Eni S.p.A. · E · FY2024 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2024

Eni: resilient Q3, faster deleveraging and transition execution

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient Q3 cash generation, lower leverage and progress in transition businesses strengthen Eni’s operating case, while chemicals, CCUS commercialization, disposals and commodity exposure remain material tests.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $90.71B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.86 Consensus $0.89
EPS surprise -3.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $24.32B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +0.3% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +0.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 0.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.4% Up to 20 sessions
ESPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied Q3 analysis places more emphasis on accelerated debt reduction, a €2 billion buyback, transition-satellite execution and Versalis restructuring. It also identifies new developments including KKR’s Enilive investment, first CO2 injection at Ravenna and the Geng North discovery.

Guidance delta

The supplied analysis describes guidance sentiment as raised, but does not provide a new quantified change versus prior guidance.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis characterizes Q3 as resilient, with EBIT down 14% year over year and cash conversion of €2.9 billion.
  • Management priorities included debt reduction, transition-satellite scaling and a Versalis shift toward higher-value specialties.
  • The analysis says the share buyback was increased to €2 billion and capex was below €9 billion.
  • Key execution questions remain around disposals, CCUS commercialization and the chemicals turnaround.

Management priorities

  • Accelerate deleveraging and maintain cash-generation discipline.
  • Scale Enilive, Plenitude and CCUS projects with partner capital and new assets.
  • Continue Versalis’s transformation toward a higher-value specialty portfolio.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
E EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 11 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.89 Q3 '24 actual $0.86, miss Q1 '25 estimate $0.79 Q1 '25 actual $1.03, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.67 Q2 '25 actual $0.79, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.73 Q3 '25 actual $0.90, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.78 Q4 '25 actual $0.87, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.13 Q1 '26 actual $0.81, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.90 Q2 '26 actual $1.76, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.87 Q3 '26 actual $2.13, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.77 Q1 '27 estimate $1.22 Q2 '27 estimate $1.16 Q3 '27 estimate $1.24
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold26 ratings
Bullish934.6%
Neutral1661.5%
Bearish13.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$60.47Current
$34.6Low
$61.3Average
$90High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 26, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 9, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight UnderweightUpgradeMar 2, 2026
UBS Buy NeutralUpgradeNov 25, 2025
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight OverweightDowngradeJan 7, 2025
Bernstein Market Perform OutperformDowngradeSep 23, 2024
Show 21 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $60.47. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$56.3$54.55 -6.9%Oct 7, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$90$55.04 +48.8%Sep 25, 2026
BNP ParibasEni to Outperform$64.3$55.39 +6.3%Apr 17, 2026
Morgan StanleyMartijn Rats$34.6$34.69 -42.8%Sep 3, 2025
Morgan StanleyMartijn Rats$39.6$32.86 -34.5%Aug 29, 2024

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Eni S.p.A. is an international energy company primarily engaged in the discovery, development, and extraction of crude oil and natural gas resources. Its operations are organized into distinct divisions: Exploration & Production; Global Gas & LNG Portfolio; Refining & Marketing and Chemicals; Plenitude and Power; and Corporate and Other activities. The Exploration & Production division is responsible for the research, development, and output of oil, condensates, and natural gas, additionally undertaking initiatives in forestry conservation and carbon dioxide capture and storage.…

Historical context

All E earnings

Energy peers this season

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SLB Slb N.V. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +3.7% +7.1% SLB Q3 2026: Growth Broadens Beyond Core Oilfield
VLO Valero Energy Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.9% -2.4% Valero Q3: Record Profitability, Strong Cash Generation and Execution Risks

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-26T15:30:47.024584+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-26T15:30:47.021826+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-26. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.