Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd · CRDO · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q1 2025

Credo’s growth is strong, but customer concentration remains central

The supplied analysis supports a strong near-term growth narrative for Credo, led by AEC demand and expanding data-center connectivity opportunities. It does not resolve whether that growth can remain durable as the largest customer’s ramp stabilizes, so diversification and product execution are the key tests.

Reported After market closeNASDAQTechnology $27.68B market cap
80quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS — Consensus $0.18
EPS surprise — Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue — Consensus $120.4M
Revenue surprise — Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -14.0% Event window
SPY move +1.1% Same window
Abnormal move -15.0% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.4× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.9% Up to 20 sessions
CRDOSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis describes a larger AEC-led revenue base, continued gross-margin improvement, and a more explicit diversification push through additional hyperscalers and PCIe products. Guidance sentiment is maintained rather than raised.

Guidance delta

Management maintained its guidance stance; the supplied analysis does not indicate a new increase or reduction.

Key takeaways

  • Management described record quarterly revenue growth driven primarily by AEC demand.
  • Diversification efforts include additional hyperscalers, PCIe products, optical DSPs, and retimers.
  • The analysis points to gross-margin improvement toward roughly 64% as scale increases and a prior warranty-related item winds down.
  • Execution, competition, and dependence on a single hyperscale customer remain key counterweights to the growth case.

Management priorities

  • Scale AEC production and qualify additional hyperscalers.
  • Introduce a broader PCIe product suite and pursue the Gen6 opportunity.
  • Advance optical DSP and retimer products toward future revenue ramps.
  • Demonstrate products at industry events and continue expanding the portfolio.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CRDO EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $0.01 Q2 '24 actual $0.01, match Q3 '24 estimate $0.03 Q3 '24 actual $0.04, match Q4 '24 estimate $0.05 Q4 '24 actual $0.07, beat Q1 '25 estimate $0.04 Q1 '25 actual $0.04, match Q4 '25 estimate $0.27 Q4 '25 actual $0.35, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.36 Q1 '26 actual $0.52, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.49 Q2 '26 actual $0.67, beat Q3 '26 estimate $0.91 Q3 '26 actual $1.07, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1.02 Q4 '26 actual $1.16, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1.17 Q2 '27 estimate $1.27 Q3 '27 estimate $1.67
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy16 ratings
Bullish1487.5%
Neutral212.5%
Bearish00.0%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$147.29Current
$15Low
$207.58Average
$325High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Rosenblatt Neutral NeutralMaintainOct 15, 2026
Stifel Buy BuyMaintainOct 5, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 21, 2026
JP Morgan Overweight OverweightMaintainSep 2, 2026
Evercore ISI Group Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 2, 2026
Show 11 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $147.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Stifel NicolausAnalyst unavailable$310$218.64 +110.5%Oct 5, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesVijay Rakesh$245$175.89 +66.3%Sep 21, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$292$170.74 +98.2%Sep 2, 2026
Rosenblatt SecuritiesMike Genovese$235$170.17 +59.5%Sep 2, 2026
Wells FargoAnalyst unavailable$275$206.63 +86.7%Sep 2, 2026
See 56 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd (CRDO) specializes in delivering advanced high-speed connectivity solutions for both optical and electrical Ethernet applications. Its operational reach extends globally, encompassing the United States, Mexico, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and various other international regions. The company's product offerings include integrated circuits (ICs), active electrical cables (AECs), and SerDes chiplets, all developed utilizing its proprietary serializer/deserializer (SerDes) and digital signal processor (DSP) technologies. Beyond hardware, Credo also provides intellectual property (IP) solutions, particularly focusing on SerDes IP licensing. Established in 2008, the firm's corporate headquarters are situated in San Jose, California.

Historical context

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Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2025-02-20T12:30:13.355938+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-25T18:30:44.258026+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-25T18:30:44.256293+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.