Devon Energy Corporation · DVN · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025

Devon raises production outlook while lowering planned 2025 capex

The supplied call analysis supports a constructive operating thesis: higher production, lower planned capex, efficiency gains and acquisition-related synergies could improve cash generation. The case remains dependent on commodity prices, execution of drilling and integration plans, tariff exposure and disciplined capital allocation.

Reported After market closeNYSEEnergy $55.80B market cap
70quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.00
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $4.25B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +7.7% Event window
SPY move +0.2% Same window
Abnormal move +7.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.0% Up to 20 sessions
DVNSPY benchmark

Ask FN2 about DVN FY2024 Q4

Transcript, numbers and history already loaded

Free account. Your question opens in FN2 with this report's transcript and numbers attached.

Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied analysis described a higher 2025 production outlook, lower 2025 capex, early Grayson Mill synergies and greater Eagle Ford control following the planned BPX joint-venture dissolution.

Guidance delta

Management raised 2025 production guidance to 815,000 BOE/d and lowered capex guidance to $3.9 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Management's analysis highlighted record Q4 oil production, $3 billion of free cash flow and $2 billion returned through dividends and repurchases.
  • The supplied analysis identified higher 2025 production guidance and lower capex as the main outlook changes.
  • Operational efficiency initiatives included faster drilling and completion rates and lower per-well development costs.
  • Management emphasized Grayson Mill integration, the Williston Basin acquisition and greater Eagle Ford control after the BPX joint-venture dissolution.
  • The call analysis pointed to commodity prices, execution, tariffs and balance-sheet allocation as key variables to monitor.

Management priorities

  • Raise production through Delaware multi-zone wells and other U.S. basin operations.
  • Continue capital-efficiency initiatives and pursue additional free cash flow.
  • Integrate Grayson Mill and capture identified synergies.
  • Use technology, artificial lift, real-time diagnostics and refrac opportunities to improve operations.
  • Balance dividends, repurchases, debt paydown and drilling investment.

Follow DVN with an agent that reads every filing, transcript, and price print. Free to start.

Try FN2 free

Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DVN EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.11 Q1 '24 actual $1.16, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.26 Q2 '24 actual $1.41, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.06 Q3 '24 actual $1.10, beat Q2 '25 estimate $0.86 Q2 '25 actual $0.84, miss Q3 '25 estimate $0.93 Q3 '25 actual $1.04, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.81 Q4 '25 actual $0.82, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.06 Q1 '26 actual $1.04, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1.40 Q2 '26 actual $1.57, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1.27 Q4 '26 estimate $1.23 Q1 '27 estimate $1.32
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy62 ratings
Bullish4572.6%
Neutral1727.4%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$50.73Current
$35Low
$61Average
$103High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 18, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 16, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 15, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 9, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 7, 2026
Show 57 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $50.73. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$65$49.15 +28.1%Oct 15, 2026
ScotiabankMark Lear$61$49.92 +20.2%Oct 14, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$60$48.92 +18.3%Oct 9, 2026
UBSJosh Silverstein$65$47.9 +28.1%Oct 7, 2026
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$67$47.8 +32.1%Oct 6, 2026
See 110 more

Track every rating change on DVN the moment it posts. Free to start.

Start free

Company context

Snapshot as of publication

As an independent energy producer, Devon Energy Corporation primarily focuses on the exploration, development, and extraction of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids within the United States. The company manages roughly 5,134 gross wells. Established in 1971, its corporate headquarters are located in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma.

Historical context

All DVN earnings

Latest beats and misses

Who reports next

Get the DVN recap when the next report posts

One email per quarter with the scorecard, the market reaction and what changed on the call. No account needed.

Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-04T00:03:19.509714+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-18T11:20:41.686007+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-18T11:20:41.682959+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-18. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.