DexCom, Inc. · DXCM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Dexcom raises outlook as 15-day CGM adoption and access expand

The supplied Q2 analysis supports the view that resilient CGM demand, broader reimbursement, and product adoption can support Dexcom's growth trajectory, but the case depends on sustained U.S. momentum, CMS access, successful manufacturing expansion, and conversion to the 15-day sensor.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $33.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.70 Consensus $0.61
EPS surprise +14.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.31B Consensus $1.29B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +12.0% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +11.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.8% Up to 20 sessions
DXCMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's stance shifted from maintaining guidance to raising full-year revenue and margin guidance. The current analysis adds Q2 margin expansion, progress toward 15-day conversion, CONNECT trial evidence for type 2 non-insulin patients, the Nutrisense acquisition, and Ireland capacity expansion.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year revenue and margin guidance after Q2, according to the supplied earnings analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management said Q2 revenue grew 13% year over year to $1.31 billion, with gross margin expanding to 64.1%.
  • The G7 15-day sensor rollout was described as on track for approximately 50% U.S. customer conversion by year-end.
  • The CONNECT trial and expanded payer access support management's push for broader type 2 non-insulin coverage.
  • International launches and approvals continued, while Nutrisense adds nutrition insights to the Dexcom ecosystem.
  • The Ireland manufacturing ramp and the timing of CMS coverage remain execution variables.

