Chevron Corporation · CVX · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026

Chevron pairs record production with early Hess synergies and a new power platform

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating picture: record production, early Hess synergies, structural cost reductions and a new power platform strengthen Chevron's growth and efficiency case. The main counterweights are commodity volatility, geopolitical exposure, infrastructure reliability and execution risk.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $403.16B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $6.06 Consensus $5.55
EPS surprise +9.2% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $70.06B Consensus $62.72B
Revenue surprise +11.7% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +2.4% Event window
SPY move +0.7% Same window
Abnormal move +1.6% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.3× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +2.6% Up to 20 sessions
CVXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, Chevron reported record Q2 upstream production and refinery throughput, delivered Hess synergies six months early, reached its structural cost-reduction target ahead of schedule, and secured a long-duration Microsoft power agreement. Capex guidance remained at the low end of the stated range.

Guidance delta

Management maintained guidance at the low end of the $18-$19 billion capital-expenditure range, while reporting improved capex efficiency.

Key takeaways

  • Q2 analysis highlights record U.S. upstream production and refinery throughput above 1 million barrels per day.
  • Chevron said it achieved $3 billion of structural cost reductions six months early and realized $1.5 billion of Hess synergies.
  • The Kilby project adds a behind-the-meter power growth avenue through a 20-year Microsoft power-purchase agreement.

Management priorities

  • Maintain cost reductions, capital discipline and efficiency gains
  • Advance Guyana, Permian, exploration and Hess-integration opportunities
  • Expand behind-the-meter power projects and deliver the Kilby project

