Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd · CRDO · FY2026 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2026

Credo posts record Q3 revenue as product roadmap broadens

The quarter strengthens the case that AI infrastructure demand can support Credo's growth over the next year: revenue reached a record, margins expanded, and management maintained its outlook while broadening the product roadmap. The counterweight is that the next phase depends on executing several launches, securing supply and reducing customer concentration.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $39.19B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.07 Consensus $0.91
EPS surprise +17.3% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $407.0M Consensus $406.2M
Revenue surprise +0.2% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -14.8% Event window
SPY move -0.9% Same window
Abnormal move -13.9% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.6× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -3.5% Up to 20 sessions
CRDOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current quarter adds record Q3 revenue and stronger margin performance, a maintained Q4 outlook, and further detail on the ZeroFlap Optics, Active LED Cable and OmniConnect ramps. The Chimera acquisition is now part of the stated product and technology priorities.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its outlook, including Q4 FY26 revenue guidance of $425-$435 million and an expectation of more than 50% year-over-year growth into FY27.

Key takeaways

  • Record Q3 revenue and strong sequential growth were accompanied by expanded gross and operating margins.
  • Management linked demand to AI infrastructure requirements for higher bandwidth, reliability and power efficiency.
  • The roadmap now includes ZeroFlap Optics, Active LED Cables, OmniConnect gearboxes and the Blue Heron retimer.
  • Customer diversification is progressing across hyperscalers and neocloud providers, but concentration remains a risk.

