The Walt Disney Company · DIS · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q1 2025

Disney Maintains Guidance as Streaming and Experiences Drive Growth

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive view of Disney's growth trajectory: streaming profitability, live-sports demand and Experiences initiatives provide potential support, but execution, competition and cost risks temper the case.

Reported Before market openNYSECommunication Services $190.89B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $1.45
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $24.57B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -2.4% Event window
SPY move +0.4% Same window
Abnormal move -2.8% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -4.6% Up to 20 sessions
DISSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current analysis emphasizes stronger-than-expected Q1 performance across studios, streaming, ESPN and Experiences, while maintaining guidance. New focus areas include the upcoming ESPN Flagship, Disney+ technology upgrades, the Disney Treasure cruise operation and Lightning Lane Premier.

Guidance delta

Maintained: management reaffirmed FY2025 guidance and high single-digit earnings growth expectations.

Key takeaways

  • Management described Q1 performance as exceeding expectations across studios, streaming, ESPN and Experiences.
  • Disney+ product upgrades, ESPN Flagship and premium park offerings are central to the stated growth plan.
  • Cost-cutting and a trimmed content budget are intended to improve efficiency while the company manages competition and sports-rights costs.

Management priorities

  • Launch ESPN Flagship with betting and fantasy integration.
  • Roll out Disney+ personalization, dynamic home-screen features and password-sharing controls.
  • Expand international advertising, premium park products and cruise operations.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DIS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 8 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $24B Q1 '24 actual $24B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $22B Q2 '24 actual $22B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $23B Q3 '24 actual $23B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $24B Q3 '25 actual $24B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $23B Q4 '25 actual $22B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $26B Q1 '26 actual $26B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $25B Q2 '26 actual $25B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $25B Q3 '26 actual $25B, miss Q4 '26 estimate $25B Q1 '27 estimate $28B Q2 '27 estimate $27B

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy60 ratings
Bullish3863.3%
Neutral1830.0%
Bearish46.7%

3 unmapped firm ratings excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$109.59Current
$50Low
$138.4Average
$263High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainOct 16, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 5, 2026
Guggenheim Buy BuyMaintainSep 28, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 58 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $109.59. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$115$109.82 +4.9%Aug 24, 2026
Wells FargoSteven Cahall$132$101.74 +20.4%Aug 6, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$115$101.74 +4.9%Aug 6, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$115$97.72 +4.9%Aug 3, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$125$94.64 +14.1%Jul 30, 2026
See 117 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Operating worldwide through its various subsidiaries, The Walt Disney Company (DIS) stands as a prominent global entertainment enterprise. Its vast array of activities is organized into two primary divisions: Disney Media and Entertainment Distribution, and Disney Parks, Experiences and Products. Within its media and entertainment arm, Disney is actively engaged in developing and distributing both cinematic films and television series. This segment encompasses the management of well-known broadcast networks such as ABC, Disney, ESPN, Freeform, FX, Fox, National Geographic, and Star, as well as renowned film studios responsible for productions under banners like Walt Disney Pictures, Twentieth Century Studios, Marvel, Lucasfilm, Pixar, and Searchlight Pictures. The company also delivers content directly to consumers through its popular streaming platforms, including Disney+, Disney+ Hotstar, ESPN+, Hulu, and Star+.…

Historical context

All DIS earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T00:04:22.296664+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-19T23:20:43.894315+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-19T23:20:43.891560+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-19. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.