Camden Property Trust · CPT · FY2025 Q3 · Calendar Q4 2025

Camden raises FFO outlook as occupancy holds near 95.5%

The supplied analysis supports a constructive but qualified view: resilient apartment demand, improving supply dynamics, and a raised FFO outlook are positives, while concessions, incomplete 2026 visibility, and macro and oversupply risks limit confidence.

Reported After market closeNYSEReal Estate $9.89B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $1.70 Consensus $0.29
EPS surprise +483.8% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $395.7M Consensus $397.9M
Revenue surprise -0.6% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move +2.5% Event window
SPY move +0.1% Same window
Abnormal move +2.4% Stock minus SPY
Volume 1.7× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift +0.9% Up to 20 sessions
CPTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Relative to the prior-quarter analysis, management raised full-year core FFO guidance, reported occupancy near 95.5%, highlighted direct new-supply competition at 9% of the portfolio, and continued an asset-recycling and repurchase strategy.

Guidance delta

Management raised full-year core FFO guidance to $6.85 per share.

Key takeaways

  • Management said apartment demand remained strong, with occupancy holding near 95.5% despite elevated supply.
  • Supply pressure eased, with direct competition from new supply falling to 9% of the portfolio from 20%.
  • The company is pairing acquisitions with dispositions of older, higher-capital-expenditure communities and continuing share repurchases.
  • The main counterweights are concessions, uneven conditions in some markets, and macro sensitivity.

Management priorities

  • Continue share repurchases at a discount to NAV.
  • Pursue $425 million of acquisitions for the year.
  • Dispose of older, higher-capital-expenditure communities.
  • Complete Camden Village District construction and stabilize Camden Durham.
  • Explore additional land acquisitions as construction costs decline.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CPT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $387M Q1 '24 actual $386M, miss Q2 '24 estimate $385M Q2 '24 actual $391M, beat Q3 '24 estimate $389M Q3 '24 actual $387M, miss Q2 '25 estimate $397M Q2 '25 actual $397M, match Q3 '25 estimate $398M Q3 '25 actual $396M, miss Q4 '25 estimate $393M Q4 '25 actual $391M, miss Q1 '26 estimate $380M Q1 '26 actual $389M, beat Q2 '26 estimate $393M Q2 '26 actual $393M, match Q3 '26 estimate $385M Q4 '26 estimate $386M Q1 '27 estimate $388M
Show 1 more >

Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold38 ratings
Bullish1847.4%
Neutral1744.7%
Bearish37.9%

1 unmapped firm rating excluded from the percentages.

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$98.4Previous close
$98Low
$122.1Average
$193High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Truist Securities Buy BuyMaintainSep 25, 2026
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 21, 2026
Scotiabank Sector Underperform Sector UnderperformMaintainSep 17, 2026
Mizuho Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 8, 2026
Wells Fargo Equal Weight Equal WeightMaintainSep 1, 2026
Show 34 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $98.4. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Truist FinancialMichael Lewis$108$97.1 +9.8%Sep 25, 2026
Evercore ISISteve Sakwa$110$98.63 +11.8%Sep 21, 2026
UBSAmi Probandt$105$103.83 +6.7%Sep 15, 2026
Mizuho SecuritiesAnalyst unavailable$116$105.69 +17.9%Sep 8, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$123$110.36 +25.0%Aug 17, 2026
See 89 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Camden Property Trust, an S&P 400 listed entity, specializes in real estate, primarily through the ownership, operation, development, renovation, purchase, and building of multi-family residential complexes. Currently, Camden possesses stakes in and manages 167 properties housing 56,850 apartment units throughout the United States. With seven additional properties presently under construction, the company's total portfolio will expand to 174 properties offering 59,104 apartment homes. Camden has earned consistent recognition for its workplace culture, being named one of FORTUNE magazine's "100 Best Companies to Work For®" for 13 straight years, most recently achieving the #18 spot. Furthermore, in 2020, it secured the #25 position among large U.S. companies in the Glassdoor Employees' Choice Award.

Historical context

All CPT earnings

Latest beats and misses

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-29T07:21:01.511233+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-29T07:21:01.508232+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-29. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.