DT Midstream, Inc. · DTM · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

DTM reaffirms guidance as project demand expands

DTM's Q1 call supports a constructive growth case built on contracted pipeline expansion, strong demand in Midwest and Northeast corridors, and data-center and power-generation load. The key test is whether projects reach FID and execution while regulatory, seasonal, and rate-related risks remain manageable.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $12.68B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.27 Consensus $1.11
EPS surprise +14.4% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $336.0M Consensus $313.6M
Revenue surprise +7.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +6.6% Event window
SPY move +1.0% Same window
Abnormal move +5.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.4% Up to 20 sessions
DTMSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior quarter's analysis, management maintained rather than raised guidance, increased the 2026-27 capital budget to $400-$440 million, and added project detail around Vector, Millennium R2R, and an Indiana lateral. Oversubscribed open seasons and the NEXUS interconnect provided new evidence of demand, while extreme winter conditions were a material Q1 driver.

Guidance delta

Guidance was maintained. Management reaffirmed 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance and kept the dividend at $0.88 per share; the call analysis also identified a $400-$440 million 2026-27 capital budget.

Key takeaways

  • Q1 performance exceeded expectations with cold-weather demand and high asset utilization supporting results.
  • Vector, Millennium R2R, and an Indiana lateral expand the project pipeline, with combined announced capacity additions exceeding 1 bcf/d.
  • Oversubscribed Midwestern and Vector open seasons point to strong demand, but FID, regulatory approval, and execution remain important milestones.

Management priorities

  • Advance Vector, Millennium R2R, and Indiana lateral projects.
  • Expand LEAP capacity and continue open seasons to commercialize Midwest and Northeast projects.
  • Fund growth within the balance sheet while maintaining the dividend.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DTM EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $0.92 Q4 '23 actual $1.24, beat Q1 '24 estimate $0.95 Q1 '24 actual $0.99, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.92 Q2 '24 actual $0.98, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.93 Q3 '24 actual $0.90, miss Q2 '25 estimate $0.98 Q2 '25 actual $1.04, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.03 Q3 '25 actual $1.13, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.11 Q4 '25 actual $1.08, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1.11 Q1 '26 actual $1.27, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1.17 Q2 '26 actual $1.09, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1.13 Q3 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.18 Q1 '27 estimate $1.25 Q2 '27 estimate $1.23 Q3 '27 estimate $1.22
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold15 ratings
Bullish960.0%
Neutral533.3%
Bearish16.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$124.34Current
$54Low
$120.77Average
$170High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 30, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 21, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 6, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainSep 16, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Outperform Sector OutperformMaintainSep 10, 2026
Show 10 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $124.34. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$150$119.09 +20.6%Oct 15, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$165$117.88 +32.7%Oct 15, 2026
Goldman SachsJohn Mackay$121$126.55 -2.7%Oct 14, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$142$122.12 +14.2%Oct 6, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$145$125.08 +16.6%Sep 16, 2026
See 40 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

DT Midstream, Inc. is a U.S.-based company offering a comprehensive suite of natural gas infrastructure and related services. The organization's operations are divided into two primary divisions: Pipeline and Gathering. It is responsible for the development, ownership, and management of an interconnected network of assets. This portfolio includes both interstate and intrastate pipelines, natural gas storage facilities, lateral pipelines, gathering systems, specialized treatment plants, and various compression and surface equipment.…

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T09:30:40.222033+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T09:30:40.218998+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.