Carpenter Technology Corporation · CRS · FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q1 2026

Carpenter Technology: Aerospace demand drives raised outlook

The supplied analysis supports a constructive view of Carpenter Technology's trajectory: aerospace demand, pricing, and productivity are strengthening results, but the durability of that improvement depends on capacity execution and offsetting weakness in medical and defense markets.

Reported Before market openNYSEBasic Materials $14.48B market cap
90quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $2.33 Consensus $2.22
EPS surprise +5.0% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $728.0M Consensus $690.9M
Revenue surprise +5.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move -6.4% Event window
SPY move -0.2% Same window
Abnormal move -6.2% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.8× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +28.2% Up to 20 sessions
CRSSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The supplied transcript analysis describes stronger aerospace demand and pricing, expanding specialty-alloy margins, a brownfield capacity project, and a raised full-year outlook. It also flags medical titanium weakness and uncertainty in defense orders.

Guidance delta

Management raised FY2026 operating income guidance, according to the supplied transcript analysis.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis points to record performance led by aerospace demand, pricing, and productivity.
  • Management highlighted aerospace bookings, long-term customer agreements, and capacity expansion.
  • The medical titanium business remained a weak spot, while defense demand was uncertain.
  • The central question is whether aerospace momentum can offset execution and end-market risks.

Management priorities

  • Expand capacity for nickel-based superalloys and additive-manufacturing capabilities.
  • Support aerospace and power-generation customers through additional long-term agreements.
  • Continue shareholder returns through repurchases and the quarterly dividend.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CRS EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 10 reported fiscal quarters and 4 future estimate-only quarters. Q4 '24 estimate $1.51 Q4 '24 actual $1.82, beat Q1 '25 estimate $1.58 Q1 '25 actual $1.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $2.07 Q4 '25 actual $2.21, beat Q1 '26 estimate $2.13 Q1 '26 actual $2.43, beat Q2 '26 estimate $2.22 Q2 '26 actual $2.33, beat Q3 '26 estimate $2.63 Q3 '26 actual $2.77, beat Q4 '26 estimate $3.09 Q4 '26 actual $3.23, beat Q1 '27 estimate $3.04 Q1 '27 actual $3.25, beat Q2 '27 estimate $3.09 Q3 '27 estimate $3.52 Q4 '27 estimate $3.77 Q1 '28 estimate $3.68
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy21 ratings
Bullish1466.7%
Neutral628.6%
Bearish14.7%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$284.66Current
$144Low
$457.12Average
$620High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 23, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 14, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainOct 9, 2026
Keybanc Overweight OverweightMaintainOct 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 30, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 31, 2026
BTIG Buy BuyMaintainJul 31, 2026
Benchmark Buy BuyMaintainJun 9, 2025
Northcoast Research Sell NeutralDowngradeJun 14, 2024
Cowen & Co. Outperform OutperformMaintainJan 27, 2023
Longbow Research Neutral BuyDowngradeDec 16, 2019
Deutsche Bank Hold HoldMaintainApr 11, 2018
Seaport Global Buy NeutralUpgradeMar 16, 2017
Sterne Agee Neutral BuyDowngradeApr 13, 2015
Credit Suisse Outperform OutperformMaintainOct 27, 2014
Stifel Nicolaus Buy BuyMaintainOct 24, 2014
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 24, 2014
Topeka Capital Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2014
Topeka Buy BuyMaintainJul 30, 2014
Goldman Sachs Neutral BuyDowngradeOct 30, 2013
Buckingham Research Buy BuyMaintainDec 21, 2012
Citigroup Neutral NeutralMaintainApr 26, 2012
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $284.66. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
KeyBancSamuel McKinney$465$391.17 +63.4%Oct 8, 2026
KeyBancSamuel McKinney$608$519.66 +113.6%Aug 3, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$600$521.89 +110.8%Jul 31, 2026
BTIGAndre Madrid$620$514.6 +117.8%Jul 31, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$680$597.14 +138.9%Jul 9, 2026
KeyBancSamuel McKinney$459$429.41 +61.2%May 4, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$425$429.41 +49.3%May 4, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$500$420.53 +75.6%Apr 30, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$495$406.53 +73.9%Apr 30, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$450$406.53 +58.1%Apr 30, 2026
KeyBancAnalyst unavailable$453$431.21 +59.1%Apr 9, 2026
BTIGAndre Madrid$375$310.39 +31.7%Jan 30, 2026
BTIGAnalyst unavailable$365$316.71 +28.2%Oct 27, 2025
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$425$300.27 +49.3%Oct 24, 2025
BTIGAndre Madrid$230$193.06 -19.2%Jan 31, 2025
Deutsche BankScott Deuschle$144$98.46 -49.4%Jun 25, 2024
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Carpenter Technology Corporation is a global leader in the production and supply of high-performance metallic materials, serving markets across the United States, Europe, Asia Pacific, Mexico, and Canada. The company's operations are structured into two primary divisions: Specialty Alloys Operations and Performance Engineered Products. Its diverse product portfolio encompasses advanced alloys like titanium, stainless, alloy, and tool steels, alongside various powder metals, additives, and custom-fabricated metal components. These specialized materials are critical to numerous industries, including aerospace, defense, medical devices, transportation, energy generation, general manufacturing, and consumer goods. Established in 1889, Carpenter Technology maintains its corporate headquarters in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.

Historical context

All CRS earnings

Basic Materials peers this season

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NEM Newmont Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +12.2% -2.6% Newmont Holds 2026 Guidance as Projects Set Up 2027 Growth
SCCO Southern Copper Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2026 +6.4% -2.1% Southern Copper: Record Q3 results, projects advance amid execution risks

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-23T20:40:41.793635+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-23T20:40:41.790947+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-23. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.