Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd · CRDO · FY2026 Q4 · Calendar Q2 2026

Credo leans into optical growth as AI connectivity demand accelerates

Credo's earnings support a constructive growth case centered on AI infrastructure connectivity and a growing optical portfolio. The thesis depends on converting product launches and the Dust Photonics acquisition into sustained revenue while managing supply, adoption and concentration risks.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $36.15B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.16 Consensus $1.02
EPS surprise +13.7% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $437.0M Consensus $431.8M
Revenue surprise +1.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +1.3% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +1.1% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +13.1% Up to 20 sessions
CRDOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

The narrative shifted from a broad roadmap of upcoming products to a more optical-led growth opportunity: management now highlights more than $600 million of FY27 optical revenue, the completed Dust Photonics acquisition and supply-chain investments for advanced connectivity products.

Guidance delta

Guidance sentiment was maintained; management outlined Q1 FY27 revenue of $465-$475 million with mid-single-digit sequential growth and similar margins to FY26.

Key takeaways

  • Credo reported record fiscal 2026 revenue, with management emphasizing AI-driven demand for high-reliability connectivity.
  • Management expects the optical portfolio to contribute more than $600 million in FY27, led by ZeroFlap optics, optical DSPs and silicon photonics.
  • The Dust Photonics acquisition adds silicon-photonic PIC capabilities, while cash and modest capex support continued research and development.
  • The main execution questions are supply-chain readiness, product adoption and customer concentration.

Management priorities

  • Ramp optical DSP, silicon photonics and ZeroFlap optics in FY27.
  • Expand supply-chain capacity for advanced process nodes and laser-free optics.
  • Invest in 200 Gb and 1.6 Tbps connectivity standards.
  • Broaden the customer base beyond the largest hyperscalers and pursue opportunistic acquisitions.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CRDO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.03 Q3 '24 actual $0.04, match Q4 '24 estimate $0.05 Q4 '24 actual $0.07, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.04 Q1 '25 actual $0.04, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.27 Q4 '25 actual $0.35, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.36 Q1 '26 actual $0.52, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.49 Q2 '26 actual $0.67, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.91 Q3 '26 actual $1.07, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.02 Q4 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.17 Q2 '27 estimate $1.27 Q3 '27 estimate $1.67
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1487.5%
Neutral212.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$193.87Previous close
$15Low
$209.12Average
$350High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 24, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 2, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 11 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $193.87. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$245$175.89 +26.4%Sep 21, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$292$170.74 +50.6%Sep 2, 2026
Rosenblatt SecuritiesMike Genovese$235$170.17 +21.2%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$275$206.63 +41.8%Sep 2, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$250$216.66 +29.0%Jul 21, 2026
See 55 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) specializes in delivering advanced high-speed connectivity solutions for both optical and electrical Ethernet applications. Its operational reach extends globally, encompassing the United States, Mexico, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and various other international regions. The company's product offerings include integrated circuits (ICs), active electrical cables (AECs), and SerDes chiplets, all developed utilizing its proprietary serializer/deserializer (SerDes) and digital signal processor (DSP) technologies. Beyond hardware, Credo also provides intellectual property (IP) solutions, particularly focusing on SerDes IP licensing. Established in 2008, the firm's corporate headquarters are situated in San Jose, California.

Historical context

All CRDO earnings

Technology peers this season

Latest reports in the same sector
CompanyQuarterEPS surpriseMarket moveHeadline
ADBE Adobe Inc. FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +0.8% +1.4% Adobe raises FY26 outlook as AI strategy broadens
ORCL Oracle Corporation FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 +10.3% -1.7% Oracle raises FY27 outlook as AI demand accelerates cloud growth
SAIL SailPoint, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +13.8% -1.2% SailPoint pairs 25% ARR growth with accelerating AI-driven adoption
CIEN Ciena Corporation FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q3 2026 +22.0% -10.4% Ciena raises outlook as AI networking demand lifts backlog
DOCU DocuSign, Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +6.4% +3.7% DocuSign Q2 FY27: IAM momentum supports a raised outlook
IOT Samsara Inc. FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 +25.0% +3.7% Samsara: AI adoption expands as FY27 guidance holds

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-06-02T00:24:30.348376+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-24T07:30:56.429972+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-24T07:30:56.427251+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-24. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.