Deckers Outdoor Corporation · DECK · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q4 2024

Deckers raises FY2025 outlook as HOKA leads growth

The call supports a constructive but conditional view: strong HOKA and UGG demand, product innovation and international expansion are supporting growth, while margin headwinds and the sustainability of HOKA momentum are the main counterweights.

Reported After market closeNYSEConsumer Cyclical $11.88B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.59 Consensus $1.24
EPS surprise +28.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.31B Consensus $1.70B
Revenue surprise -23.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +10.6% Event window
SPY move -0.0% Same window
Abnormal move +10.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 4.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +14.3% Up to 20 sessions
DECKSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior-quarter analysis, the current call showed continued HOKA acceleration, a larger international emphasis and another increase in full-year guidance. The risk discussion also became more focused on higher-priced products, legacy inventory, freight, promotions and tariffs.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year FY2025 guidance, with the analysis pointing to higher revenue, EPS and operating-margin expectations.

Key takeaways

  • HOKA remained the primary growth engine, with new products supporting demand.
  • UGG also delivered double-digit growth, while international markets outpaced the U.S.
  • Higher gross margin and reduced close-outs supported the quarter.
  • Management emphasized product innovation, marketplace discipline and international expansion.
  • The key test is whether growth and margin resilience hold as freight, promotions and tariff uncertainty increase.

Management priorities

  • Launch and scale new HOKA products.
  • Expand international and direct-to-consumer channels.
  • Manage distribution selectively with key retail partners.
  • Increase localized marketing and demand-creation investment.
  • Continue sustainability initiatives and brand collaborations.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DECK REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $879M Q3 '24 actual $2B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $888M Q4 '24 actual $960M, beat Q1 '25 estimate $807M Q1 '25 actual $825M, beat Q2 '25 estimate $2B Q2 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $900M Q1 '26 actual $965M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2B Q3 '26 actual $2B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 actual $1B, miss Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '27 actual $1B, beat Q2 '27 estimate $2B Q3 '27 estimate $2B Q4 '27 estimate $1B Q1 '28 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold55 ratings
Bullish2647.3%
Neutral2341.8%
Bearish610.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$87.24Previous close
$70Low
$161.67Average
$480High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 20, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 16, 2026
Telsey Advisory Group Market Perform Market PerformMaintainOct 15, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2026
Show 51 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $87.24. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$105$86.58 +20.4%Oct 16, 2026
UBSJay Sole$140$86.32 +60.5%Oct 15, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$70$82.6 -19.8%Sep 8, 2026
NeedhamTom Nikic$125$96.23 +43.3%Jul 24, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$133$96.23 +52.5%Jul 24, 2026
See 82 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Deckers Outdoor Corporation, operating with its subsidiaries, is a global enterprise dedicated to the creation, promotion, and distribution of footwear, apparel, and accessories. Its product lines serve both casual everyday needs and specialized high-performance activities. The company manages a portfolio of prominent brands: Under the UGG label, it offers premium footwear, clothing, and related items. Teva is known for its range of sandals, shoes, and boots. Sanuk provides comfortable, relaxed casual shoes and sandals. For the athletic segment, particularly ultra-runners and other athletes, Hoka supplies specialized footwear and apparel. Lastly, Koolaburra features fashionable casual footwear, often incorporating plush materials.…

Historical context

All DECK earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2024-11-10T18:38:36.707185+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-20T10:40:40.607248+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-20T10:40:40.604392+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-20. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.