Analyst Consensus ?
ConsensusBuy12 ratings
Bullish975.0%
Neutral325.0%
Bearish00.0%
1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.
EMCOR Group, Inc. · EME · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026
EMCOR posts record 2025 results; 2026 guidance maintained
The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: data-center, water and wastewater, and services demand, plus acquisitions, underpin growth, while margin mix, amortization and project timing remain key tests.
Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials
$33.61B market cap
100quality score
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS
$7.19
Consensus $6.68
EPS surprise
+7.6%
Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue
$4.51B
Consensus $4.28B
Revenue surprise
+5.4%
Reported versus consensus
Market reaction
prior-close to event-session close
Stock move
-6.9%
Event window
SPY move
-0.6%
Same window
Abnormal move
-6.4%
Stock minus SPY
Volume
2.4×
Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift
-2.7%
Up to 20 sessions
EMESPY benchmark
Ask FN2 about EME FY2025 Q4
Transcript, numbers and history already loaded
Why did EME fall 6.9% after beating EPS estimates in FY2025 Q4?What changed in EME's guidance and outlook in FY2025 Q4?Give me the bull and bear case for EME after FY2025 Q4 earnings.
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The narrative moved from prior-quarter record results and a narrowed, raised outlook to record full-year 2025 performance and maintained 2026 guidance. The current analysis also emphasizes broader geographic expansion, acquisition integration and two to three years of data-center visibility.
Guidance delta
Management maintained its 2026 guidance, following the prior quarter's narrowed and raised outlook.
Key takeaways
- Record 2025 revenue, EPS and operating margin reflected broad execution across segments.
- Data-center construction remains a primary growth engine, with management citing two to three years of visibility.
- Miller Electric and other acquisitions are expanding EMCOR's geographic and service coverage.
- Water and wastewater projects, mechanical and building services, and industrial activity add to the growth mix.
Management priorities
- Expand in targeted U.S. markets, including the Midwest, Texas, Arizona, Atlanta, the Carolinas, Northern Virginia, Oregon and Iowa.
- Pursue strategic acquisitions in mechanical, electrical and building-services niches.
- Invest in VDC, BIM and prefabrication to improve productivity.
- Balance dividends, share repurchases and growth investment.
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Try FN2 freeEarnings History
Estimate
Beat
Miss
Match
Analyst 52W Price Targets
$752.05Current
$713Low
$983.22Average
$1,200High
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Aug 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Mar 3, 2026 |
| DA Davidson | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Baird | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Downgrade | Jan 17, 2023 | |
| Sidoti & Co. | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | May 16, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Aug 1, 2019 |
| Imperial Capital | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Feb 27, 2013 |
| Gilford Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 10, 2013 |
| FBR Capital | Market Perform | Outperform | Downgrade | Jul 27, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $752.06. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $1,047 | $818.18 | +39.2% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | Manish Somaiya | $1,047 | $816.9 | +39.2% | Aug 10, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $1,065 | $809.83 | +41.6% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $1,200 | $819.85 | +59.6% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Brent Thielman | $1,100 | $855.26 | +46.3% | May 28, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $918 | $876.17 | +22.1% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $901 | $793.35 | +19.8% | Apr 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Avinatan Jaroslawicz | $945 | $708.49 | +25.7% | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Brian Brophy | $814 | $744.86 | +8.2% | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Brian Brophy | $754 | $694.21 | +0.3% | Jan 26, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Analyst unavailable | $800 | $648 | +6.4% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Robert W. Baird | Analyst unavailable | $713 | $648 | -5.2% | Oct 31, 2025 |
| UBS | Avinatan Jaroslawicz | $750 | $625 | -0.3% | Aug 5, 2025 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationEMCOR Group, Inc. specializes in delivering comprehensive electrical and mechanical construction services, alongside integrated facilities management solutions, primarily serving clients across the United States and the United Kingdom. The company's construction expertise spans the entire project lifecycle, encompassing initial design and integration through installation, commissioning, operation, and ongoing maintenance. This includes vital electrical infrastructure such as power transmission, distribution, and generation systems, advanced energy efficiency solutions, and premise-specific electrical and lighting systems. They also implement sophisticated process instrumentation for critical industries like refining, chemical processing, and food production, in addition to low-voltage networks covering fire alarms, security, process controls, and voice/data communications. Furthermore, EMCOR handles public infrastructure projects involving roadway and transit lighting, signaling, and fiber optic lines.…
Historical context
All EME earningsIndustrials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTAS Cintas Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.0% | -3.4% | Cintas raises FY2027 guidance as Q1 growth broadens |
| PAYX Paychex, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +1.5% | -8.8% | Paychex maintains FY27 outlook as PEO and AI momentum strengthen |
| FPS Forgent Power Solutions, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +4.3% | +9.5% | Forgent Power Solutions pairs record results with an aggressive FY27 buildout |
| CPRT Copart, Inc. | FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2026 | -8.7% | -2.6% | Copart pairs international growth with ACV investment amid higher costs |
| SUNB Sunbelt Rentals Holdings Inc | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +19.2% | +5.9% | Sunbelt raises FY27 outlook as specialty rental demand accelerates |
| FRO Frontline Plc | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +8.0% | +1.0% | Frontline posts a record quarter as tanker rates remain elevated |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- CCLFY2026 Q3 · September 29, 2026+5.9% EPS+13.4% move
- COSTFY2026 Q4 · September 24, 2026+3.2% EPS+2.9% move
- SNXFY2026 Q3 · September 24, 2026+20.9% EPS-9.9% move
- DRIFY2027 Q1 · September 24, 20260.0% EPS-3.0% move
- CTASFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+3.0% EPS-3.4% move
- PAYXFY2027 Q1 · September 23, 2026+1.5% EPS-8.8% move
Get the EME recap when the next report posts
One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.
Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-30T12:06:06.641855+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-30T12:06:06.638940+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.