DexCom, Inc. · DXCM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Dexcom Beats Q1 Estimates as G7 15-Day Sensor Drives Record Patient Starts

Dexcom reported a strong Q1 FY2026 with revenue of $1.19B (up 15% YoY, 12% organic) and EPS of $0.56, both beating consensus. The G7 15-day CGM launch is driving record new-patient starts, conversions, and gross margin expansion. Management reaffirmed full-year revenue guidance of $5.16-$5.20B and raised operating and EBITDA margin targets, while disclosing a 50-100 bps inflation headwind from oil and resin costs. Key catalysts ahead include potential CMS coverage for type-2 non-insulin patients, the international Stello launch, and an Investor Day. The stock gained 2.75% on the report and has since drifted +22%, with the analyst consensus target at $84.18 versus the current price of $73.81.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $28.99B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.56 Consensus $0.47
EPS surprise +20.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.19B Consensus $1.17B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +3.0% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +2.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +22.0% Up to 20 sessions
DXCMSPY benchmark

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What changed

Q1 revenue of $1.19B beat estimates by 1.5%; EPS of $0.56 beat by 20%. Record global new-patient start quarter driven by G7 15-day CGM adoption. Full-year revenue guidance reaffirmed at $5.16-$5.20B; operating and EBITDA margins raised. Prime Therapeutics will cover Dexcom CGM for all people with diabetes starting summer 2026. A 50-100 bps gross margin headwind from oil and resin price inflation was newly disclosed.

Guidance delta

Full-year FY2026 revenue guidance reaffirmed at $5.16-$5.20B, narrowing the prior $5.16-$5.25B range at the upper end. Non-GAAP operating and EBITDA margin targets were raised. A new 50-100 bps gross margin headwind from oil and resin inflation was disclosed. Guidance sentiment: maintained.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 revenue grew 15% YoY (12% organic) to $1.19B, beating consensus by 1.5%; EPS of $0.56 beat by 20%
  • Record global new-patient start quarter driven by G7 15-day CGM launch and adoption
  • Prime Therapeutics coverage expands access to all people with diabetes starting summer 2026
  • Full-year revenue guidance reaffirmed at $5.16-$5.20B; operating and EBITDA margin targets raised
  • $2.4B cash position provides flexibility for buybacks, M&A, and capital projects

Management priorities

  • Driving G7 15-day CGM adoption and conversion across U.S. and international markets
  • Expanding access through payer wins and pursuing CMS coverage for type-2 non-insulin patients
  • International expansion of Stello and a new CGM system to extend market reach
  • Broader rollout of Smart Basal beyond pilot sites
  • Investor Day to detail product pipeline, capital allocation, and long-term assumptions

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DXCM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.43 Q4 '23 actual $0.50, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.27 Q1 '24 actual $0.32, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.39 Q2 '24 actual $0.43, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.43 Q3 '24 actual $0.45, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.44 Q2 '25 actual $0.48, beat Q3 '25 estimate $0.58 Q3 '25 actual $0.61, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.65 Q4 '25 actual $0.68, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.47 Q1 '26 actual $0.56, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.61 Q2 '26 actual $0.70, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.68 Q4 '26 estimate $0.75 Q1 '27 estimate $0.64
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish4280.8%
Neutral815.4%
Bearish23.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$78.62Previous close
$28.12Low
$80.81Average
$146High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainOct 12, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 1, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $78.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesAnthony Petrone$100$85.92 +27.2%Oct 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$115$83.39 +46.3%Oct 6, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$105$86.29 +33.6%Oct 1, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$102$87.93 +29.7%Sep 18, 2026
Argus ResearchSteve Silver$96$87 +22.1%Aug 4, 2026
See 84 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DexCom, Inc. is a medical technology company primarily focused on innovating, developing, and marketing continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems. Operating across the United States and internationally, the firm provides its solutions for individuals managing diabetes as well as for healthcare practitioners. Its product portfolio features the DexCom G6, a comprehensive CGM system for diabetes management; the Dexcom Real-Time API, enabling authorized third-party developers to integrate live CGM data into their digital health applications; the Dexcom ONE, which aims to supersede traditional…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-07-30T14:32:15.004350+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-07-30T14:32:15.001836+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-07-30. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.