EPAM Systems, Inc. · EPAM · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

EPAM beats Q4 expectations as AI-native revenue becomes a growth focus

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional view of EPAM's AI-led growth strategy: AI-native services are scaling and management set a 2026 target above $600 million, but modest overall guidance and identified client, procurement, macro, and competitive risks make execution central.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $5.60B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.26 Consensus $3.16
EPS surprise +3.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.41B Consensus $1.39B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -17.0% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -16.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.5% Up to 20 sessions
EPAMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

AI-native revenue was identified as a major growth engine, reaching $105 million in Q4 with a 2026 target above $600 million. Management also highlighted a roughly 100-basis-point organic-growth headwind from the largest NEORIS client and longer procurement cycles.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026 revenue growth guidance of 4.5%-7.5%, including 3%-6% organic growth; the prior quarter had raised FY 2025 organic growth guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 2025 revenue grew 12.8% year over year and surpassed expectations.
  • Pure AI-native revenue reached $105 million in Q4, with a target above $600 million in 2026.
  • Management maintained 2026 revenue growth guidance of 4.5%-7.5%, including 3%-6% organic growth.
  • The largest NEORIS client decline is expected to reduce organic growth by about 100 basis points.
  • The company plans continued investment in AI, vertical accelerators, partnerships, and share repurchases.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI-native transformation offerings and the AI on Transform playbook.
  • Expand vertical expertise and industry-specific accelerators.
  • Use partnerships with Microsoft, AWS, Google Cloud, and Cursor to extend AI capabilities.
  • Pursue small tuck-in acquisitions and continue active share repurchases in H1 2026.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EPAM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.32 Q1 '24 actual $2.46, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.26 Q2 '24 actual $2.45, beat Q3 '24 estimate $2.70 Q3 '24 actual $3.12, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2.61 Q2 '25 actual $2.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $3.03 Q3 '25 actual $3.08, beat Q4 '25 estimate $3.16 Q4 '25 actual $3.26, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.75 Q1 '26 actual $2.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $3.16 Q2 '26 actual $3.38, beat Q3 '26 estimate $3.40 Q4 '26 estimate $3.61 Q1 '27 estimate $3.10
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2262.9%
Neutral1234.3%
Bearish12.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$107.14Current
$85Low
$230.03Average
$750High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainAug 7, 2026
William Blair Market Perform OutperformDowngradeAug 6, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 4, 2026
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 27, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 10, 2026
Jefferies Hold BuyDowngradeMay 29, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 8, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 16, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 12, 2025
Piper Sandler Neutral NeutralMaintainMay 9, 2025
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainMay 2, 2025
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2025
Wolfe Research Peer Perform OutperformDowngradeMay 17, 2024
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 10, 2024
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainApr 3, 2024
Keybanc Sector Weight OverweightDowngradeJun 6, 2023
B of A Securities Underperform BuyDowngradeJun 5, 2023
Cowen & Co. Market Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 17, 2023
VTB Capital Buy HoldUpgradeNov 23, 2021
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainMay 7, 2020
Bank of America Neutral BuyDowngradeSep 4, 2018
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainApr 19, 2018
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainFeb 20, 2018
UBS Neutral BuyDowngradeNov 29, 2017
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 7, 2017
Monness, Crespi, Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 20, 2016
Monness Crespi Hardt Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 20, 2016
Pacific Crest Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 12, 2016
Berenberg Buy BuyMaintainApr 15, 2016
Sterne Agee CRT Buy BuyMaintainDec 17, 2015
Renaissance Capital Buy HoldUpgradeNov 19, 2015
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $107.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimJonathan Lee$140$97.43 +30.7%Aug 10, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$130$97.43 +21.3%Aug 10, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$110$96.56 +2.7%Aug 7, 2026
