HF Sinclair Corporation · DINO · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

HF Sinclair: Strong renewables and refining quarter, leadership transition remains

The quarter supports a constructive operating picture, with stronger renewables and refining performance and continued benefits from an integrated value chain. The main counterweights are leadership succession, credit and policy exposure, and volatile crude and feedstock markets.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $19.71B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.69 Consensus $-0.06
EPS surprise +1166.1% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $7.12B Consensus $6.83B
Revenue surprise +4.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.9% Event window
SPY move +0.3% Same window
Abnormal move +2.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.9× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.4% Up to 20 sessions
DINOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Management described stronger performance across refining, renewables, marketing, lubricants and midstream, alongside progress on operational flexibility projects. The leadership transition remains unresolved, and management continues to emphasize execution amid commodity and policy volatility.

Guidance delta

Maintained

Key takeaways

  • Renewables and improved refinery performance were the principal operating positives in the quarter.
  • Management highlighted operational flexibility, branded-site expansion and integrated value-chain benefits.
  • Leadership succession, RIN/RVO policy exposure and crude, spread and feedstock volatility remain central watchpoints.

Management priorities

  • Advance western-market and refinery flexibility projects.
  • Continue Sinclair branded-fuel expansion and pursue lubricants and specialty acquisitions.
  • Maintain shareholder returns while executing through the leadership transition.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DINO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.71 Q2 '24 actual $0.78, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.29 Q3 '24 actual $0.51, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.09 Q2 '25 actual $1.70, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.94 Q3 '25 actual $2.44, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.44 Q4 '25 actual $1.20, beat Q1 '26 estimate $-0.06 Q1 '26 actual $0.69, beat Q2 '26 estimate $4.49 Q2 '26 actual $5.31, beat Q3 '26 estimate $7.83 Q3 '26 actual $11.75, beat Q4 '26 estimate $6.26 Q1 '27 estimate $4.16 Q2 '27 estimate $4.90 Q3 '27 estimate $4.26
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy17 ratings
Bullish952.9%
Neutral741.2%
Bearish15.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$115Current
$49Low
$95.62Average
$152High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Nov 1, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainOct 22, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 14, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainOct 12, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainOct 12, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 8, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Raymond James Strong Buy Strong BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 14, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 22, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 23, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainFeb 19, 2026
Wolfe Research Underperform Peer PerformDowngradeJul 14, 2025
JP Morgan Neutral NeutralMaintainDec 10, 2024
B of A Securities Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 15, 2024
Cowen & Co. Outperform Market PerformUpgradeMay 11, 2022
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 10, 2022
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $115. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesJustin Jenkins$150$111.96 +30.4%Oct 28, 2026
Raymond JamesJustin Jenkins$160$114.21 +39.1%Oct 28, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$152$125.25 +32.2%Oct 27, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$135$128.23 +17.4%Oct 14, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$142$120.72 +23.5%Oct 9, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$119$115.63 +3.5%Oct 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$133$113.36 +15.7%Oct 3, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$140$105.85 +21.7%Sep 14, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$127$111.17 +10.4%Sep 14, 2026
UBSManav Gupta$126$105.41 +9.6%Sep 8, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$93$101.61 -19.1%Sep 1, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$85$87.26 -26.1%Aug 4, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$114$90 -0.9%Jul 29, 2026
BarclaysTheresa Chen$86$89.3 -25.2%Jul 29, 2026
Raymond JamesJustin Jenkins$105$89.3 -8.7%Jul 29, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$95$80.97 -17.4%Jul 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$81$78.07 -29.6%Jul 13, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$78$69.9 -32.2%Jun 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$79$68.53 -31.3%May 27, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$81$74.5 -29.6%May 6, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$80$72.65 -30.4%May 5, 2026
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$80$70.16 -30.4%May 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$69$70.13 -40.0%May 4, 2026
BarclaysTheresa Chen$71$69.17 -38.3%May 4, 2026
Morgan StanleyJoe Laetsch$66$59.54 -42.6%Apr 24, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$61$58.56 -47.0%Apr 14, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$60$50.86 -47.8%Feb 23, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$57$51.02 -50.4%Feb 19, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$63$51.57 -45.2%Feb 19, 2026
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$53$51.57 -53.9%Feb 18, 2026
Morgan StanleyJoe Laetsch$61$49.35 -47.0%Jan 27, 2026
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$62$48.83 -46.1%Jan 16, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$67$49.82 -41.7%Jan 16, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$68$48.18 -40.9%Jan 8, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$63$49.36 -45.2%Dec 12, 2025
UBSManav Gupta$65$53.39 -43.5%Nov 4, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$65$50.63 -43.5%Oct 17, 2025
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$66$52.44 -42.6%Oct 9, 2025
Morgan StanleyJoe Laetsch$60$51.84 -47.8%Oct 3, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$63$51.99 -45.2%Oct 2, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$54$52.34 -53.0%Oct 1, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$60$51.64 -47.8%Sep 15, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$60$52.43 -47.8%Sep 9, 2025
UBSManav Gupta$58$49.22 -49.6%Aug 26, 2025
BarclaysTheresa Chen$43$44.74 -62.6%Jul 9, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$35$32.36 -69.6%Mar 14, 2025
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$46$32.13 -60.0%Mar 7, 2025
Wells FargoRoger Read$53$44.51 -53.9%Oct 8, 2024
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$49$47.25 -57.4%Sep 20, 2024
BarclaysTheresa Chen$53$46.76 -53.9%Aug 5, 2024
BarclaysTheresa Chen$56$53.34 -51.3%Jul 1, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$61$52.14 -47.0%Jun 20, 2024
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$58$52.17 -49.6%Jun 14, 2024
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$65$56.21 -43.5%May 14, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$65$60 -43.5%Apr 15, 2024
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$70$62.9 -39.1%Apr 5, 2024
UBSManav Gupta$73$59.52 -36.5%Feb 14, 2024
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$65$52.49 -43.5%Oct 5, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$55$50.52 -52.2%Jan 5, 2023
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$75$50.76 -34.8%Dec 19, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$56$50.75 -51.3%Aug 16, 2022
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$51$45.65 -55.7%Jul 5, 2022
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$53$45 -53.9%Jun 21, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$53$42.29 -53.9%May 10, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

HF Sinclair Corporation operates as a prominent independent energy enterprise, engaged in the production and commercialization of a diverse array of petroleum products. Its offerings include conventional fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, alongside its growing renewable diesel segment. The company also specializes in unique lubricants, chemicals, and various types of asphalt. With a network of refineries strategically located in Kansas, Oklahoma, New Mexico, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming, HF Sinclair primarily distributes its refined output across the Southwestern United States, the Rocky Mountain…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-11-01T03:40:40.469276+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-11-01T03:40:40.466543+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-11-01. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.