Copart, Inc. · CPRT · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2025

Copart: Record FY2025, with AI and insurance trends in focus

The supplied analysis supports a constructive operating thesis based on auction liquidity, average selling price growth, fee-unit growth, digital execution, and expanding services. The evidence is not one-sided: Q4 insurance volume declined, inventory fell, and AI/LLM benefits remain early and unquantified.

Reported After market closeNASDAQIndustrials $25.27B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.41 Consensus $0.36
EPS surprise +13.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $1.13B Consensus $1.14B
Revenue surprise -1.0% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

event-close to next-session close
Stock move -2.8% Event window
SPY move -0.3% Same window
Abnormal move -2.5% Stock minus SPY
Volume 3.1× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -7.1% Up to 20 sessions
CPRTSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, the current analysis emphasizes record FY2025 performance, early deployment of AI/LLM tools, the Direct Buy channel shift, and a Q4 insurance-volume decline. Management's stated priorities continue to center on liquidity, technology, value-added services, acquisitions, and buybacks.

Guidance delta

No formal guidance was provided in the supplied analysis; management priorities remain investment in auction liquidity, technology, value-added services, and opportunistic acquisitions.

Key takeaways

  • The supplied analysis characterizes FY2025 as a record year, supported by auction liquidity, average selling price growth, and fee-unit growth.
  • Insurance volume grew for the full year but declined in Q4; non-insurance volume benefited from a shift toward Direct Buy.
  • AI/LLM tools are early-stage initiatives aimed at decision support, customer service, auction matching, and cycle-time improvement.
  • Management highlighted Title Express, Blue Car, Purple Wave, liquidity investment, and continued share buybacks.
  • Weather, insurance demand, EV repair economics, heavy-equipment demand, and competition remain key risks.

Management priorities

  • Invest in auction liquidity through member acquisition and lower friction.
  • Expand AI/LLM capabilities across decision support, customer service, and auction matching.
  • Scale Title Express and other services for insurance clients.
  • Pursue complementary acquisitions and continue share buybacks.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CPRT REVENUE earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 2 future estimate-only quarters. Q2 '24 estimate $1B Q2 '24 actual $1B, miss Q3 '24 estimate $1B Q3 '24 actual $1B, beat Q4 '24 estimate $1B Q4 '24 actual $1B, miss Q4 '25 estimate $1B Q4 '25 actual $1B, miss Q1 '26 estimate $1B Q1 '26 actual $1B, miss Q2 '26 estimate $1B Q2 '26 actual $1B, miss Q3 '26 estimate $1B Q3 '26 actual $1B, beat Q4 '26 estimate $1B Q4 '26 actual $1B, beat Q1 '27 estimate $1B Q2 '27 estimate $1B
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusBuy23 ratings
Bullish1356.5%
Neutral939.1%
Bearish14.4%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$27.29Previous close
$18.5Low
$38.42Average
$63High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted previous close from FN2's market snapshot as of Oct 2, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
BNP Paribas Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 28, 2026
HSBC Hold BuyDowngradeSep 17, 2026
Freedom Broker Buy BuyMaintainSep 14, 2026
Barrington Research Outperform Market PerformUpgradeSep 11, 2026
Baird Outperform OutperformMaintainSep 11, 2026
Show 18 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted previous close $27.29. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
HSBCAnalyst unavailable$36$30.82 +31.9%Sep 16, 2026
BarringtonGary Prestopino$40$30.75 +46.6%Sep 11, 2026
Robert W. BairdAnalyst unavailable$38$30.75 +39.2%Sep 11, 2026
Deutsche BankAnalyst unavailable$40$32.16 +46.6%Sep 3, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$25$33.33 -8.4%Aug 26, 2026
See 11 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Copart, Inc. stands as a prominent global provider of online vehicle auctions and comprehensive vehicle remarketing services. The company extends its operations across numerous international markets, including the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, Canada, the United Arab Emirates, Spain, Finland, Oman, the Republic of Ireland, and Bahrain. At its core, Copart enables the buying and selling of vehicles over the internet through its sophisticated "virtual bidding" online auction platform. Its extensive range of services supports the entire vehicle disposition process, encompassing aspects such as direct online access for sellers, expert salvage and general vehicle valuation, end-of-life vehicle handling, logistics and transportation management, and dedicated vehicle inspection facilities.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-10-02T07:06:17.567172+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-10-02T07:06:17.564075+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-10-02. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.