Corteva, Inc. · CTVA · FY2024 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2025
Corteva Maintains 2025 Outlook as Seed and Crop Protection Trends Diverge
The supplied analysis supports a constructive but conditional view: resilient seed demand, Brazil crop-protection strength, cost savings, and licensing provide support for Corteva’s outlook, while currency, pricing, weather, and working-capital risks could limit delivery.
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What changed
Management’s emphasis was on maintaining the outlook while pointing to strong seed execution, Brazil-led crop-protection margin expansion, and additional cost and licensing initiatives. The supplied data do not include reported EPS or revenue actuals, so the earnings beat-or-miss picture remains missing.
Guidance delta
Management maintained its 2025 guidance, with roughly 10% EBITDA growth, 100–150 basis points of margin expansion, and a $1 billion share-repurchase program.
Key takeaways
- Management described strong seed performance and market-share gains, while crop protection benefited from Brazil demand.
- The call highlighted cost improvements, raw-material deflation, and licensing as support for the outlook.
- Currency, pricing, weather, and working-capital normalization remain the main execution risks.
Management priorities
- Launch approximately 300 new seed hybrids and varieties in 2025.
- Deliver $300–$400 million of 2025 cost improvements and continue productivity efforts.
- Expand Enlist, Concessa, and Paracort licensing while developing the biologicals portfolio.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 13, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keybanc | Overweight | Sector Weight | Upgrade | Oct 7, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Neutral | Upgrade | Oct 6, 2026 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Sep 18, 2026 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 23, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Mizuho | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Barclays | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | May 28, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 12, 2024 |
| OTR Global | Negative | Mixed | Downgrade | Jun 7, 2024 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Buy | Buy | Maintain | May 3, 2024 |
| Loop Capital | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Feb 12, 2024 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Neutral | Underperform | Upgrade | Feb 2, 2024 |
| Roth MKM | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jan 29, 2024 |
| Berenberg | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Nov 27, 2023 |
| Fermium Research | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 30, 2023 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Oct 24, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Aug 4, 2023 |
| Redburn Partners | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jul 25, 2023 |
| Vertical Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | May 22, 2023 |
| Roth Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 8, 2021 |
| Monness, Crespi, Hardt | Neutral | Sell | Upgrade | Aug 9, 2021 |
| Redburn | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Jan 21, 2021 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 31, 2020 |
| Edward Jones | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Mar 19, 2020 |
| Bernstein | Outperform | Market Perform | Upgrade | Jan 23, 2020 |
| SunTrust Robinson Humphrey | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Oct 11, 2019 |
| Citi | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Aug 19, 2019 |
| Monness Crespi Hardt | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Jul 17, 2019 |
| Nomura | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Jun 10, 2019 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $13.3. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $15 | $12.91 | +12.8% | Oct 12, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Duffy Fischer | $20 | $14.45 | +50.4% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Arun Viswanathan | $17 | $13.91 | +27.8% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Salvator Tiano | $17 | $13.91 | +27.8% | Oct 7, 2026 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $11.92 | +27.8% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Kristen Owen | $17 | $11.92 | +27.8% | Oct 5, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $15 | $12.57 | +12.8% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $12.57 | +35.3% | Oct 2, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Kristen Owen | $95 | $80.45 | +614.3% | Sep 24, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Joel Jackson | $95 | $83.11 | +614.3% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| New Street | Analyst unavailable | $95 | $83.39 | +614.3% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $83.39 | +576.7% | Sep 16, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | David Begleiter | $101 | $77.75 | +659.4% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| BMO Capital | Joel Jackson | $100 | $78.71 | +651.9% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Arun Viswanathan | $103 | $86.78 | +674.4% | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $97 | $85.72 | +629.3% | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $96 | $85.25 | +621.8% | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Theurer | $91 | $74.46 | +584.2% | Jun 11, 2026 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $86 | $75.86 | +546.6% | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Vincent Andrews | $95 | $79.89 | +614.3% | May 28, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Arun Viswanathan | $95 | $78.62 | +614.3% | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $90 | $80.29 | +576.7% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $83.56 | +561.7% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $82 | $75.03 | +516.5% | Feb 17, 2026 |
