Digital Realty Trust, Inc. · DLR · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

Digital Realty: AI Demand Supports Growth, but Power and Capex Matter

Digital Realty’s latest analysis supports a constructive growth case: AI inference, interconnection demand and a record backlog provide visibility, while 2026 guidance and increased financing capacity support expansion. The main test is whether power availability, rising capex and financing costs can be managed without weakening returns or pricing power.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $64.94B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.24 Consensus $0.29
EPS surprise -16.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.63B Consensus $1.58B
Revenue surprise +3.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +4.2% Event window
SPY move +1.9% Same window
Abnormal move +2.3% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +4.7% Up to 20 sessions
DLRSPY benchmark

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What changed

The latest analysis adds a $1.4 billion backlog, record $340 million zero-to-one-megawatt interconnection bookings, 2026 core FFO guidance of $7.90-$8.00, a higher $3.25-$3.75 billion capex outlook, and a $3.2 billion LP-equity commitment for a closed-end fund. Management also highlighted a private AI exchange, power-based occupancy reporting and broader APAC expansion.

Guidance delta

Management set 2026 core FFO guidance at $7.90-$8.00, implying about 8% growth, while raising the capex outlook to $3.25-$3.75 billion.

Key takeaways

  • Management reported record fourth-quarter and full-year results, with full-year core FFO per share up 10% year over year.
  • Zero-to-one-megawatt interconnection bookings reached a record $340 million, while backlog reached $1.4 billion.
  • The growth plan pairs AI-ready infrastructure and APAC expansion with higher capex and private-market financing.

Management priorities

  • Deploy AI-ready, high-density infrastructure and expand private AI exchange capabilities.
  • Grow interconnection and Service Fabric offerings while continuing APAC acquisitions and joint ventures.
  • Fund development through higher capex, dispositions or joint-venture capital, and private-market equity.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DLR EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $1.63 Q1 '24 actual $1.67, beat Q2 '24 estimate $1.63 Q2 '24 actual $1.65, beat Q3 '24 estimate $1.67 Q3 '24 actual $1.67, match Q2 '25 estimate $1.74 Q2 '25 actual $1.87, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.78 Q3 '25 actual $1.89, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.29 Q4 '25 actual $0.24, miss Q1 '26 estimate $0.44 Q1 '26 actual $0.46, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.48 Q2 '26 actual $1.21, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.52 Q4 '26 estimate $0.52 Q1 '27 estimate $0.58 Q2 '27 estimate $0.66
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy47 ratings
Bullish3472.4%
Neutral1225.5%
Bearish12.1%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$176.49Current
$81Low
$188.38Average
$240High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 18, 2026
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeAug 14, 2026
Argus Research Buy HoldUpgradeAug 5, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2026
Show 43 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $176.49. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$227$182.12 +28.6%Sep 21, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$220$189.08 +24.7%Sep 10, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$240$198.08 +36.0%Aug 18, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$240$197.58 +36.0%Aug 13, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$223$193.8 +26.4%Aug 10, 2026
See 69 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Digital Realty Trust, Inc. owns, acquires, develops, and operates data centers through its operating partnership subsidiary, Digital Realty Trust, L.P. The company is focused on providing data center, colocation, and interconnection solutions for domestic and international customers across a variety of industry verticals ranging from cloud and information technology services, communications and social networking to financial services, manufacturing, energy, healthcare, and consumer products.…

Historical context

All DLR earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-01T21:56:08.849464+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-01T21:56:08.846258+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.