NeedhamMayank Tandon$120$96.88 +12.0%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$97$96.59 -9.5%Aug 7, 2026
Stifel NicolausDavid Grossman$135$93.7 +26.0%Aug 6, 2026
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$100$106.12 -6.7%Aug 4, 2026
Deutsche BankNate Svensson$85$87.29 -20.7%Jul 10, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$125$87.29 +16.7%Jul 10, 2026
WedbushAnalyst unavailable$99$95.38 -7.6%Jun 15, 2026
JefferiesSurinder Thind$110$101.43 +2.7%May 29, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$112$99.81 +4.5%May 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$112$100.03 +4.5%May 8, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$110$104.24 +2.7%May 8, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$148$110.6 +38.1%May 5, 2026
GuggenheimAnalyst unavailable$200$112.33 +86.7%May 4, 2026
SusquehannaJames Friedman$167$112.33 +55.9%May 4, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$146$141.14 +36.3%Feb 20, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$160$139.16 +49.3%Feb 20, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$235$139.16 +119.3%Feb 19, 2026
Wells FargoJason Kupferberg$247$211.99 +130.5%Jan 14, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$220$206.61 +105.3%Jan 6, 2026
Wells FargoJason Kupferberg$185$155.08 +72.7%Oct 21, 2025
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$175$164.94 +63.3%Sep 9, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$200$159.12 +86.7%Apr 25, 2025
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$256$253.96 +138.9%Jan 31, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$282$193.21 +163.2%Nov 13, 2024
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$225$198.63 +110.0%Sep 24, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesDan Dolev$245$203.54 +128.7%Sep 5, 2024
Deutsche BankBryan Keane$204$200.85 +90.4%Aug 21, 2024
JefferiesSurinder Thind$237$209.35 +121.2%Jul 16, 2024
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$230$180.05 +114.7%Jun 13, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesSean Kennedy$258$190.72 +140.8%May 14, 2024
NeedhamMayank Tandon$210$182.04 +96.0%May 10, 2024
JefferiesSurinder Thind$202$181.37 +88.5%May 10, 2024
ScotiabankSector Perform$245$181.93 +128.7%May 10, 2024
WedbushMoshe Katri$230$181.93 +114.7%May 9, 2024
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$265$237.13 +147.3%Apr 26, 2024
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$225$237.13 +110.0%Apr 26, 2024
GuggenheimJonathan Lee$350$292.7 +226.7%Mar 18, 2024
HSBCPhani Kanumuri$350$297.44 +226.7%Jan 8, 2024
SusquehannaJames E Friedman$300$211.33 +180.0%Jun 9, 2023
NeedhamMayank Tandon$275$206.77 +156.7%Jun 5, 2023
SusquehannaJames Friedman Friedman$475$364.12 +343.3%Sep 24, 2022
Stifel NicolausDavid Grossman$500$403.72 +366.7%Aug 4, 2022
WedbushMoshe Katri$400$303.49 +273.3%Jun 11, 2022
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$403$331.14 +276.1%Jun 8, 2022
SusquehannaJames Friedman$370$319.25 +245.3%May 16, 2022
BarclaysRamsey El-Assal$410$347 +282.7%May 9, 2022
Stifel NicolausDavid Grossman$411$343.52 +283.6%May 6, 2022
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$465$347 +334.0%May 6, 2022
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$348$264.99 +224.8%May 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$390$307.99 +264.0%Apr 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyJames Faucette$450$308.69 +320.0%Apr 10, 2022
Piper SandlerArvind Ramnani$359$287.04 +235.1%Apr 3, 2022
NeedhamMayank Tandon$285$200.14 +166.0%Mar 11, 2022
Cowen & Co.Bryan Bergin$355$198.52 +231.3%Mar 4, 2022
Stifel NicolausDavid Grossman$385$245.17 +259.3%Mar 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchDarrin Peller$550$443.23 +413.3%Feb 18, 2022
SusquehannaJames Friedman$490$443.23 +357.3%Feb 18, 2022
VTB CapitalVladimir Bespalov$750$602.94 +600.0%Nov 23, 2021
Wells FargoTimothy Willi$510$458.38 +376.0%May 6, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EPAM Systems, Inc. is a leading global provider of comprehensive digital platform engineering and software development solutions. The company's extensive service portfolio includes: Engineering Services: From initial requirements analysis and strategic platform selection to tailored customization, seamless cross-platform migration, and robust implementation and integration of new systems. Infrastructure Management: Covering the full lifecycle of software development, rigorous testing, and ongoing maintenance across private, public, and mobile infrastructures. This includes overseeing operations for applications, databases, networks, servers, storage, and broader systems management, alongside proactive monitoring, incident notification, and rapid resolution. Maintenance and Support: Ensuring the sustained performance and reliability of client systems. Operational Enhancement: Delivering solutions that streamline processes through integrated engineering practices and intelligent automation.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T02:36:05.796236+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T02:36:05.793466+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.