Leonardo DRS, Inc. · DRS · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Leonardo DRS pairs record 2025 bookings with investment-led 2026 growth

Record bookings, an $8.7 billion backlog and demand across sensing, propulsion and space programs support the stated 2026 growth outlook. The evidence is constructive, but substantially higher R&D and capital spending, supply constraints and long program-conversion cycles make the earnings payoff dependent on execution.

Reported Before market openNASDAQIndustrials $10.05B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.42 Consensus $0.37
EPS surprise +13.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.06B Consensus $994.8M
Revenue surprise +6.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +14.9% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +14.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.5% Up to 20 sessions
DRSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management’s FY2025 review highlighted record bookings, 13% revenue growth and 19% free cash flow growth despite a prolonged government shutdown. For 2026, the company maintained an outlook for 6–8% organic revenue growth, with capex approaching 5% of revenue. Investment priorities include expanding production capacity and advancing space, sensing, radar and electric-propulsion programs.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its 2026 outlook: organic revenue growth of 6–8%, with capex approaching 5% of revenue. The supplied analysis does not identify a change to that outlook in this call.

Key takeaways

  • FY2025 delivered record bookings, 13% revenue growth and 19% free cash flow growth, according to the transcript analysis.
  • The $8.7 billion backlog provides visibility into 2026, while management’s outlook calls for 6–8% organic revenue growth.
  • R&D rose 40% and capex increased more than 60% in 2025, directed toward space, infrared sensing, tactical radars and electric propulsion.
  • The call analysis flags critical-material supply, margin pressure and elongated program conversion as factors that could complicate the growth outlook.

Management priorities

  • Scale the new naval power facility in Charleston and ramp production of tactical radars, infrared sensors and electric propulsion modules.
  • Execute the SDA Tracking Layer program and pursue additional space-based sensor opportunities, including crypto-enabled software-defined radios.
  • Expand counter-UAS and unmanned capabilities and pursue international opportunities through European partnerships.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DRS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $639M Q4 '23 actual $926M, beat Q1 '24 estimate $680M Q1 '24 actual $688M, beat Q2 '24 estimate $747M Q2 '24 actual $753M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $942M Q3 '24 actual $812M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $906M Q2 '25 actual $829M, miss Q3 '25 estimate $996M Q3 '25 actual $960M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $995M Q4 '25 actual $1B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $825M Q1 '26 actual $846M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $903M Q2 '26 actual $913M, beat Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '27 estimate $900M
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy9 ratings
Bullish777.8%
Neutral222.2%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$37.68Previous close
$30Low
$45.73Average
$59High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 19, 2026
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainJul 31, 2026
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainMay 6, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainMar 25, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainOct 30, 2025
Show 4 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $37.68. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$45$33.98 +19.4%Oct 22, 2026
Morgan StanleyJustin Lang$44$35.47 +16.8%Oct 16, 2026
GuggenheimMichael Ciarmoli$51$35.91 +35.4%Sep 14, 2026
Canaccord GenuityAustin Moeller$54$39.7 +43.3%May 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$59$43.58 +56.6%Feb 25, 2026
See 12 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Established in Arlington, Virginia, in 1969, Leonardo DRS, Inc. is a leading supplier of advanced defense products and technologies. The company's diverse portfolio addresses military requirements across various environments, including land, air, sea, space, and cybersecurity, with additional applications in the commercial sector. Its operations are organized into two primary divisions: Advanced Sensing and Computing, and Integrated Mission Systems. DRS provides sophisticated sensing solutions, such as infrared systems for threat identification and improving situational awareness, alongside uncooled infrared technologies and systems designed to mitigate brownout conditions. Their electronic warfare (EW) capabilities encompass airborne, vehicle-mounted, and soldier-borne systems, supported by specialized EW software, training tools, and intelligence services.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-02T11:30:46.992626+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-02T11:30:46.989555+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.