The Walt Disney Company · DIS · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q4 2025

Disney raises outlook as streaming and experiences strengthen

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: Disney's raised outlook, profitable direct-to-consumer operations, and experiences and film drivers strengthen the growth case, while sports-rights costs, distribution disputes, competition, and discretionary demand remain material tests.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $177.45B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.11 Consensus $1.05
EPS surprise +5.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $22.46B Consensus $22.76B
Revenue surprise -1.3% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -7.7% Event window
SPY move -1.7% Same window
Abnormal move -6.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 5.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +3.7% Up to 20 sessions
DISSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the supplied prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment moved from not provided to raised. The current analysis emphasizes profitable direct-to-consumer operations, ESPN app bundling, planned Disney Plus enhancements, and continued parks and cruise expansion.

Guidance delta

Management's guidance sentiment was raised, with double-digit FY2026 EPS growth projected in the supplied analysis.

Key takeaways

  • Direct-to-consumer businesses were reported as profitable, supported by bundling and the ESPN app.
  • Management cited film franchises, parks, cruises, and streaming as growth drivers.
  • About 80% of new ESPN app subscribers also joined the triple bundle, according to the supplied analysis.
  • The company plans further Disney Plus enhancements, including AI-enabled personalization and gaming integration.
  • Risks include sports-rights and content costs, streaming competition, and discretionary-spending pressure.

Management priorities

  • Expand and monetize ESPN direct-to-consumer offerings.
  • Deepen Disney Plus, Hulu, and ESPN bundling.
  • Develop the film slate and related merchandise opportunities.
  • Add cruise capacity and expand parks and attractions.
  • Enhance Disney Plus with personalization, user-generated content tools, and gaming integration.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DIS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $24B Q1 '24 actual $24B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $22B Q2 '24 actual $22B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $23B Q3 '24 actual $23B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $24B Q3 '25 actual $24B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $23B Q4 '25 actual $22B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $26B Q1 '26 actual $26B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $25B Q2 '26 actual $25B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $25B Q3 '26 actual $25B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $25B Q1 '27 estimate $28B Q2 '27 estimate $27B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy60 ratings
Bullish3863.3%
Neutral1830.0%
Bearish46.7%

3 unmapped firm ratings excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$102.19Current
$50Low
$138.4Average
$263High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 3, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainAug 6, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 58 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $102.19. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$115$109.82 +12.5%Aug 24, 2026
Wells FargoSteven Cahall$132$101.74 +29.2%Aug 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$115$101.74 +12.5%Aug 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$115$97.72 +12.5%Aug 3, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$125$94.64 +22.3%Jul 30, 2026
See 117 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating worldwide through its various subsidiaries, The Walt Disney Company (DIS) stands as a prominent global entertainment enterprise. Its vast array of activities is organized into two primary divisions: Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution, and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. Within its media and entertainment arm, Disney is actively engaged in developing and distributing both cinematic films and television series. This segment encompasses the management of well-known broadcast networks such as ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star, as well as renowned film studios responsible for productions under banners like Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures. The company also delivers content directly to consumers through its popular streaming platforms, including Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+.…

Historical context

All DIS earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-03T11:46:08.609545+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-03T11:46:08.606419+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-03. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.