Chevron Corporation · CVX · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Chevron pairs record production with early Hess synergies and a new power platform

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: record production, early Hess synergies, structural cost reductions and a new power platform strengthen Chevron's growth and efficiency case. The main counterweights are commodity volatility, geopolitical exposure, infrastructure reliability and execution risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $403.16B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.06 Consensus $5.55
EPS surprise +9.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $70.06B Consensus $62.72B
Revenue surprise +11.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.6% Up to 20 sessions
CVXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Chevron reported record Q2 upstream production and refinery throughput, delivered Hess synergies six months early, reached its structural cost-reduction target ahead of schedule, and secured a long-duration Microsoft power agreement. Capex guidance remained at the low end of the stated range.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance at the low end of the $18-$19 billion capital-expenditure range, while reporting improved capex efficiency.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 analysis highlights record U.S. upstream production and refinery throughput above 1 million barrels per day.
  • Chevron said it achieved $3 billion of structural cost reductions six months early and realized $1.5 billion of Hess synergies.
  • The Kilby project adds a behind-the-meter power growth avenue through a 20-year Microsoft power-purchase agreement.

Management priorities

  • Maintain cost reductions, capital discipline and efficiency gains
  • Advance Guyana, Permian, exploration and Hess-integration opportunities
  • Expand behind-the-meter power projects and deliver the Kilby project

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CVX REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $48B Q1 '24 actual $47B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $51B Q2 '24 actual $50B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $49B Q3 '24 actual $54B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $44B Q2 '25 actual $44B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $49B Q3 '25 actual $48B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $47B Q4 '25 actual $47B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $52B Q1 '26 actual $49B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $63B Q2 '26 actual $70B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $58B Q4 '26 estimate $53B Q1 '27 estimate $53B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish3465.4%
Neutral1426.9%
Bearish47.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$202.41Previous close
$87Low
$182.14Average
$243High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 3, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 17, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $202.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$235$211.76 +16.1%Sep 3, 2026
Piper SandlerJohn Royall$243$211.76 +20.1%Sep 3, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$230$211.76 +13.6%Sep 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$218$207.35 +7.7%Aug 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$208$200.01 +2.8%Aug 17, 2026
See 117 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Chevron Corporation functions as a global energy and chemicals powerhouse, orchestrating its diverse operations worldwide. The company's business is organized into two primary divisions: Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment focuses on the full lifecycle of crude oil and natural gas, from their initial exploration and development to production and subsequent transportation. This also encompasses the processing, liquefaction, transit, and regasification of liquefied natural gas (LNG), as well as pipeline transport of crude oil and the movement, storage, and sale of natural gas. Additionally, this segment manages a facility dedicated to converting natural gas into liquid fuels. In contrast, the Downstream segment is tasked with refining crude oil into a variety of petroleum products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-31T18:08:10.840348+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-05T01:23:14.965082+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T06:20:54.350800+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T06:20:54.348083+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.