Campbell Soup Company · CPB · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2025
Campbell’s FY2026 outlook reflects snack weakness and tariff pressure
The supplied analysis supports a mixed outlook: innovation, meals-and-beverages demand, and productivity initiatives provide potential offsets, but lowered FY2026 guidance, snack weakness, tariffs, and inflation weigh against a clear near-term improvement case.
Earnings scorecard
Reported versus consensusMarket reaction
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Transcript intelligence
What changed
Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment moved from maintained to lowered. Management increased the emphasis on marketing, raised the PEEK savings target, and identified FY2026 pressure from tariffs, inflation, and weaker snacks.
Guidance delta
FY2026 guidance was lowered: sales are expected to be flat to slightly down, EBIT down 9%–13%, and EPS down 12%–18%.
Key takeaways
- The quarter’s net sales modestly beat expectations, but organic sales declined with shipment timing reversal.
- Full-year sales growth was driven largely by the Sovos Brands acquisition, while snack share remained under pressure.
- Management highlighted innovation, higher marketing support, digital transformation, and expanded cost savings as responses.
- Tariffs and inflation remain material headwinds to FY2026 margins.
Management priorities
- Increase marketing support to 9%–10% of net sales.
- Support innovation across snacks and meals and beverages.
- Use the growth office to align innovation with consumer trends.
- Accelerate digital transformation and enterprise productivity initiatives.
- Expand the PEEK cost-savings target to $375 million by fiscal 2028.
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Analyst 52W Price Targets
Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.
Firm-level rating actions
FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.
| Firm | Rating | Prior rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI Group | In Line | In Line | Maintain | Sep 14, 2026 |
| DA Davidson | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Sep 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Sector Perform | Sector Perform | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Barclays | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Sep 4, 2026 |
| TD Cowen | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Aug 19, 2026 |
| JP Morgan | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Aug 18, 2026 |
| Stifel | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Jul 22, 2026 |
| B of A Securities | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Equal Weight | Equal Weight | Maintain | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Underperform | Market Perform | Downgrade | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Stephens & Co. | Equal Weight | Overweight | Downgrade | Jun 1, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Underweight | Underweight | Maintain | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Deutsche Bank | Hold | Hold | Maintain | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Neutral | Overweight | Downgrade | Aug 7, 2025 |
| Citigroup | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Argus Research | Buy | Hold | Upgrade | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Sell | Sell | Maintain | Aug 23, 2023 |
| Credit Suisse | Neutral | Neutral | Maintain | Mar 9, 2023 |
| Exane BNP Paribas | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Nov 15, 2022 |
| R5 Capital | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | Mar 14, 2022 |
| Piper Jaffray | Neutral | Underweight | Upgrade | Sep 4, 2019 |
| Bank of America | Underperform | Underperform | Maintain | Sep 3, 2019 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Hold | Hold | Maintain | May 21, 2018 |
| Argus | Hold | Buy | Downgrade | May 5, 2018 |
| PiperJaffray | Underweight | Neutral | Downgrade | Mar 1, 2018 |
| CLSA | Perform | Perform | Maintain | Sep 12, 2016 |
Named analyst price targets
Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $19.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.
