CoreWeave, Inc. Class A Common Stock · CRWV · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q1 2026

CoreWeave raises outlook as AI demand drives capacity expansion

The current analysis supports the view that strong AI demand and contracted backlog can underpin continued growth, but the one-year case depends on converting capacity and backlog into revenue without allowing capex, margin, financing, or supply-chain pressures to overwhelm operating leverage.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $48.32B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $-0.56 Consensus $-0.50
EPS surprise -11.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.57B Consensus $1.55B
Revenue surprise +1.5% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -18.5% Event window
SPY move -0.5% Same window
Abnormal move -18.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -6.0% Up to 20 sessions
CRWVSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior analysis, management’s posture is more expansionary: guidance sentiment is raised, the capacity roadmap is larger, and the company is emphasizing proprietary-stack licensing and new infrastructure products. The analysis also makes the near-term cost of that expansion more explicit through expected margin pressure.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment moved from maintained in the prior analysis to raised in the current analysis, alongside a materially more aggressive capacity and capex plan.

Key takeaways

  • Management described relentless AI workload demand and reported strong growth with a $66.8 billion contracted revenue backlog.
  • The company plans more than $30 billion of 2026 capex and over 5 GW of additional data-center capacity by 2030.
  • The expanded NVIDIA relationship includes licensing of CoreWeave’s proprietary cloud stack and a reported strategic investment.
  • The central tension is high visibility into demand versus near-term margin pressure and financing risk from rapid expansion.

Management priorities

  • Scale data-center capacity across North America and Europe.
  • Bring Rubin GPU, Vera CPU, and BlueField storage offerings to market.
  • Cross-sell storage, CPU, and software services across the platform.
  • Monetize the proprietary cloud stack through licensing and continue strategic acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CRWV EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 5 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '25 estimate $-0.23 Q2 '25 actual $-0.27, miss Q3 '25 estimate $-0.40 Q3 '25 actual $-0.08, beat Q4 '25 estimate $-0.50 Q4 '25 actual $-0.56, miss Q1 '26 estimate $-0.92 Q1 '26 actual $-1.11, miss Q2 '26 estimate $-1.21 Q2 '26 actual $-1.03, beat Q3 '26 estimate $-1.26 Q4 '26 estimate $-0.67 Q1 '27 estimate $-0.68 Q2 '27 estimate $-0.59