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CVX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $2.87 Q1 '24 actual $2.93, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.93 Q2 '24 actual $2.55, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.42 Q3 '24 actual $2.51, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.73 Q2 '25 actual $1.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.69 Q3 '25 actual $1.85, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.41 Q4 '25 actual $1.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.00 Q1 '26 actual $1.41, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.55 Q2 '26 actual $6.06, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.69 Q4 '26 estimate $3.63 Q1 '27 estimate $3.54
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish3465.4%
Neutral1426.9%
Bearish47.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$202.41Previous close
$87Low
$182.14Average
$243High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
BMO Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 3, 2026
Morgan Stanley Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 19, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 17, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainAug 5, 2026
Bernstein Market Perform Market PerformMaintainAug 3, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainJul 28, 2026
Wolfe Research Outperform Peer PerformUpgradeJul 2, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 27, 2026
RBC Capital Outperform OutperformMaintainMay 5, 2026
UBS Buy BuyMaintainMay 4, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainApr 22, 2026
BNP Paribas Outperform NeutralUpgradeApr 17, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainApr 2, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJan 14, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Sell HoldDowngradeJan 6, 2026
Freedom Broker Sell HoldDowngradeJan 6, 2026
HSBC Buy HoldUpgradeDec 1, 2025
Raymond James Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 17, 2025
Redburn Atlantic Sell NeutralDowngradeApr 23, 2025
Truist Securities Hold HoldMaintainFeb 4, 2025
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 1, 2024
DZ Bank Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 6, 2024
JP Morgan Neutral UnderweightUpgradeMay 31, 2023
Exane BNP Paribas Neutral UnderperformUpgradeApr 4, 2023
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainFeb 24, 2023
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainJun 9, 2022
Redburn Partners Buy NeutralUpgradeJul 22, 2021
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainMay 12, 2021
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 17, 2021
MKM Partners Buy BuyMaintainSep 24, 2020
SunTrust Robinson Humphrey Buy BuyMaintainJul 24, 2020
Bank of America Underperform NeutralDowngradeJan 7, 2020
Tudor Pickering Buy BuyMaintainMar 1, 2019
Societe Generale Buy BuyMaintainDec 19, 2018
Berenberg Buy BuyMaintainSep 11, 2018
Macquarie Neutral OutperformDowngradeJul 3, 2018
Argus Buy HoldUpgradeMay 5, 2018
Independent Research Buy HoldUpgradeDec 1, 2016
CLSA Buy OutperformMaintainNov 15, 2016
PiperJaffray Overweight NeutralUpgradeAug 9, 2016
Nomura Neutral NeutralMaintainMar 18, 2016
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 21, 2016
Deutsche Bank Buy BuyMaintainJan 7, 2016
Oppenheimer Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 24, 2015
S&P Capital IQ Buy Strong BuyDowngradeJan 31, 2014
Scotia Howard Weil Sector Perform Sector OutperformDowngradeJan 8, 2014
Canaccord Genuity Buy BuyMaintainFeb 22, 2013
Dahlman Rose Buy BuyMaintainFeb 4, 2013
Oracle Investment Research Hold BuyDowngradeFeb 1, 2013
VTB Capital Hold HoldMaintainSep 27, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $202.41. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$235$211.76 +16.1%Sep 3, 2026
Piper SandlerJohn Royall$243$211.76 +20.1%Sep 3, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$230$211.76 +13.6%Sep 3, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$218$207.35 +7.7%Aug 19, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$208$200.01 +2.8%Aug 17, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$209$194.66 +3.3%Aug 3, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$224$196.87 +10.7%Aug 3, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$216$196.87 +6.7%Aug 3, 2026
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$207$192.98 +2.3%Jul 23, 2026
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$216$174.68 +6.7%Jul 10, 2026
Wolfe ResearchDoug Leggate$210$165.7 +3.7%Jul 2, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$230$184.69 +13.6%May 27, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$213$191.43 +5.2%May 26, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$214$190.51 +5.7%May 22, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$204$181.45 +0.8%May 11, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$216$192.66 +6.7%May 6, 2026
UBSJosh Silverstein$220$190.54 +8.7%May 4, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$192$190.63 -5.1%May 4, 2026
BNP ParibasLucas Herrmann$174$188.18 -14.0%Apr 17, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$222$190.36 +9.7%Apr 9, 2026
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$212$211.15 +4.7%Mar 27, 2026
Melius ResearchAnalyst unavailable$205$183.71 +1.3%Feb 17, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$203$177.06 +0.3%Feb 3, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$212$174.3 +4.7%Feb 2, 2026
BMO CapitalAnalyst unavailable$190$177.01 -6.1%Feb 2, 2026
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$180$177.01 -11.1%Feb 2, 2026
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$174$167.47 -14.0%Jan 23, 2026
BarclaysBetty Jiang$166$167.55 -18.0%Jan 21, 2026
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$168$166.98 -17.0%Jan 16, 2026
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$189$167.08 -6.6%Jan 14, 2026
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$174$155.2 -14.0%Jan 8, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$172$155.87 -15.0%Jan 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$206$150.71 +1.8%Dec 12, 2025
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$169$151.49 -16.5%Dec 1, 2025
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$160$152.92 -21.0%Oct 17, 2025
ScotiabankAnalyst unavailable$165$152.57 -18.5%Oct 9, 2025
BarclaysBetty Jiang$158$154.02 -21.9%Oct 7, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$191$157.31 -5.6%Sep 15, 2025
UBSAnalyst unavailable$186$151.04 -8.1%Aug 4, 2025
