CVS Health Corp. · CVS · FY2025 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2025

CVS raises 2025 EPS outlook as Aetna and pharmacy trends improve

The supplied analysis supports a cautiously constructive operating picture: Aetna recovery, pharmacy growth, and strategic initiatives improved the near-term trajectory, but healthcare-delivery costs and Medicare Advantage exposure remain material constraints.

Reported Before market openNYSEHealthcare $110.28B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.81 Consensus $1.46
EPS surprise +24.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $98.92B Consensus $94.53B
Revenue surprise +4.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -0.3% Event window
SPY move -0.4% Same window
Abnormal move +0.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +16.2% Up to 20 sessions
CVSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Versus the prior-quarter analysis, management reported continued Aetna and pharmacy momentum and raised the full-year EPS range to $6.30-$6.40. The update also kept attention on Oak Street medical-cost pressure, Medicare Advantage trends, and the execution of CostVantage and weight-management initiatives.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to $6.30-$6.40 from the prior quarter's $6.00-$6.20 range.

Key takeaways

  • Aetna margin recovery and government-business premium growth were highlighted as performance drivers.
  • Pharmacy and retail delivered strong volume trends, including script share gains and front-store growth.
  • CostVantage, the GLP-1 weight-management program, and technology investments remain central initiatives.
  • Oak Street Health medical-cost pressure remains the principal operating offset.
  • Management also pointed to a $20 billion, decade-long healthcare-transformation commitment.

Management priorities

  • Continue Aetna integration and margin recovery.
  • Expand CostVantage into government contracts.
  • Scale the weight-management and GLP-1 formulary initiatives.
  • Invest in healthcare-delivery and pharmacy technology.
  • Advance value-based-care initiatives and prepare for Investor Day.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CVS REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '23 estimate $90B Q4 '23 actual $94B, beat Q1 '24 estimate $89B Q1 '24 actual $88B, miss Q2 '24 estimate $91B Q2 '24 actual $91B, match Q3 '24 estimate $93B Q3 '24 actual $95B, beat Q2 '25 estimate $95B Q2 '25 actual $99B, beat Q3 '25 estimate $99B Q3 '25 actual $103B, beat Q4 '25 estimate $104B Q4 '25 actual $106B, beat Q1 '26 estimate $95B Q1 '26 actual $100B, beat Q2 '26 estimate $100B Q2 '26 actual $106B, beat Q3 '26 estimate $105B Q4 '26 estimate $106B Q1 '27 estimate $104B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy41 ratings
Bullish3585.4%
Neutral614.6%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$86.43Previous close
$66Low
$106.77Average
$126High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 7, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
UBS Buy BuyMaintainSep 3, 2026
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 19, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 6, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 6, 2026
Show 36 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $86.43. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Piper SandlerAnalyst unavailable$112$93.04 +29.6%Sep 9, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$118$97.23 +36.5%Sep 3, 2026
Argus ResearchAnalyst unavailable$114$95.58 +31.9%Aug 19, 2026
Robert W. BairdMichael Ha$107$96.96 +23.8%Aug 6, 2026
UBSKevin Caliendo$126$99.12 +45.8%Aug 6, 2026
See 86 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CVS Health Corp. is a health solutions company, which engages in the provision of healthcare services. It operates through the following segments: Health Care Benefits, Health Services, Pharmacy and Consumer Wellness, and Corporate and Other. The Health Care Benefits segment operates as a health care benefits provider. The Health Services segment offers a full range of PBM solutions, delivers health care services in its medical clinics, virtually, and in the home. The Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness segment dispenses prescriptions in its retail pharmacies and through its infusion operations. The Corporate and Other Segment is involved in management and administrative expenses. The company was founded by Stanley P. Goldstein and Ralph Hoagland in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, RI.

Historical context

All CVS earnings

Healthcare peers this season

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MDT Medtronic plc FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +4.3% +1.5% Medtronic raises FY27 outlook as growth broadens across platforms

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:55.686058+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-07T05:40:43.081034+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-07T05:40:43.078320+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-07. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.