| Firm | Analyst | 52W target | Price when posted | Upside | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $21 | +6.5% | Sep 14, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $21.27 | -3.7% | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $22.12 | -8.7% | Sep 4, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $22.12 | +1.4% | Sep 3, 2026 |
| Evercore ISI | Analyst unavailable | $22 | $23.39 | +11.5% | Aug 31, 2026 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $20 | $23.28 | +1.4% | Aug 28, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $23.81 | -8.7% | Aug 20, 2026 |
| Coker Palmer | Thomas Palmer | $22 | $22.68 | +11.5% | Aug 18, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $21.49 | +6.5% | Jun 9, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $17 | $21.49 | -13.8% | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Alexia Howard | $18 | $21.49 | -8.7% | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Barclays | Andrew Lazar | $19 | $21.68 | -3.7% | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $21.55 | +6.5% | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $20.99 | -3.7% | Jun 3, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $21.26 | -3.7% | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $21 | $21.11 | +6.5% | Jun 1, 2026 |
| D.A. Davidson | Brian Holland | $20 | $20.47 | +1.4% | May 22, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $20.82 | +16.6% | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Smith | $20 | $21.26 | +1.4% | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Barclays | Andrew Lazar | $21 | $19.78 | +6.5% | Apr 14, 2026 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $19 | $20.79 | -3.7% | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $18 | $20.69 | -8.7% | Apr 8, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $24 | $22.15 | +21.7% | Mar 12, 2026 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $23 | $22.1 | +16.6% | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Barclays | Andrew Lazar | $23 | $22.94 | +16.6% | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $28 | $25.29 | +42.0% | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Jefferies | Scott Marks | $26 | $26.95 | +31.8% | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $27 | $26.1 | +36.9% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Morgan Stanley | Megan Clapp | $28 | $26.9 | +42.0% | Jan 16, 2026 |
| RBC Capital | Nik Modi | $30 | $28.17 | +52.1% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $26 | $28.47 | +31.8% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Smith | $30 | $28.47 | +52.1% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Analyst unavailable | $33 | $28.47 | +67.3% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Chris Carey | $30 | $28.47 | +52.1% | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Smith | $34 | $29.04 | +72.4% | Dec 9, 2025 |
| Stephens | Analyst unavailable | $38 | $29.6 | +92.6% | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley | Megan Alexander Clapp | $30 | $29.38 | +52.1% | Dec 5, 2025 |
| UBS | Peter Grom | $28 | $29.84 | +42.0% | Dec 4, 2025 |
| D.A. Davidson | Brian Holland | $30 | $31.1 | +52.1% | Nov 17, 2025 |
| UBS | Analyst unavailable | $30 | $31.93 | +52.1% | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Coker Palmer | Thomas Palmer | $33 | $35.48 | +67.3% | May 19, 2025 |
| Bernstein | Alexia Howard | $47 | $39.82 | +138.3% | Apr 3, 2025 |
| Wells Fargo | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $39.79 | +102.8% | Mar 6, 2025 |
| Barclays | Analyst unavailable | $40 | $39.18 | +102.8% | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $45 | $39.18 | +128.1% | Mar 5, 2025 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $56 | $42.59 | +183.9% | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | David Palmer | $48 | $42.82 | +143.3% | Dec 5, 2024 |
| Coker Palmer | Thomas Palmer | $44 | $49.13 | +123.1% | Nov 18, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Alexia Howard | $58 | $47.35 | +194.0% | Oct 7, 2024 |
| Argus Research | Taylor Conrad | $59 | $51.42 | +199.1% | Sep 20, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Nik Modi | $51 | $49.78 | +158.6% | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Smith | $50 | $50.11 | +153.5% | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | John Baumgartner | $51 | $50.09 | +158.6% | Sep 11, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | Chris Carey | $49 | $49.25 | +148.4% | Aug 30, 2024 |
| Goldman Sachs | Ken Goldman | $52 | $45.63 | +163.6% | Jun 26, 2024 |
| Wells Fargo | John Baumgartner | $47 | $43.53 | +138.3% | Jun 7, 2024 |
| RBC Capital | Nik Modi | $47 | $43.42 | +138.3% | May 30, 2024 |
