Chevron Corporation · CVX · FY2025 Q1 · Calendar Q2 2025

Chevron emphasizes project ramp-ups and capital discipline

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: project ramp-ups, cost discipline, and diversified power and chemicals initiatives may strengthen Chevron's operating trajectory, while commodity, geopolitical, regulatory, tariff, and execution risks remain material.

Reported Before market openNYSEEnergy $422.18B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $2.37
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $48.75B
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +1.6% Event window
SPY move +1.5% Same window
Abnormal move +0.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.0× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -0.5% Up to 20 sessions
CVXSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the supplied review shifts emphasis toward TCO, Ballymore, and Pasadena start-ups, the Hess merger process, reduced capital spending, and the Power Solutions and Aphrodite projects. Guidance sentiment remained maintained.

Guidance delta

Maintained, according to the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis describes robust cash generation and shareholder returns in the quarter.
  • Management emphasized lower capital spending, cost reductions, and a flexible capital program.
  • TCO, Ballymore, and the Pasadena refinery expansion were identified as production and operating-growth drivers.
  • Chevron is advancing the Hess merger while expanding power-solutions and chemicals initiatives.
  • The constructive operating outlook remains exposed to oil-price, geopolitical, regulatory, tariff, and execution risks.

Management priorities

  • Ramp TCO and Ballymore production and advance the Pasadena refinery expansion.
  • Complete the Hess merger and integrate operations.
  • Advance the Power Solutions joint venture and Cyprus Aphrodite gas project.
  • Continue cost-reduction initiatives and maintain flexible capital spending.
  • Manage regulatory, sanctions, concession, and tariff exposure across operating regions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CVX EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $3.29 Q4 '23 actual $3.45, beat Q1 '24 estimate $2.87 Q1 '24 actual $2.93, beat Q2 '24 estimate $2.93 Q2 '24 actual $2.55, miss Q3 '24 estimate $2.42 Q3 '24 actual $2.51, beat Q2 '25 estimate $1.73 Q2 '25 actual $1.77, beat Q3 '25 estimate $1.69 Q3 '25 actual $1.85, beat Q4 '25 estimate $1.41 Q4 '25 actual $1.52, beat Q1 '26 estimate $1.00 Q1 '26 actual $1.41, beat Q2 '26 estimate $5.55 Q2 '26 actual $6.06, beat Q3 '26 estimate $4.73 Q4 '26 estimate $3.63 Q1 '27 estimate $3.18
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy52 ratings
Bullish3465.4%
Neutral1426.9%
Bearish47.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$215.37Current
$87Low
$185.04Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 12, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainOct 8, 2026
TD Cowen Hold HoldMaintainSep 28, 2026
HSBC Buy BuyMaintainSep 25, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 3, 2026
Show 47 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $215.37. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
UBSManav Gupta$235$205.19 +9.1%Oct 8, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$250$205.58 +16.1%Sep 25, 2026
HSBCKim Fustier$250$205.58 +16.1%Sep 25, 2026
BMO CapitalPhillip Jungwirth$235$211.76 +9.1%Sep 3, 2026
Piper SandlerJohn Royall$243$211.76 +12.8%Sep 3, 2026
See 120 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Chevron Corporation functions as a global energy and chemicals powerhouse, orchestrating its diverse operations worldwide. The company's business is organized into two primary divisions: Upstream and Downstream. The Upstream segment focuses on the full lifecycle of crude oil and natural gas, from their initial exploration and development to production and subsequent transportation. This also encompasses the processing, liquefaction, transit, and regasification of liquefied natural gas (LNG), as well as pipeline transport of crude oil and the movement, storage, and sale of natural gas. Additionally, this segment manages a facility dedicated to converting natural gas into liquid fuels. In contrast, the Downstream segment is tasked with refining crude oil into a variety of petroleum products.…

Historical context

All CVX earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-04-18T00:01:48.469141+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-12T15:40:41.481447+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-12T15:40:41.478675+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-12. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.