DexCom, Inc. · DXCM · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Dexcom raises outlook as 15-day CGM adoption and access expand

The supplied Q2 analysis supports the view that resilient CGM demand, broader reimbursement, and product adoption can support Dexcom's growth trajectory, but the case depends on sustained U.S. momentum, CMS access, successful manufacturing expansion, and conversion to the 15-day sensor.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $33.79B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.70 Consensus $0.61
EPS surprise +14.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.31B Consensus $1.29B
Revenue surprise +1.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +12.0% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +11.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +8.8% Up to 20 sessions
DXCMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, management's stance shifted from maintaining guidance to raising full-year revenue and margin guidance. The current analysis adds Q2 margin expansion, progress toward 15-day conversion, CONNECT trial evidence for type 2 non-insulin patients, the Nutrisense acquisition, and Ireland capacity expansion.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year revenue and margin guidance after Q2, according to the supplied earnings analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Management said Q2 revenue grew 13% year over year to $1.31 billion, with gross margin expanding to 64.1%.
  • The G7 15-day sensor rollout was described as on track for approximately 50% U.S. customer conversion by year-end.
  • The CONNECT trial and expanded payer access support management's push for broader type 2 non-insulin coverage.
  • International launches and approvals continued, while Nutrisense adds nutrition insights to the Dexcom ecosystem.
  • The Ireland manufacturing ramp and the timing of CMS coverage remain execution variables.

Management priorities

  • Scale the G7 15-day system globally and pursue approximately 50% U.S. conversion by year-end.
  • Advance CMS coverage for type 2 non-insulin patients using CONNECT data.
  • Expand international access and launches, including in Canada and Europe.
  • Integrate Nutrisense nutrition insights into Stello and the broader Dexcom ecosystem.
  • Build Ireland manufacturing capacity and develop the future G8 sensor.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DXCM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.43 Q4 '23 actual $0.50, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.27 Q1 '24 actual $0.32, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.39 Q2 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.43 Q3 '24 actual $0.45, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.44 Q2 '25 actual $0.48, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.58 Q3 '25 actual $0.61, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.65 Q4 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.47 Q1 '26 actual $0.56, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.61 Q2 '26 actual $0.70, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.67 Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $0.65
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish4280.8%
Neutral815.4%
Bearish23.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$89.53Previous close
$28.12Low
$78.99Average
$146High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $89.53. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$102$87.93 +13.9%Sep 18, 2026
Argus ResearchSteve Silver$96$87 +7.2%Aug 4, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$90$83.45 +0.5%Aug 3, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$90$83.45 +0.5%Aug 3, 2026
Raymond JamesJayson Bedford$94$82.66 +5.0%Jul 31, 2026
See 81 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DexCom, Inc. is a medical technology company primarily focused on innovating, developing, and marketing continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems. Operating across the United States and internationally, the firm provides its solutions for individuals managing diabetes as well as for healthcare practitioners. Its product portfolio features the DexCom G6, a comprehensive CGM system for diabetes management; the Dexcom Real-Time API, enabling authorized third-party developers to integrate live CGM data into their digital health applications; the Dexcom ONE, which aims to supersede traditional…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-30T22:15:40.460681+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-04T01:23:15.205020+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T10:10:53.177654+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T10:10:53.174839+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.