EPAM Systems, Inc. · EPAM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

EPAM Beats Q1 on AI Strength but Lowers Full-Year Revenue Guidance

EPAM delivered a Q1 FY2026 beat with EPS of $2.86 vs. $2.75 estimate and revenue of $1.40B vs. $1.39B estimate, driven by accelerating AI-native services growth and a $125M AI revenue run-rate. Despite the beat, management lowered full-year revenue growth guidance from 4.5-7.5% to 4-6.5%, citing macroeconomic uncertainty, higher energy prices, and weaker North America demand. The stock sold off 2.6% on the report with a further 5.9% drift over subsequent sessions, as investors weighed the guidance cut against the expanding AI partnership ecosystem (Anthropic, Ontic, AWS) and a large but still-unsecured pipeline of AI-enabled vendor consolidation deals for H2.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $5.42B market cap
100quality score

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EPAM Systems, Inc. is a leading global provider of comprehensive digital platform engineering and software development solutions. The company's extensive service portfolio includes: Engineering Services: From initial requirements analysis and strategic platform selection to tailored customization, seamless cross-platform migration, and robust implementation and integration of new systems. Infrastructure Management: Covering the full lifecycle of software development, rigorous testing, and ongoing maintenance across private, public, and mobile infrastructures. This includes overseeing operations for applications, databases, networks, servers, storage, and broader systems management, alongside proactive monitoring, incident notification, and rapid resolution. Maintenance and Support: Ensuring the sustained performance and reliability of client systems. Operational Enhancement: Delivering solutions that streamline processes through integrated engineering practices and intelligent automation.…

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.86 Consensus $3
EPS surprise +4.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.40B Consensus $1.39B
Revenue surprise +0.4% Reported versus consensus

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EPAM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $1B, None Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2468.6%
Neutral1028.6%
Bearish12.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$105.56Current
$85Low
$258.77Average
$750High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Aug 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 10, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainJul 9, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMay 29, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainMay 8, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainMay 8, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 8, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainMay 7, 2026
Show 28 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $105.56. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Deutsche BankNate Svensson$85$87.29 -19.5%Jul 10, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$125$87.29 +18.4%Jul 10, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$99$95.38 -6.2%Jun 15, 2026
JefferiesSurinder Thind$110$101.43 +4.2%May 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$112$99.81 +6.1%May 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$112$100.03 +6.1%May 8, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$110$104.24 +4.2%May 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$148$110.6 +40.2%May 5, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$200$112.33 +89.5%May 4, 2026
SusquehannaJames Friedman$167$112.33 +58.2%May 4, 2026
See 45 more

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Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.6% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -2.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.9% Up to 20 sessions
EPAMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Q1 revenue of $1.40B beat consensus by 0.4% (7.6% YoY growth). EPS of $2.86 beat the $2.75 estimate by 4.0%. Full-year revenue growth guidance lowered from 4.5-7.5% to 4-6.5%. AI-native revenue run-rate reached $125M, up from $105M in Q4 2025. New strategic AI partnerships announced with Anthropic and Ontic. Certified cloud architect program targeting 10,000 by year-end, up from over 1,400 today. Bullish sentiment score declined from 78 to 65.

Guidance delta

Prior 2026 outlook: 4.5-7.5% revenue growth (organic 3-6%), sentiment maintained. Updated 2026 outlook: 4-6.5% revenue growth, sentiment lowered. Midpoint reduced from ~6.0% to ~5.3%, citing macro uncertainty, higher energy prices, and weaker North America demand. Despite the cut, management emphasized a strong pipeline of large AI-enabled vendor consolidation deals for H2.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue of $1.40B grew 7.6% YoY, with EPS of $2.86 beating estimates by 4.0%
  • AI-native services reached a $125M run-rate, up from $105M in Q4 2025, tracking toward a >$600M annual target
  • Full-year revenue growth guidance lowered to 4-6.5% from 4.5-7.5% on macro and North America weakness
  • New strategic AI partnerships with Anthropic and Ontic expand EPAM's enterprise AI delivery ecosystem
  • Cloud architect certifications scaling rapidly from 1,400 toward a 10,000 year-end target
  • Share repurchases continue; selective M&A under evaluation for later in the year

Management priorities

  • Scale AI-native services and AI/Run Transform platform as the primary growth engine
  • Expand strategic AI partnerships across Anthropic, Ontic, AWS, Google Cloud, and NVIDIA
  • Accelerate North America go-to-market investments modeled on EMEA playbook success
  • Ramp certified cloud architect program to 10,000 by year-end
  • Continue share repurchases while evaluating selective M&A in data assets and APAC

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-31T22:02:23.778964+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-31T22:02:23.776297+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated . For educational purposes only; not investment advice.