EPAM Systems, Inc. · EPAM · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

EPAM beats Q4 expectations as AI-native revenue becomes a growth focus

The quarter supports a constructive but conditional view of EPAM's AI-led growth strategy: AI-native services are scaling and management set a 2026 target above $600 million, but modest overall guidance and identified client, procurement, macro, and competitive risks make execution central.

Reported Before market openNYSETechnology $5.60B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $3.26 Consensus $3.16
EPS surprise +3.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.41B Consensus $1.39B
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -17.0% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -16.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.2× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -2.5% Up to 20 sessions
EPAMSPY benchmark

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What changed

AI-native revenue was identified as a major growth engine, reaching $105 million in Q4 with a 2026 target above $600 million. Management also highlighted a roughly 100-basis-point organic-growth headwind from the largest NEORIS client and longer procurement cycles.

Guidance delta

Management maintained 2026 revenue growth guidance of 4.5%-7.5%, including 3%-6% organic growth; the prior quarter had raised FY 2025 organic growth guidance.

Key takeaways

  • Q4 2025 revenue grew 12.8% year over year and surpassed expectations.
  • Pure AI-native revenue reached $105 million in Q4, with a target above $600 million in 2026.
  • Management maintained 2026 revenue growth guidance of 4.5%-7.5%, including 3%-6% organic growth.
  • The largest NEORIS client decline is expected to reduce organic growth by about 100 basis points.
  • The company plans continued investment in AI, vertical accelerators, partnerships, and share repurchases.

Management priorities

  • Scale AI-native transformation offerings and the AI on Transform playbook.
  • Expand vertical expertise and industry-specific accelerators.
  • Use partnerships with Microsoft, AWS, Google Cloud, and Cursor to extend AI capabilities.
  • Pursue small tuck-in acquisitions and continue active share repurchases in H1 2026.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EPAM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 actual $1B, None Q1 '24 estimate $1B Q1 '24 actual $1B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, miss Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy35 ratings
Bullish2262.9%
Neutral1234.3%
Bearish12.8%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$107.14Current
$85Low
$230.03Average
$750High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Neutral OverweightDowngradeAug 26, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainAug 10, 2026
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainAug 7, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 7, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainAug 7, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $107.14. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
GuggenheimJonathan Lee$140$97.43 +30.7%Aug 10, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$130$97.43 +21.3%Aug 10, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$110$96.56 +2.7%Aug 7, 2026
NeedhamMayank Tandon$120$96.88 +12.0%Aug 7, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$97$96.59 -9.5%Aug 7, 2026
See 57 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EPAM Systems, Inc. is a leading global provider of comprehensive digital platform engineering and software development solutions. The company's extensive service portfolio includes: Engineering Services: From initial requirements analysis and strategic platform selection to tailored customization, seamless cross-platform migration, and robust implementation and integration of new systems. Infrastructure Management: Covering the full lifecycle of software development, rigorous testing, and ongoing maintenance across private, public, and mobile infrastructures. This includes overseeing operations for applications, databases, networks, servers, storage, and broader systems management, alongside proactive monitoring, incident notification, and rapid resolution. Maintenance and Support: Ensuring the sustained performance and reliability of client systems. Operational Enhancement: Delivering solutions that streamline processes through integrated engineering practices and intelligent automation.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T02:36:05.796236+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T02:36:05.793466+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.