Equifax Inc. · EFX · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

Equifax posts record Q2 revenue as cloud momentum offsets rising risks

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient mortgage and non-mortgage demand, cloud migration, new data products, and government verification opportunities can support growth, while funding volatility, hiring weakness, litigation, FX, and mortgage competition argue against treating the trajectory as low risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $16.45B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.00 Consensus $1.93
EPS surprise +3.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.54B Consensus $1.51B
Revenue surprise +1.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -8.2% Event window
SPY move +0.0% Same window
Abnormal move -8.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.8% Up to 20 sessions
EFXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management maintained FY25 guidance, raised the 2025 vitality outlook to 12%, and highlighted twin-indicator, AI analytics, government verification, and international opportunities. The analysis also identifies higher litigation costs and near-term government-revenue volatility as more prominent constraints.

Guidance delta

Management maintained FY25 guidance and raised its 2025 vitality outlook to 12%.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record Q2 revenue, supported by mortgage growth and solid non-mortgage performance.
  • USIS post-cloud vitality reached 10%, while adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 35.5% year over year.
  • Twin-indicator products, EFX.ai, government verification, and international demand are the main growth avenues.
  • Government funding volatility, hiring weakness, litigation costs, FX, and mortgage competition remain key risks.

Management priorities

  • Extend cloud migration and use the resulting cost efficiencies to accelerate new-product development
  • Launch twin-indicator products for auto and P-loans and expand income-verification offerings
  • Pursue government verification opportunities and flexible subscription pricing
  • Continue international expansion and share repurchases

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
EFX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $1.74 Q4 '23 actual $1.81, beat Q1 '24 estimate $1.44 Q1 '24 actual $1.50, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.76 Q2 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.84 Q3 '24 actual $1.85, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.93 Q2 '25 actual $2.00, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.94 Q3 '25 actual $2.04, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.06 Q4 '25 actual $2.09, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.69 Q1 '26 actual $1.86, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.20 Q2 '26 actual $2.25, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.22 Q4 '26 estimate $2.22 Q1 '27 estimate $2.15 Q2 '27 estimate $2.55
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy36 ratings
Bullish2466.7%
Neutral1130.5%
Bearish12.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$140Current
$148Low
$241.71Average
$331High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 2, 2026
BMO Capital Market Perform Market PerformMaintainSep 30, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 22, 2026
Rothschild & Co Buy NeutralUpgradeAug 21, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 22, 2026
Show 31 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $140. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Goldman SachsGeorge Tong$148$139.73 +5.7%Oct 2, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$155$139.73 +10.7%Oct 2, 2026
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$160$140.83 +14.3%Sep 30, 2026
Goldman SachsGeorge Tong$171$145.78 +22.1%Sep 29, 2026
Wells FargoJason Haas$200$158.62 +42.9%Sep 22, 2026
See 88 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Equifax Inc. operates as a global data and analytics company, delivering a range of information solutions and specialized human resources administrative process outsourcing services. Its clientele spans across businesses, governmental organizations, and individual consumers. The company's operations are structured into three primary divisions: Workforce Solutions, U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International. The Workforce Solutions segment specializes in employment-related data, offering verification services for income, employment history, criminal records, and Social Security numbers. It also provides tools for payroll-based transactions, employment tax management, and products aimed at protecting against identity theft. The U.S. Information Solutions (USIS) segment provides a comprehensive suite of services for both consumers and businesses within the United States.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:22.444131+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T12:16:12.655229+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T12:16:12.652202+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.