Management priorities

  • Scale the G7 15-day system globally and pursue approximately 50% U.S. conversion by year-end.
  • Advance CMS coverage for type 2 non-insulin patients using CONNECT data.
  • Expand international access and launches, including in Canada and Europe.
  • Integrate Nutrisense nutrition insights into Stello and the broader Dexcom ecosystem.
  • Build Ireland manufacturing capacity and develop the future G8 sensor.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DXCM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.27 Q1 '24 actual $0.32, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.39 Q2 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.43 Q3 '24 actual $0.45, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.44 Q2 '25 actual $0.48, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.58 Q3 '25 actual $0.61, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.65 Q4 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.47 Q1 '26 actual $0.56, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.61 Q2 '26 actual $0.70, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.67 Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $0.65
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish4280.8%
Neutral815.4%
Bearish23.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$89.53Previous close
$28.12Low
$78.99Average
$146High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJun 23, 2026
Barclays Underweight UnderweightMaintainMay 18, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainMay 18, 2026
Bernstein Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 9, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight Equal WeightUpgradeDec 2, 2025
UBS Buy BuyMaintainNov 3, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2025
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 26, 2025
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainJul 31, 2025
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 31, 2025
Redburn Atlantic Buy NeutralUpgradeFeb 3, 2025
Leerink Partners Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 25, 2024
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 10, 2023
SVB Leerink Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2022
Guggenheim Buy NeutralUpgradeJan 7, 2022
Stephens & Co. Overweight OverweightMaintainMar 26, 2020
CFRA Hold HoldMaintainFeb 14, 2020
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainNov 7, 2019
Piper Jaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainNov 7, 2019
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 3, 2019
Bank of America Buy BuyMaintainAug 1, 2019
Northland Securities Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeSep 12, 2018
Northland Capital Markets Market Perform UnderperformUpgradeSep 12, 2018
Berenberg Buy HoldUpgradeAug 6, 2018
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainAug 2, 2018
B. Riley FBR Buy NeutralUpgradeMay 5, 2018
BTIG Research Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 3, 2017
B. Riley Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeDec 15, 2016
Desjardins Buy HoldUpgradeSep 16, 2016
Sterne Agee CRT Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 15, 2015
Sterne Agee Buy NeutralUpgradeOct 15, 2015
Leerink Swann Outperform Market PerformUpgradeOct 15, 2015
Feltl & Co. Sell HoldDowngradeFeb 20, 2014
Wedbush Outperform OutperformMaintainNov 7, 2013
Wunderlich Securities Hold BuyDowngradeJun 10, 2013
Wunderlich Hold BuyDowngradeJun 10, 2013
PiperJaffray Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 20, 2012
McNicoll Lewis Vlak Hold HoldMaintainMay 3, 2012
Brean Capital Buy BuyMaintainFeb 24, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $89.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$102$87.93 +13.9%Sep 18, 2026
Argus ResearchSteve Silver$96$87 +7.2%Aug 4, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$90$83.45 +0.5%Aug 3, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$90$83.45 +0.5%Aug 3, 2026
Raymond JamesJayson Bedford$94$82.66 +5.0%Jul 31, 2026
Piper SandlerMatt O'Brien$95$74.54 +6.1%Jul 31, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$105$74.54 +17.3%Jul 31, 2026
BTIGMarie Thibault$90$74.54 +0.5%Jul 31, 2026
Truist FinancialRichard Newitter$93$74.54 +3.9%Jul 31, 2026
Stifel NicolausJonathan Block$95$74.54 +6.1%Jul 31, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$96$73.37 +7.2%Jul 28, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$87$77.61 -2.8%Jul 16, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$86$69.07 -3.9%Jun 23, 2026
Piper SandlerMatt O'Brien$88$75.37 -1.7%Jun 15, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$95$78.42 +6.1%Jun 10, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Petrone$85$76.62 -5.1%Jun 9, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$91$76.62 +1.6%Jun 8, 2026
Stifel NicolausJonathan Block$90$72.59 +0.5%Jun 5, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$82$61.63 -8.4%May 18, 2026
BarclaysMatt Miksic$64$61.63 -28.5%May 18, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$77$61.03 -14.0%May 1, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$80$61.82 -10.6%May 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Petrone$75$61.65 -16.2%May 1, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$81$59.55 -9.5%May 1, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$100$59.55 +11.7%May 1, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$67$59.55 -25.2%May 1, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$87$70.67 -2.8%Feb 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Petrone$90$65.08 +0.5%Feb 13, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$95$65.08 +6.1%Feb 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$72$65.08 -19.6%Feb 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$71$69.67 -20.7%Jan 12, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$86$68.43 -3.9%Jan 9, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$78$66.37 -12.9%Dec 17, 2025
Leerink PartnersMike Kratky$92$65.38 +2.8%Dec 16, 2025
Morgan StanleyPatrick Wood$75$63.52 -16.2%Dec 2, 2025
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$63$55.21 -29.6%Nov 10, 2025
BernsteinLee Hambright$84$58.22 -6.2%Nov 3, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$80$58.22 -10.6%Nov 3, 2025
Piper SandlerMatt O'Brien$75$56.97 -16.2%Oct 31, 2025
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$85$56.95 -5.1%Oct 31, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$82$59.19 -8.4%Oct 31, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$93$68.2 +3.9%Oct 31, 2025
Canaccord GenuityWilliam Plovanic$99$68.2 +10.6%Oct 31, 2025
Piper SandlerMatt O'Brien$100$68.44 +11.7%Oct 21, 2025
Truist FinancialRichard Newitter$94$65.55 +5.0%Oct 15, 2025
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$90$68.3 +0.5%Sep 26, 2025
RBC CapitalShagun Singh$120$68.62 +34.0%Oct 8, 2024
Stifel NicolausMathew Blackman$100$72.28 +11.7%Aug 22, 2024
RBC CapitalShagun Singh$130$72.36 +45.2%Aug 16, 2024
BarclaysMatt Miksic$113$64 +26.2%Jul 29, 2024
OppenheimerSteven Lichtman$115$107.85 +28.4%Jul 26, 2024
Piper SandlerMatt O\'Brien$90$63.22 +0.5%Jul 26, 2024
Canaccord GenuityWilliam Plovanic$89$107.85 -0.6%Jul 26, 2024
RBC CapitalShagun Singh$72.5$31.77 -19.0%Jul 26, 2024
Stifel NicolausMathew Blackman$132$112.66 +47.4%Jul 12, 2024
OppenheimerSteven Lichtman$150$115.23 +67.5%Jun 3, 2024
Redburn PartnersIssie Kirby$130$127.64 +45.2%May 30, 2024
RBC CapitalShagun Singh$165$134.48 +84.3%Mar 12, 2024
OppenheimerSteven Lichtman$122$88.91 +36.3%Oct 27, 2023
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$131$114.45 +46.3%Jan 6, 2023
Stifel NicolausStifel Stifel$130$111.44 +45.2%Dec 26, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$146$116.64 +63.1%Dec 12, 2022
Piper SandlerMatt O'Brien$120$95.21 +34.0%Oct 7, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$101$82.08 +12.8%Aug 1, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$83$86.99 -7.3%Jul 29, 2022
Piper SandlerMatt O'Brien$110$86.99 +22.9%Jul 28, 2022
BernsteinLee Hambright$105$76.5 +17.3%Jul 15, 2022
BTIGMarie Thibault$105$76.6 +17.3%Jun 28, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$91$69.31 +1.6%Jun 15, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$90.75$70.74 +1.4%Jun 13, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$22.69$19.28 -74.7%Jun 7, 2022
Leerink PartnersDanielle Antalffy$31.25$24.79 -65.1%May 3, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$30.38$26.05 -66.1%Apr 29, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$30$25.83 -66.5%Apr 29, 2022
BTIGMarie Thibault$35$31.02 -60.9%Apr 21, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesTravis Steed$31.25$26.5 -65.1%Mar 3, 2022
CitigroupJoanna Wuensch$39.38$26.28 -56.0%Feb 11, 2022
OppenheimerSteven Lichtman$36.25$26.9 -59.5%Jan 31, 2022
Wells FargoLarry Biegelsen$35.94$27.2 -59.9%Jan 19, 2022
Raymond JamesJayson Bedford$33.62$27.2 -62.4%Jan 19, 2022
Canaccord GenuityKyle Rose$39.06$38.95 -56.4%Oct 29, 2021
Berenberg BankRavi Misra$39.38$38.95 -56.0%Oct 29, 2021
UBSMatthew Taylor$41.25$38.95 -53.9%Oct 29, 2021
JefferiesAnthony Petrone$40.94$38.95 -54.3%Oct 29, 2021
StephensChris Cooley$34.12$32.22 -61.9%Jul 30, 2021
J.P. MorganRobbie Marcus$28.12$24.38 -68.6%Jun 9, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DexCom, Inc. is a medical technology company primarily focused on innovating, developing, and marketing continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems. Operating across the United States and internationally, the firm provides its solutions for individuals managing diabetes as well as for healthcare practitioners. Its product portfolio features the DexCom G6, a comprehensive CGM system for diabetes management; the Dexcom Real-Time API, enabling authorized third-party developers to integrate live CGM data into their digital health applications; the Dexcom ONE, which aims to supersede traditional…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T22:15:40.460681+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T10:10:53.177654+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T10:10:53.174839+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.