Campbell Soup Company · CPB · FY2025 Q4 · Calendar Q3 2025

Campbell’s FY2026 outlook reflects snack weakness and tariff pressure

The supplied analysis supports a mixed outlook: innovation, meals-and-beverages demand, and productivity initiatives provide potential offsets, but lowered FY2026 guidance, snack weakness, tariffs, and inflation weigh against a clear near-term improvement case.

Reported Before market openNASDAQConsumer Defensive $5.92B market cap
100quality score

Earnings scorecard

Reported versus consensus
Reported EPS $0.62 Consensus $0.56
EPS surprise +10.5% Reported versus consensus
Reported revenue $2.32B Consensus $2.33B
Revenue surprise -0.4% Reported versus consensus

Market reaction

prior-close to event-session close
Stock move +7.2% Event window
SPY move +0.5% Same window
Abnormal move +6.7% Stock minus SPY
Volume 2.5× Versus trailing sessions
Subsequent drift -5.2% Up to 20 sessions
CPBSPY benchmark

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Transcript intelligence

What changed

Compared with the prior-quarter analysis, guidance sentiment moved from maintained to lowered. Management increased the emphasis on marketing, raised the PEEK savings target, and identified FY2026 pressure from tariffs, inflation, and weaker snacks.

Guidance delta

FY2026 guidance was lowered: sales are expected to be flat to slightly down, EBIT down 9%–13%, and EPS down 12%–18%.

Key takeaways

  • The quarter’s net sales modestly beat expectations, but organic sales declined with shipment timing reversal.
  • Full-year sales growth was driven largely by the Sovos Brands acquisition, while snack share remained under pressure.
  • Management highlighted innovation, higher marketing support, digital transformation, and expanded cost savings as responses.
  • Tariffs and inflation remain material headwinds to FY2026 margins.

Management priorities

  • Increase marketing support to 9%–10% of net sales.
  • Support innovation across snacks and meals and beverages.
  • Use the growth office to align innovation with consumer trends.
  • Accelerate digital transformation and enterprise productivity initiatives.
  • Expand the PEEK cost-savings target to $375 million by fiscal 2028.

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Earnings History

Estimate Beat Miss Match
CPB EPS earnings history estimate and actual scatter chart 9 reported fiscal quarters and 3 future estimate-only quarters. Q1 '24 estimate $0.88 Q1 '24 actual $0.91, beat Q2 '24 estimate $0.77 Q2 '24 actual $0.80, beat Q3 '24 estimate $0.71 Q3 '24 actual $0.75, beat Q4 '24 estimate $0.62 Q4 '24 actual $0.63, match Q3 '25 estimate $0.65 Q3 '25 actual $0.73, beat Q4 '25 estimate $0.56 Q4 '25 actual $0.62, beat Q1 '26 estimate $0.73 Q1 '26 actual $0.77, beat Q2 '26 estimate $0.57 Q2 '26 actual $0.51, miss Q3 '26 estimate $0.48 Q3 '26 actual $0.50, beat Q4 '26 estimate $0.39 Q1 '27 estimate $0.58 Q2 '27 estimate $0.44
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Analyst Consensus ?

ConsensusHold29 ratings
Bullish13.5%
Neutral1758.6%
Bearish1137.9%

Analyst 52W Price Targets

$19.73Current
$18Low
$33.8Average
$59High

Latest persisted target per named analyst; persisted current price from FN2's market snapshot as of Sep 25, 2026. Not an FN2 forecast.

Firm-level rating actions

FMP grade actions identify the grading firm, not a named analyst.

FirmRatingPrior ratingActionDate
Evercore ISI Group In Line In LineMaintainSep 14, 2026
DA Davidson Neutral NeutralMaintainSep 8, 2026
UBS Sell SellMaintainSep 4, 2026
RBC Capital Sector Perform Sector PerformMaintainSep 4, 2026
Jefferies Hold HoldMaintainSep 4, 2026
Show 24 more rating actions

Named analyst price targets

Upside is calculated against the persisted current price $19.72. FMP does not supply a rating on these named-analyst rows.

FirmAnalyst52W targetPrice when postedUpsideDate
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$21$21 +6.5%Sep 14, 2026
RBC CapitalAnalyst unavailable$19$21.27 -3.7%Sep 4, 2026
BarclaysAnalyst unavailable$18$22.12 -8.7%Sep 4, 2026
JefferiesAnalyst unavailable$20$22.12 +1.4%Sep 3, 2026
Evercore ISIAnalyst unavailable$22$23.39 +11.5%Aug 31, 2026
See 78 more

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Company context

Snapshot as of publication

Campbell Soup Company (CPB) is a leading international producer and marketer of a wide variety of food and beverage products. The enterprise conducts its business through two main operational divisions: Meals & Beverages and Snacks. The Meals & Beverages segment serves both retail and food service industries throughout the United States and Canada. Its extensive product range includes classic Campbell's condensed and ready-to-enjoy soups; Swanson brand broths and stocks; Pacific Foods' line of broths, soups, and non-dairy beverages; Prego pasta sauces; Pace brand Mexican sauces; Campbell's gravies, pasta dishes, beans, and dinner sauces; Swanson canned poultry; Plum organic baby food and snacks; V8 juices and drinks; and Campbell's tomato juice. The Snacks division primarily targets the retail sector, with a significant presence in Latin America.…

Historical context

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Sources

  1. Earnings call transcript and parsed analysis · 2026-05-11T10:29:34.698584+00:00
  2. FN2 earnings calendar · 2026-07-26T00:37:12.209961+00:00
  3. Polygon adjusted daily market bars · 2026-09-25T09:30:54.925694+00:00
  4. Financial Modeling Prep analyst price-target consensus and quote snapshot · 2026-09-25T09:30:54.922846+00:00

Methodology

Reported and consensus figures come from FN2's earnings event records. Market reaction and volume are calculated from daily adjusted bars around the event; abnormal move subtracts the SPY move over the same window.

Analyst target low, average, and high values are derived at request time from each named analyst's latest persisted FMP target. The current-price marker comes from FN2's persisted market snapshot. They are sell-side estimates, not an FN2 valuation or recommendation.

Transcript intelligence is a structured synthesis of the current and prior earnings-call analyses. Missing values stay missing and are never estimated.

By FN2 Research · Updated · As of 2026-09-25. For educational purposes only; not investment advice.