EastGroup Properties, Inc. · EGP · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

EastGroup posts solid Q3 FFO as development pace slows

EastGroup’s Q3 results support a constructive but qualified view: FFO growth, high occupancy, tenant diversification and industrial-demand tailwinds were offset by slower development activity and risks around leasing conversions. The evidence supports resilient demand, but does not remove execution and macroeconomic uncertainty.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $10.70B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.27 Consensus $2.28
EPS surprise -0.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $182.1M Consensus $185.4M
Revenue surprise -1.8% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -1.3% Event window
SPY move +0.8% Same window
Abnormal move -2.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +1.5% Up to 20 sessions
EGPSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The quarter showed stronger FFO and improved leasing activity, while development-start guidance fell to $200 million for 2025. Management also highlighted acquisitions and land development in Raleigh, Orlando and Northeast Dallas, alongside continued confidence in industrial demand.

Guidance delta

Overall guidance sentiment was raised, while 2025 development-start guidance was reduced to $200 million.

Key takeaways

  • Q3 FFO per share was $2.27, up 6.6% year over year, and exceeded guidance.
  • Occupancy remained about 96%, with a 95.9% leasing rate.
  • Management emphasized nearshoring, population migration and limited supply as demand supports.

Management priorities

  • Acquire previously announced Raleigh properties.
  • Advance development land and projects in Orlando and Northeast Dallas.
  • Explore equity partnerships with local regional developers.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EGP REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $157M Q2 '24 actual $160M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $166M Q3 '24 actual $163M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $180M Q2 '25 actual $177M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $185M Q3 '25 actual $182M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $185M Q4 '25 actual $187M, beat Q1 '26 estimate $191M Q1 '26 actual $190M, miss Q2 '26 estimate $194M Q2 '26 actual $193M, miss Q3 '26 estimate $198M Q3 '26 actual $199M, beat Q4 '26 estimate $202M Q1 '27 estimate $207M Q2 '27 estimate $212M Q3 '27 estimate $217M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy32 ratings
Bullish1753.1%
Neutral1546.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$199.02Current
$150Low
$210.29Average
$268High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainOct 2, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 24, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 1, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainAug 3, 2026
Show 27 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $199.02. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$246$195.98 +23.6%Oct 12, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$199$195.82 -0.0%Oct 2, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$200$203.61 +0.5%Sep 21, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$202$198.12 +1.5%Sep 14, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$232$199.5 +16.6%Sep 1, 2026
See 58 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

EastGroup Properties, Inc. (NYSE: EGP), a self-administered equity real estate investment trust and an S&P MidCap 400 company, specializes in the development, acquisition, and management of industrial properties. The company concentrates its efforts within major Sunbelt markets across the United States, with a particular focus on Florida, Texas, Arizona, California, and North Carolina. Its central aim is to enhance shareholder value by serving as a leading provider of adaptable, efficient, and high-quality business distribution facilities for location-sensitive clients, generally seeking spaces between 15,000 and 70,000 square feet. EastGroup's growth strategy prioritizes ownership of prime distribution centers, strategically positioned close to key transportation networks in submarkets where supply is limited. The firm's current portfolio encompasses approximately 45.8 million square feet, including properties under development, value-add acquisitions in lease-up, and those currently under construction.

Historical context

All EGP earnings

Real Estate peers this season

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RITM-PD Rithm Capital Corp. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +10.2% — Rithm highlights servicing, inflows and technology-led efficiency
CBRE CBRE Group, Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +4.6% -2.5% CBRE: Infrastructure Growth Offsets Capital-Markets Headwinds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-24T04:00:43.153234+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-24T04:00:43.150134+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.