Emerson Electric Co. · EMR · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2026

Emerson: Orders Accelerate as Sales Guidance Holds

The current analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient order growth, power and test-and-measurement demand, and AI-enabled software are positives, while renewal timing, regional softness and input-cost risks limit confidence in a durable acceleration.

Reported After market closeNYSEIndustrials $88.09B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.46 Consensus $1.42
EPS surprise +2.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $4.35B Consensus $4.35B
Revenue surprise -0.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.4% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +3.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -9.6% Up to 20 sessions
EMRSPY benchmark

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What changed

Compared with the prior quarter, Emerson reported 9% underlying order growth and maintained full-year sales guidance while raising the EPS range. The analysis also highlights a 9% software ACV increase, new AI product plans and notable power, LNG and test-and-measurement wins.

Guidance delta

Full-year sales guidance was reaffirmed; the EPS range was raised to $6.40-$6.55.

Key takeaways

  • Underlying orders rose 9%, led by North America, India and the Middle East & Africa.
  • Sales increased 2% year over year; adjusted EBITDA margin was 27.7%.
  • Management highlighted AI-enabled automation, power, LNG and test-and-measurement opportunities.
  • Software ACV grew 9% year over year, while renewal timing remains a margin risk.
  • The company cited major power, LNG and space-test wins.

Management priorities

  • Advance Nigel.ai and DeltaV version 16 with expanded AI and analytics.
  • Expand Ovation for behind-the-meter power and grid digitization.
  • Pursue life-sciences and energy-storage collaborations.
  • Execute power, LNG, semiconductor and aerospace opportunities.
  • Continue shareholder returns and work toward the 2028 revenue target.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EMR REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $4B Q1 '24 actual $4B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $4B Q2 '24 actual $4B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $4B Q3 '24 actual $4B, miss Q4 '24 estimate $5B Q4 '24 actual $5B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $5B Q3 '25 actual $5B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $5B Q4 '25 actual $5B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $4B Q1 '26 actual $4B, match Q2 '26 estimate $5B Q2 '26 actual $5B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $5B Q3 '26 actual $5B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $5B Q1 '27 estimate $5B Q2 '27 estimate $5B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold42 ratings
Bullish2252.4%
Neutral1740.5%
Bearish37.1%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$157.24Previous close
$86Low
$137.76Average
$186High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 25, 2026
Morgan Stanley Underweight UnderweightMaintainAug 28, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 24, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 14, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 5, 2026
Show 37 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $157.24. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Wells FargoStephen Tusa$177$156.08 +12.6%Sep 24, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$135$157.72 -14.1%Aug 28, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$155$157.17 -1.4%Aug 24, 2026
BernsteinVarun Govindaraj$186$164.05 +18.3%Aug 14, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$175$156.91 +11.3%Aug 7, 2026
See 79 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Emerson Electric Co. is an international technology and engineering firm that delivers diverse solutions to industrial, commercial, and residential clients across the Americas, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. The company's operations are divided into two main segments: Automation Solutions, and Commercial & Residential Solutions. Through its Automation Solutions division, Emerson provides a range of products including advanced measurement and analytical instruments, industrial valves, and sophisticated process control software and systems. This segment caters to a broad spectrum of industries such as oil and gas, refining, chemical processing, power generation, life sciences, food and beverage, automotive manufacturing, pulp and paper production, metals and mining, and municipal water utilities. The Commercial & Residential Solutions segment focuses on climate control and other essential home and business applications.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T07:46:26.624057+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T07:46:26.621356+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.