Management priorities

  • Ramp ZeroFlap Optics beginning in Q1 FY27.
  • Mass-produce PCIe Gen6 AECs in the first half of FY27.
  • Sample and qualify Active LED Cables in FY27, with production scaling targeted for FY28.
  • Integrate Chimera IP and launch OmniConnect gearboxes beginning in FY28.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CRDO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q3 '24 estimate $0.03 Q3 '24 actual $0.04, match Q4 '24 estimate $0.05 Q4 '24 actual $0.07, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.04 Q1 '25 actual $0.04, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.27 Q4 '25 actual $0.35, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.36 Q1 '26 actual $0.52, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.49 Q2 '26 actual $0.67, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.91 Q3 '26 actual $1.07, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.02 Q4 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.17 Q2 '27 estimate $1.27 Q3 '27 estimate $1.67
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1487.5%
Neutral212.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$210.17Previous close
$15Low
$209.12Average
$350High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 2, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
B of A Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 2, 2026
TD Cowen Buy BuyMaintainAug 18, 2026
Susquehanna Positive PositiveMaintainJul 21, 2026
Barclays Overweight OverweightMaintainJul 20, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainJun 22, 2026
Roth Capital Buy BuyMaintainJun 2, 2026
Needham Buy BuyMaintainJun 2, 2026
Jefferies Buy BuyMaintainJun 2, 2026
Goldman Sachs Buy BuyMaintainApr 16, 2026
Craig-Hallum Buy BuyMaintainDec 3, 2024
Roth MKM Buy BuyMaintainOct 22, 2024
Cowen & Co. Market Perform OutperformDowngradeFeb 15, 2023
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Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $210.17. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$245$175.89 +16.6%Sep 21, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$292$170.74 +38.9%Sep 2, 2026
Rosenblatt SecuritiesMike Genovese$235$170.17 +11.8%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$275$206.63 +30.8%Sep 2, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$250$216.66 +19.0%Jul 21, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$300$202.68 +42.7%Jul 20, 2026
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$350$271.83 +66.5%Jun 22, 2026
Evercore ISIMark Lipacis$325$271.83 +54.6%Jun 22, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$290$211.95 +38.0%Jun 2, 2026
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$235$212.57 +11.8%Jun 2, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$250$226.1 +19.0%Jun 2, 2026
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$275$226.1 +30.8%Jun 2, 2026
JefferiesBlayne Curtis$270$226.1 +28.5%Jun 2, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$300$226.1 +42.7%Jun 2, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$260$236.03 +23.7%Jun 1, 2026
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$250$221.23 +19.0%May 27, 2026
Redburn PartnersAnalyst unavailable$206$174.01 -2.0%May 1, 2026
Goldman SachsJames Schneider$170$168.35 -19.1%Apr 16, 2026
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$200$97.68 -4.8%Mar 3, 2026
Craig-HallumRichard Shannon$200$97.43 -4.8%Mar 3, 2026
Goldman SachsAnalyst unavailable$165$127.91 -21.5%Feb 19, 2026
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$200$123.41 -4.8%Feb 10, 2026
BarclaysTom O'Malley$260$156.84 +23.7%Jan 15, 2026
Wolfe ResearchAnalyst unavailable$240$196.95 +14.2%Dec 2, 2025
KGI SecuritiesRob Chang$230$212.89 +9.4%Dec 2, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$225$171.13 +7.1%Dec 2, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$250$171.13 +19.0%Dec 2, 2025
New StreetAnalyst unavailable$240$171.13 +14.2%Dec 2, 2025
BarclaysTom O'Malley$220$171.13 +4.7%Dec 2, 2025
SusquehannaAnalyst unavailable$175$144.17 -16.7%Oct 22, 2025
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$160$144.5 -23.9%Oct 1, 2025
Roth CapitalAnalyst unavailable$170$143.52 -19.1%Sep 30, 2025
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$155$124.77 -26.3%Sep 4, 2025
BarclaysTom O'Malley$165$124.77 -21.5%Sep 4, 2025
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$130$124.27 -38.1%Sep 2, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$135$118.64 -35.8%Aug 14, 2025
Roth CapitalSuji Desilva$95$73.49 -54.8%Jun 13, 2025
BarclaysTom O'Malley$85$71.92 -59.6%Jun 3, 2025
BarclaysTom O'Malley$70$37.02 -66.7%Apr 22, 2025
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$85$73.8 -59.6%Jan 10, 2025
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$85$73.02 -59.6%Jan 8, 2025
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$80$76.17 -61.9%Jan 6, 2025
SusquehannaChristopher Rolland$80$66.26 -61.9%Dec 17, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$49$47.88 -76.7%Dec 2, 2024
Summit Redstone PartnersSuji Desilva$45$38.79 -78.6%Oct 22, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$41$38.26 -80.5%Oct 14, 2024
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$42$33.71 -80.0%Oct 9, 2024
Craig-HallumRichard Shannon$38$31.3 -81.9%Sep 5, 2024
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$33$25.84 -84.3%Sep 5, 2024
BarclaysTom O'Malley$32$31.3 -84.8%Sep 5, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$35$31.63 -83.3%Sep 3, 2024
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$40$34.91 -81.0%Sep 3, 2024
Stifel NicolausTore Svanberg$36$30.45 -82.9%Jul 18, 2024
NeedhamQuinn Bolton$29$20.22 -86.2%May 30, 2024
BarclaysTom O'Malley$30$20.22 -85.7%May 30, 2024
Craig-HallumRichard Shannon$30$21.22 -85.7%Apr 15, 2024
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$18$16.37 -91.4%Jun 1, 2023
Goldman SachsToshiya Hari$19$13.98 -91.0%Jul 27, 2022
NeedhamAnalyst unavailable$15$10.25 -92.9%Jun 2, 2022
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$20$11.3 -90.5%Apr 26, 2022
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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) specializes in delivering advanced high-speed connectivity solutions for both optical and electrical Ethernet applications. Its operational reach extends globally, encompassing the United States, Mexico, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and various other international regions. The company's product offerings include integrated circuits (ICs), active electrical cables (AECs), and SerDes chiplets, all developed utilizing its proprietary serializer/deserializer (SerDes) and digital signal processor (DSP) technologies. Beyond hardware, Credo also provides intellectual property (IP) solutions, particularly focusing on SerDes IP licensing. Established in 2008, the firm's corporate headquarters are situated in San Jose, California.

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T10:16:13.130368+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T10:16:13.127888+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.