Wells FargoRoger Read$178$151.64 -12.1%Aug 1, 2025
BNP ParibasLucas Herrmann$140$134.54 -30.8%Apr 15, 2025
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$184$157.79 -9.1%Dec 9, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$155$153.97 -23.4%Nov 4, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$150$150.75 -25.9%Oct 21, 2024
Bank of America SecuritiesJean Ann Salisbury$168$148.73 -17.0%Oct 17, 2024
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$163$149.65 -19.5%Oct 10, 2024
BarclaysBetty Jiang$168$149.7 -17.0%Oct 2, 2024
BarclaysBetty Jiang$185$144.66 -8.6%Aug 6, 2024
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$154$144.77 -23.9%Aug 5, 2024
RBC CapitalBiraj Borkhataria$180$148.55 -11.1%Aug 5, 2024
BernsteinBob Brackett$138$152.62 -31.8%Aug 2, 2024
HSBCFrank Lee$200$160.38 -1.2%Jul 17, 2024
BernsteinBob Brackett$167$157.77 -17.5%Jul 17, 2024
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$175$162.72 -13.5%May 17, 2024
Wells FargoRoger Read$206$161.27 +1.8%Apr 30, 2024
HSBCKim Fustier$178$161.27 -12.1%Apr 30, 2024
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$204$157.62 +0.8%Apr 18, 2024
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$195$162.67 -3.7%Apr 11, 2024
UBSJosh Silverstein$197$161.27 -2.7%Apr 8, 2024
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$190$161.6 -6.1%Apr 8, 2024
Wells FargoRoger Read$198$160.44 -2.2%Apr 4, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesNitin Kumar$200$154.55 -1.2%Mar 20, 2024
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$180$155.7 -11.1%Mar 14, 2024
ScotiabankPaul Cheng$170$147.89 -16.0%Feb 2, 2024
JefferiesLloyd Byrne$184$149.5 -9.1%Jan 8, 2024
BernsteinBob Brackett$182$147.64 -10.1%Nov 2, 2023
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$187$158.87 -7.6%Jul 31, 2023
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$188$152.8 -7.1%Jun 22, 2023
J.P. MorganJohn M Royall$170$150.62 -16.0%May 31, 2023
Raymond JamesJustin Jenkins$212$164.04 +4.7%Mar 8, 2023
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$202$176.2 -0.2%Jan 10, 2023
Wells FargoEdward Kelly$87$176.56 -57.0%Jan 9, 2023
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$212$178.08 +4.7%Jan 3, 2023
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$199$168.72 -1.7%Dec 19, 2022
BNP ParibasLucas Herrmann$190$174.08 -6.1%Dec 14, 2022
HSBCGordon Gray$177$180.9 -12.6%Nov 1, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$190$159.97 -6.1%Sep 12, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$193$156.55 -4.6%Sep 6, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$187$166 -7.6%Aug 29, 2022
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$120$155.29 -40.7%Aug 15, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$185$163.78 -8.6%Aug 1, 2022
Raymond JamesAnalyst unavailable$185$163.78 -8.6%Aug 1, 2022
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$166$141.88 -18.0%Jul 19, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$190$141.43 -6.1%Jul 19, 2022
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$189$139.58 -6.6%Jul 19, 2022
CitigroupAnalyst unavailable$150$138.92 -25.9%Jul 13, 2022
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$170$146.51 -16.0%Jul 5, 2022
Credit SuisseManav Gupta$202$156.87 -0.2%Jun 16, 2022
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$181$180.2 -10.6%Jun 8, 2022
Goldman SachsJason Gabelman$179$180.03 -11.6%Jun 7, 2022
Cowen & Co.Analyst unavailable$179$176.83 -11.6%Jun 7, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$185$177.6 -8.6%Jun 6, 2022
BarclaysJeanine Wai$196$177.6 -3.2%Jun 6, 2022
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$181$159.75 -10.6%May 3, 2022
Credit SuisseAnalyst unavailable$190$159.24 -6.1%May 2, 2022
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$181$156.67 -10.6%May 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchSam Margolin$197$159.75 -2.7%May 2, 2022
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$186$156.53 -8.1%Apr 26, 2022
Morgan StanleyAnalyst unavailable$188$163.85 -7.1%Apr 22, 2022
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$165$172.53 -18.5%Apr 21, 2022
UBSLuiz Carvalho$192$169.93 -5.1%Apr 9, 2022
HSBCGordon Gray$165$164.64 -18.5%Mar 21, 2022
Morgan StanleyDevin McDermott$166$166.72 -18.0%Mar 14, 2022
Wells FargoRoger Read$184$170.9 -9.1%Mar 11, 2022
MKM PartnersJohn Gerdes$157$158.65 -22.4%Mar 4, 2022
Cowen & Co.Jason Gabelman$160$156.22 -21.0%Mar 3, 2022
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$160$156.22 -21.0%Mar 3, 2022
CitigroupAlastair Syme$145$154.14 -28.4%Mar 2, 2022
Evercore ISIStephen Richardson$145$154.14 -28.4%Mar 2, 2022
Piper SandlerRyan Todd$173$154.14 -14.5%Mar 2, 2022
DZ BANK AGWerner Eisenmann$167$154.14 -17.5%Mar 2, 2022
Wolfe ResearchSam Margolin$168$154.14 -17.0%Mar 2, 2022
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$170$154.14 -16.0%Mar 2, 2022
Raymond JamesJustin Jenkins$173$149.72 -14.5%Mar 1, 2022
Bank of America SecuritiesDoug Leggate$167$144 -17.5%Feb 28, 2022
Credit SuisseManav Gupta$152$140.38 -24.9%Feb 25, 2022
Cowen & Co.Jason Gabelman$140$135.55 -30.8%Feb 23, 2022
Goldman SachsNeil Mehta$142$129.96 -29.8%Jan 31, 2022
UBSJon Rigby$150$130.61 -25.9%Jan 30, 2022
Truist FinancialNeal Dingmann$167$128.96 -17.5%Jan 16, 2022
Argus ResearchBill Selesky$127$111.36 -37.3%Nov 2, 2021
Societe GeneraleIrene Himona$130$110.35 -35.8%Oct 22, 2021
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Chevron Corporation functions as a global energy and chemicals powerhouse, orchestrating its diverse operations worldwide. The company's business is organized into two primary divisions: Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment focuses on the full lifecycle of crude oil and natural gas, from their initial exploration and development to production and subsequent transportation. This also encompasses the processing, liquefaction, transit, and regasification of liquefied natural gas (LNG), as well as pipeline transport of crude oil and the movement, storage, and sale of natural gas. Additionally, this segment manages a facility dedicated to converting natural gas into liquid fuels. In contrast, the Downstream segment is tasked with refining crude oil into a variety of petroleum products.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-07-31T18:08:10.840348+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-09-05T01:23:14.965082+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-23T06:20:54.350800+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-23T06:20:54.348083+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.