| Coker Palmer | Thomas Palmer | $42 | $46.29 | +112.9% | May 22, 2024 |
| Deutsche Bank | Steve Powers | $48 | $46.46 | +143.3% | May 20, 2024 |
| Bernstein | Alexia Howard | $46 | $46.01 | +133.2% | May 15, 2024 |
| Evercore ISI | David Palmer | $49 | $42.81 | +148.4% | Mar 13, 2024 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Matthew Smith | $45 | $43.01 | +128.1% | Mar 12, 2024 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $47 | $43.39 | +138.3% | Dec 7, 2023 |
| J.P. Morgan | Ken Goldman | $47 | $41.96 | +138.3% | Aug 31, 2023 |
| RBC Capital | Nik Modi | $50 | $52.68 | +153.5% | Mar 9, 2023 |
| Morgan Stanley | Analyst unavailable | $57 | $56.22 | +189.0% | Dec 20, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $53 | $56.49 | +168.7% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $55 | $56.57 | +178.8% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Analyst unavailable | $54 | $56.18 | +173.8% | Dec 8, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Peter Galbo | $46 | $55.75 | +133.2% | Dec 7, 2022 |
| BNP Paribas | Analyst unavailable | $48 | $48.34 | +143.3% | Nov 15, 2022 |
| Morgan Stanley | Pamela Kaufman | $48 | $48.78 | +143.3% | Sep 21, 2022 |
| Credit Suisse | Robert Moskow | $52 | $48.87 | +163.6% | Sep 6, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Analyst unavailable | $46 | $50.38 | +133.2% | Sep 2, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $50 | $51.17 | +153.5% | Aug 22, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $49 | $47.62 | +148.4% | Jun 9, 2022 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Analyst unavailable | $48 | $47.31 | +143.3% | Jun 9, 2022 |
| Deutsche Bank | Analyst unavailable | $47 | $46.62 | +138.3% | Jun 1, 2022 |
| R5 Capital | Scott Mushkin | $44.51 | $42.81 | +125.7% | Mar 14, 2022 |
| Piper Sandler | Michael Lavery | $43 | $39.71 | +118.0% | Nov 2, 2021 |
| Barclays | Andrew Lazar | $43 | $39.96 | +118.0% | Oct 21, 2021 |
| Bank of America Securities | Bryan Spillane | $42 | $41.74 | +112.9% | Sep 2, 2021 |
| Stifel Nicolaus | Christopher Growe | $44 | $41.52 | +123.1% | Sep 1, 2021 |
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Start freeCompany context
Snapshot as of publicationCampbell Soup Company (CPB) is a leading international producer and marketer of a wide variety of food and beverage products. The enterprise conducts its business through two main operational divisions: Meals & Beverages and Snacks. The Meals & Beverages segment serves both retail and food service industries throughout the United States and Canada. Its extensive product range includes classic Campbell's condensed and ready-to-enjoy soups; Swanson brand broths and stocks; Pacific Foods' line of broths, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace brand Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta dishes, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; Plum organic baby food and snacks; V8 juices and drinks; and Campbell's tomato juice. The Snacks division primarily targets the retail sector, with a significant presence in Latin America.…
Historical context
All CPB earningsConsumer Defensive peers this season
Latest reports in the same sector| Company | Quarter | EPS surprise | Market move | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIS General Mills, Inc. | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +4.6% | +1.0% | General Mills leans on mix, innovation and e-commerce amid pressure |
| KR The Kroger Co. | FY2026 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +2.8% | +2.7% | Kroger: Strong digital growth offsets softer sales outlook |
| BF-A Brown-Forman Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +3.0% | — | Brown-Forman holds FY27 outlook as RTD innovation offsets barrel pressure |
| BF-B Brown-Forman Corporation | FY2027 Q1 · Calendar Q3 2026 | 0.0% | — | Brown-Forman maintains FY27 outlook as innovation offsets pressure |
| DG Dollar General Corporation | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +23.4% | +2.5% | Dollar General Raises FY2026 Outlook After Strong Q2 |
| DLTR Dollar Tree, Inc. | FY2027 Q2 · Calendar Q3 2026 | +134.8% | -3.9% | Dollar Tree: Strong Q2 execution, but guidance held steady |
Latest beats and misses
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Sources
- Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
- FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
- Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T09:30:54.925694+00:00
- Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T09:30:54.922846+00:00
Methodology
Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.
Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.
Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.
By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.