Delta Air Lines, Inc. · DAL · FY2026 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2026

Delta balances broad travel demand against fuel and execution risks

Delta's current setup is supported by broad corporate and leisure demand, premium and loyalty growth, and fleet and MRO investment; fuel costs and execution remain the key offsets.

Reported Before market openNYSEIndustrials $54.42B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.64 Consensus $0.58
EPS surprise +10.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $14.20B Consensus $14.05B
Revenue surprise +1.1% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +3.7% Event window
SPY move +2.5% Same window
Abnormal move +1.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +7.7% Up to 20 sessions
DALSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The current call added a sharper fuel-cost challenge and highlighted the expected recovery of 40–50% of that headwind in Q2. Management also emphasized 95 aircraft on order, expanded digital connectivity, premium cabin rollout and MRO growth.

Guidance delta

Maintained; management expects to recapture 40–50% of the fuel headwind in Q2 and sustain low-teens revenue growth.

Key takeaways

  • Management described robust corporate and leisure demand, with premium and loyalty revenues growing mid-teens.
  • Fuel prices are a material headwind; management expects to recapture 40–50% of the extra cost in Q2.
  • Fleet renewal, premium cabin segmentation, digital engagement and MRO expansion remain central priorities.
  • MRO revenue more than doubled year over year to $380 million, with a $1.2 billion annual revenue target.
  • The main watchpoints are fuel-cost recovery, capacity decisions, international margins and operating reliability.

Management priorities

  • Renew the fleet with 95 newly ordered aircraft
  • Expand premium cabin seating and cabin segmentation
  • Open and renovate Sky Club lounges
  • Expand Delta Sync and satellite connectivity through the Amazon Leo partnership
  • Scale the MRO business

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
DAL REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $13B Q1 '24 actual $14B, beat Q2 '24 estimate $15B Q2 '24 actual $17B, beat Q3 '24 estimate $15B Q3 '24 actual $16B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $15B Q2 '25 actual $17B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $15B Q3 '25 actual $17B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $15B Q4 '25 actual $15B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $14B Q1 '26 actual $14B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $17B Q2 '26 actual $20B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $18B Q4 '26 estimate $17B Q1 '27 estimate $15B Q2 '27 estimate $19B
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy44 ratings
Bullish3784.1%
Neutral715.9%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$82.76Current
$38Low
$79.2Average
$125High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rothschild & Co Buy BuyMaintainSep 18, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 11, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 10, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 24, 2026
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 24, 2026
Show 39 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $82.76. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSAnalyst unavailable$105$81.54 +26.9%Sep 24, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$105$79.43 +26.9%Sep 18, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$95$78.24 +14.8%Sep 11, 2026
UBSAtul Maheswari$99$78.75 +19.6%Sep 10, 2026
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$98$82.87 +18.4%Aug 24, 2026
See 104 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Delta Air Lines, Inc. provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo in the United States and internationally. The company operates through two segments, Airline and Refinery. Its domestic network centered on core hubs in Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis-St. Paul, and Salt Lake City, as well as coastal hub positions in Boston, Los Angeles, New York-LaGuardia, New York-JFK, and Seattle; and international network centered on hubs and market presence in Amsterdam, Bogota, Lima, Mexico City, London-Heathrow, Paris-Charles de Gaulle, Santiago (Chile), Sao Paulo, Seoul-Incheon, and Tokyo. It also provides aircraft maintenance and engineering support, repair, and overhaul services; and vacation packages. The company operates through a fleet of approximately 1,314 aircraft. Delta Air Lines, Inc. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T02:00:56.474110+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T02:00:56.471260+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.