DexCom, Inc. · DXCM · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

DexCom pairs G7 expansion with maintained FY2026 outlook

DexCom's maintained FY2026 outlook and product expansion support the case for continued growth, but the next leg depends on execution across the G7 15-day sensor, international markets, manufacturing, and potential Medicare coverage.

Reported After market closeNASDAQHealthcare $32.69B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.68 Consensus $0.65
EPS surprise +4.6% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.26B Consensus $1.25B
Revenue surprise +0.9% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.6% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +7.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.3% Up to 20 sessions
DXCMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

DexCom expanded the G7 15-day sensor across U.S. channels, introduced Smart Basal, broadened Stelo features, and expanded DexCom Direct EHR integration. Management also highlighted international gains and maintained its FY2026 outlook.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its FY2026 outlook: revenue of $5.16-$5.25 billion, gross margin of 63%-64%, and operating margin of 22%-23%.

Key takeaways

  • FY2025 revenue grew 13% to $1.26 billion and exceeded the upper end of prior guidance.
  • The G7 15-day sensor is available across U.S. channels, while international revenue grew 18%.
  • Potential Medicare coverage for type 2 non-insulin patients could expand the addressable market, but timing remains uncertain.

Management priorities

  • Scale the G7 15-day sensor globally.
  • Advance Smart Basal, Stelo, and DexCom Direct EHR integration.
  • Ramp the Ireland manufacturing facility and pursue manufacturing efficiencies.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DXCM REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $910M Q1 '24 actual $921M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $990M Q3 '24 actual $994M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1B Q2 '25 actual $1B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1B Q3 '25 actual $1B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish4280.8%
Neutral815.4%
Bearish23.8%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$86.29Current
$28.12Low
$78.99Average
$146High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 4, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainAug 3, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 31, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $86.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$102$87.93 +18.2%Sep 18, 2026
Argus ResearchSteve Silver$96$87 +11.3%Aug 4, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAnalyst unavailable$90$83.45 +4.3%Aug 3, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$90$83.45 +4.3%Aug 3, 2026
Raymond JamesJayson Bedford$94$82.66 +8.9%Jul 31, 2026
See 81 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DexCom, Inc. is a medical technology company primarily focused on innovating, developing, and marketing continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) systems. Operating across the United States and internationally, the firm provides its solutions for individuals managing diabetes as well as for healthcare practitioners. Its product portfolio features the DexCom G6, a comprehensive CGM system for diabetes management; the Dexcom Real-Time API, enabling authorized third-party developers to integrate live CGM data into their digital health applications; the Dexcom ONE, which aims to supersede traditional…

Historical context

All DXCM earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T01:11:28.231748+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T01:11:28.228806+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.