| UBS | Joshua Spector | $80 | $72.6 | +501.5% | Feb 9, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $89 | $72.99 | +569.2% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $72.99 | +546.6% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Goldman Sachs | Analyst unavailable | $88 | $75.12 | +561.7% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $75.12 | +539.1% | Feb 5, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $78 | $72.63 | +486.5% | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Mizuho Securities | Edlain Rodriguez | $80 | $70.5 | +501.5% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $76 | $63.38 | +471.4% | Nov 7, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $81 | $61.53 | +509.0% | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $62.79 | +463.9% | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $61.91 | +501.5% | Oct 16, 2025 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $78 | $65.61 | +486.5% | Oct 8, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $85 | $64.56 | +539.1% | Oct 6, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $84 | $74.29 | +531.6% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| BMO Capital | Analyst unavailable | $86 | $74.29 | +546.6% | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Oppenheimer | Kristen Owen | $87 | $72.09 | +554.1% | Jul 15, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Aleksey Yefremov | $71 | $60.29 | +433.8% | Apr 14, 2025 |
| KeyBanc | Aleksey Yefremov | $69 | $60.76 | +418.8% | Nov 21, 2024 |
| Citigroup | Patrick Cunningham | $68 | $59.12 | +411.3% | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Bank of America Securities | Steve Byrne | $67 | $57.3 | +403.8% | Oct 16, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | John Roberts | $61 | $57.85 | +358.6% | Sep 25, 2024 |
| Oppenheimer | Kriten Owen | $69 | $57.04 | +418.8% | Sep 17, 2024 |
| KeyBanc | Aleksey Yefremov | $62 | $53 | +366.2% | Aug 2, 2024 |
| Mizuho Securities | John Roberts | $60 | $51.89 | +351.1% | Jun 18, 2024 |
| Wolfe Research | Chris Parkinson | $68 | $51.9 | +411.3% | Jun 11, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | David Begleiter | $65 | $57.03 | +388.7% | May 6, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Arun Viswanathan | $64 | $57.16 | +381.2% | May 6, 2024 |
| Canaccord Genuity | Bobby Burleson | $65 | $56.98 | +388.7% | May 3, 2024 |
| BMO Capital | Joel Jackson | $67 | $56.98 | +403.8% | May 3, 2024 |
| Jefferies | Laurence Alexander | $67 | $57 | +403.8% | Mar 28, 2024 |
| Loop Capital Markets | Christopher Kapsch | $65 | $55.04 | +388.7% | Feb 12, 2024 |
| BNP Paribas | Laurent Favre | $53 | $53.04 | +298.5% | Feb 2, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $77 | $61.54 | +478.9% | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Citigroup | Analyst unavailable | $74 | $61.68 | +456.4% | Feb 3, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $80 | $62.12 | +501.5% | Jan 11, 2023 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $75 | $65.35 | +463.9% | Nov 17, 2022 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $73 | $66.72 | +448.9% | Nov 16, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | John Roberts | $68 | $51.26 | +411.3% | Jul 14, 2022 |
| Barclays | Benjamin Theurer | $71 | $53.22 | +433.8% | Jun 20, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | David Begleiter | $72 | $62.04 | +441.4% | Jun 6, 2022 |
| Argus Research | Bill Selesky | $69 | $60.91 | +418.8% | May 24, 2022 |
| Mizuho Securities | Analyst unavailable | $67 | $57.99 | +403.8% | Apr 29, 2022 |
| Roth Capital | Brian White | $56 | $50.25 | +321.1% | Feb 4, 2022 |
| Barclays | Duffy Fischer | $54 | $47.33 | +306.0% | Nov 5, 2021 |
| Deutsche Bank | David Begleiter | $55 | $44.79 | +313.5% | Aug 8, 2021 |
| Argus Research | Bill Selesky | $54 | $45.82 | +306.0% | May 17, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Steve Byrne | $42 | $46.45 | +215.8% | May 10, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCorteva, Inc. operates in the agriculture business. The company operates through two segments, Seed and Crop Protection. The Seed segment develops and supplies advanced germplasm and traits that produce optimum yield for farms. It offers trait technologies that enhance resistance to weather, disease, insects, and herbicides used to control weeds, as well as food and nutritional characteristics. This segment also provides digital solutions that assist farmer decision-making with a view to optimize product selection, and maximize yield and profitability.…
Historical context
All CTVA earningsBasic Materials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RPM RPM International Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +1.5% | +3.2% | RPM posts record quarter, but input costs narrow the outlook |
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-01-22T00:04:22.296664+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-13T00:50:43.540471+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-13T00:50:43.537567+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-13. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.