Carpenter Technology Corporation · CRS · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026
Carpenter Technology: Aerospace demand drives raised outlook
The supplied analysis supports a constructive view of Carpenter Technology's trajectory: aerospace demand, pricing, and productivity are strengthening results, but the durability of that improvement depends on capacity execution and offsetting weakness in medical and defense markets.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
The supplied transcript analysis describes stronger aerospace demand and pricing, expanding specialty-alloy margins, a brownfield capacity project, and a raised full-year outlook. It also flags medical titanium weakness and uncertainty in defense orders.
Guidance delta
Management raised FY2026 operating income guidance, according to the supplied transcript analysis.
Key takeaways
- The supplied analysis points to record performance led by aerospace demand, pricing, and productivity.
- Management highlighted aerospace bookings, long-term customer agreements, and capacity expansion.
- The medical titanium business remained a weak spot, while defense demand was uncertain.
- The central question is whether aerospace momentum can offset execution and end-market risks.
Management priorities
- Expand capacity for nickel-based superalloys and additive-manufacturing capabilities.
- Support aerospace and power-generation customers through additional long-term agreements.
- Continue shareholder returns through repurchases and the quarterly dividend.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 14, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 9, 2026 |
| Keybanc | Overweight | Overweight | Maintain | Oct 8, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Sep 30, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Positive | Positive | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTIG | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Benchmark | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Northcoast Research | Sell | Neutral | Downgrade | Jun 14, 2024 |
| Cowen & Co. | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Jan 27, 2023 |
| Longbow Research | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Dec 16, 2019 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Apr 11, 2018 |
| Seaport Global | Buy | Neutral | Upgrade | Mar 16, 2017 |
| Sterne Agee | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Apr 13, 2015 |
| Credit Suisse | Outperform | Outperform | Maintain | Oct 27, 2014 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 24, 2014 |
| Stifel | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Oct 24, 2014 |
| Topeka Capital | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 30, 2014 |
| Topeka | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Jul 30, 2014 |
| Goldman Sachs | Neutral | Buy | Downgrade | Oct 30, 2013 |
| Buckingham Research | Buy | Buy | Maintain | Dec 21, 2012 |
| Citigroup | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Apr 26, 2012 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $284.66. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KeyBanc | Samuel McKinney | $465 | $391.17 | +63.4% | Oct 8, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Samuel McKinney | $608 | $519.66 | +113.6% | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $600 | $521.89 | +110.8% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| BTIG | Andre Madrid | $620 | $514.6 | +117.8% | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $680 | $597.14 | +138.9% | Jul 9, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Samuel McKinney | $459 | $429.41 | +61.2% | May 4, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $425 | $429.41 | +49.3% | May 4, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $500 | $420.53 | +75.6% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Susquehanna | Analyst unavailable | $495 | $406.53 | +73.9% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $450 | $406.53 | +58.1% | Apr 30, 2026 |
| KeyBanc | Analyst unavailable | $453 | $431.21 | +59.1% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| BTIG | Andre Madrid | $375 | $310.39 | +31.7% | Jan 30, 2026 |
| BTIG | Analyst unavailable | $365 | $316.71 | +28.2% | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $425 | $300.27 | +49.3% | Oct 24, 2025 |
| BTIG | Andre Madrid | $230 | $193.06 | -19.2% | Jan 31, 2025 |
| Deutsche Bank | Scott Deuschle | $144 | $98.46 | -49.4% | Jun 25, 2024 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCarpenter Technology Corporation is a global leader in the production and supply of high-performance metallic materials, serving markets across the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, Mexico, and Canada. The company's operations are structured into two primary divisions: Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. Its diverse product portfolio encompasses advanced alloys like titanium, stainless, alloy, and tool steels, alongside various powder metals, additives, and custom-fabricated metal components. These specialized materials are critical to numerous industries, including aerospace, defense, medical devices, transportation, energy generation, general manufacturing, and consumer goods. Established in 1889, Carpenter Technology maintains its corporate headquarters in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Historical context
All CRS earningsBasic Materials peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DOW Dow Inc. | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +11.3% | +4.7% | Dow’s Q3 growth and self-help gains support a steady Q4 outlook |
| NEM Newmont Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +12.2% | -2.6% | Newmont Holds 2026 Guidance as Projects Set Up 2027 Growth |
| SCCO Southern Copper Corporation | FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 | +6.4% | -2.1% | Southern Copper: Record Q3 results, projects advance amid execution risks |
Latest beats and misses
Who reports nextBeat on EPS
- FIXFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+8.2% EPS-8.5% move
- DECKFY2027 Q2 · October 22, 2026+13.4% EPS-0.2% move
- OMCFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+2.2% EPS+2.6% move
- SSNCFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+0.6% EPS+2.8% move
- BEFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+36.0% EPS-8.7% move
- ROPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026+1.7% EPS+9.7% move
Missed on EPS
- BBDFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-7.7% EPS+3.0% move
- SNAFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.9% EPS-3.4% move
- SPOTFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-11.6% EPS+11.1% move
- VRSNFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-2.0% EPS-0.9% move
- HBANMFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS+0.5% move
- HBANPFY2026 Q3 · October 22, 2026-5.3% EPS0.0% move
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T20:40:41.793635+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T20:40:41.790947+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.