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy31 ratings
Bullish2167.8%
Neutral929.0%
Bearish13.2%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$89.62Current
$58Low
$131.39Average
$250High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Buy BuyMaintainOct 1, 2026
Freedom Capital Markets Buy BuyMaintainSep 30, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight NeutralUpgradeSep 24, 2026
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainAug 24, 2026
Goldman Sachs Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 21, 2026
Citigroup Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2026
Barclays Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainAug 13, 2026
Wells Fargo Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Piper Sandler Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Mizuho Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 12, 2026
Macquarie Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight OverweightMaintainAug 12, 2026
Bernstein Underperform UnderperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainAug 12, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJul 21, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral BuyDowngradeMay 18, 2026
Oppenheimer Outperform OutperformMaintainApr 29, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainMar 9, 2026
HC Wainwright & Co. Buy BuyMaintainMar 2, 2026
Needham Hold HoldMaintainFeb 27, 2026
Citizens Market Outperform Market OutperformMaintainFeb 27, 2026
Deutsche Bank Buy HoldUpgradeJan 27, 2026
Loop Capital Buy BuyMaintainNov 12, 2025
Morgan Stanley Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainNov 11, 2025
B of A Securities Neutral NeutralMaintainNov 11, 2025
Melius Research Buy HoldUpgradeSep 23, 2025
JMP Securities Market Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 16, 2025
MoffettNathanson Neutral NeutralMaintainAug 19, 2025
Argus Research Buy BuyMaintainAug 14, 2025
Stifel Hold HoldMaintainAug 13, 2025
Northland Capital Markets Outperform OutperformMaintainJul 18, 2025
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $89.62. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Rosenblatt SecuritiesJohn McPeake$250$87.12 +179.0%Oct 1, 2026
UBSAnalyst unavailable$120$86.76 +33.9%Sep 22, 2026
BTG PactualAnalyst unavailable$125$85.66 +39.5%Sep 21, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$165$83.84 +84.1%Aug 24, 2026
Goldman SachsGabriela Borges$139$89.76 +55.1%Aug 21, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$145$111.16 +61.8%Aug 13, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$105$107.73 +17.2%Aug 13, 2026
Truist FinancialArvind Ramnani$155$106.77 +73.0%Aug 12, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$153$106.75 +70.7%Aug 12, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$176$109.92 +96.4%Aug 12, 2026
BernsteinAnalyst unavailable$74$107.96 -17.4%Aug 12, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldBrett Knoblauch$178$90.32 +98.6%Aug 12, 2026
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$160$90.32 +78.5%Aug 12, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$115$90.32 +28.3%Aug 12, 2026
Robert W. BairdRob Oliver$130$90.32 +45.1%Aug 12, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$150$85.33 +67.4%Aug 7, 2026
Piper SandlerJames Fish$151$85.76 +68.5%Aug 3, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$126$79.58 +40.6%Jul 21, 2026
Robert W. BairdRob Oliver$100$79.58 +11.6%Jul 21, 2026
JefferiesBrent Thill$150$73.06 +67.4%Jul 21, 2026
BNP ParibasAnalyst unavailable$192$124.82 +114.2%Jun 2, 2026
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$100$101.3 +11.6%May 18, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$120$114.15 +33.9%May 11, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$135$116.18 +50.6%May 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$131$128.84 +46.2%May 8, 2026
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$155$128.84 +73.0%May 8, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$150$128.84 +67.4%May 8, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$110$128.84 +22.7%May 8, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$160$125.43 +78.5%May 4, 2026
OppenheimerAnalyst unavailable$150$105.53 +67.4%Apr 29, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$106$113.52 +18.3%Apr 20, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldBrett Knoblauch$156$118.69 +74.1%Apr 16, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$150$118.69 +67.4%Apr 16, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$150$118.42 +67.4%Apr 15, 2026
BernsteinMadison Rezaei$67$110.27 -25.2%Apr 14, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$105$110.27 +17.2%Apr 14, 2026
Cantor FitzgeraldAnalyst unavailable$149$92 +66.3%Apr 9, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$120$74.41 +33.9%Mar 9, 2026
MoffettNathansonNick Del Deo$92$74.41 +2.7%Mar 9, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$140$98.31 +56.2%Jan 27, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$100$98.57 +11.6%Jan 26, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$110$100.94 +22.7%Jan 26, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$90$80.14 +0.4%Jan 12, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$86$80.14 -4.0%Jan 12, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$125$77.18 +39.5%Jan 8, 2026
Truist FinancialAnalyst unavailable$84$76.86 -6.3%Jan 6, 2026
JefferiesBrent Thill$120$80.2 +33.9%Jan 5, 2026
D.A. DavidsonAnalyst unavailable$68$79.32 -24.1%Jan 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$92$72.34 +2.7%Dec 16, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$110$85.75 +22.7%Dec 4, 2025
Melius ResearchAnalyst unavailable$140$105.61 +56.2%Nov 11, 2025
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$155$105.61 +73.0%Nov 11, 2025
Stifel NicolausRuben Roy$120$105.61 +33.9%Nov 11, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesGregg Moskowitz$120$105.61 +33.9%Nov 11, 2025
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$175$122.52 +95.3%Sep 30, 2025
Melius ResearchBen Reitzes$165$133.23 +84.1%Sep 23, 2025
Wells FargoMichael Turrin$170$133.23 +89.7%Sep 23, 2025
Loop Capital MarketsAnalyst unavailable$165$121.39 +84.1%Sep 18, 2025
Raymond JamesJosh Beck$130$120.47 +45.1%Sep 15, 2025
Cantor FitzgeraldThomas Blakey$116$91.39 +29.4%Aug 26, 2025
Stifel NicolausRuben Roy$115$159.7 +28.3%Jul 8, 2025
Goldman SachsKash Rangan$61$65.77 -31.9%May 15, 2025
Northland SecuritiesNehal Chokshi$85$65.77 -5.2%May 15, 2025
D.A. DavidsonGil Luria$36$65.77 -59.8%May 15, 2025
Stifel NicolausRuben Roy$75$65.77 -16.3%May 15, 2025
Morgan StanleyKeith Weiss$58$65.77 -35.3%May 15, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$45$38.51 -49.8%Apr 22, 2025
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$41$38.51 -54.3%Apr 22, 2025
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$48$38.51 -46.4%Apr 22, 2025
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

CoreWeave, Inc. operates a specialized cloud computing platform designed to empower generative AI (GenAI) applications. It constructs the fundamental infrastructure necessary to manage intensive compute workloads for large enterprises. The company's comprehensive suite of offerings includes high-performance GPU and CPU compute resources, robust storage solutions, advanced networking capabilities, and fully managed services. Clients can choose from flexible virtual servers or powerful bare-metal options. Beyond core hardware, its platform integrates sophisticated tools like a fleet lifecycle controller, a node lifecycle controller, Tensorizer, and advanced observability features. CoreWeave's expertise also extends to specialized services, such as visual effects (VFX) and rendering, AI model training, AI inference, and "Mission Control." Originally incorporated in 2017 as Atlantic Crypto Corporation, the company rebranded to CoreWeave, Inc. in December 2019 and is headquartered in Livingston, New Jersey.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:36:15.940040+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T20:16:03.012318+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T20:16:03.009288+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.