, and mobile infrastructures. This includes overseeing operations for applications, databases, networks, servers, storage, and broader systems management, alongside proactive monitoring, incident notification, and rapid resolution. Maintenance and Support: Ensuring the sustained performance and reliability of client systems. Operational Enhancement: Delivering solutions that streamline processes through integrated engineering practices and intelligent automation.…

Historical context

All EPAM earnings

Technology peers this season

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SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-08-06T20:13:19.083415+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-11T01:23:15.000588+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-22T11:10:51.621378+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-22T11:10:51.618655+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-22. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.